Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e88…f49be0
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$41.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$746
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
1,172
Trades
16,267
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$17.7K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 05:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Sports
49% 59% -$31,845
Other
31% 74% +$13,519
Politics
20% 78% -$24,046
Tech
0% 100% +$378
Crypto
0% 50% +$112
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,667 $4,102 82¢ $4.6K +$516 10-01 14:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,795 -$2,463 96¢ $-2682 -$219 05-10 16:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,916 $1,633 92¢ $1.8K +$140 08-14 04:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,016 $1,920 17¢ $1.7K -$262 08-12 21:22
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +1,100 $118 91¢ $999 +$881 09-01 01:06
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -1,007 -$1,139 97¢ $-974 +$164 10-23 12:52
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +12,254 $359 6¢ $741 +$383 09-24 00:27
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +2,280 $2,080 29¢ $668 -$1,412 08-28 02:10
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15,000 $55 4¢ $652 +$597 10-27 16:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,550 -$748 39¢ $-605 +$143 08-29 14:15
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +500 $480 100¢ $499 +$19 09-17 20:44
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +430 $392 94¢ $403 +$10 07-27 01:23
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5,240 $1,471 6¢ $341 -$1,130 08-07 09:53
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +980 $216 34¢ $338 +$122 09-18 13:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,570 -$184 6¢ $-163 +$21 08-18 02:17
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -1,138 -$902 14¢ $-159 +$743 06-06 02:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,200 -$91 13¢ $-155 -$64 07-23 05:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,000 -$147 4¢ $-127 +$19 09-04 18:25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$66 2¢ $-58 +$7 09-01 04:16
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,200 -$34 3¢ $-35 -$1 08-25 19:50
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,212 -$39 1¢ $-28 +$11 07-26 20:49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -200 -$9 9¢ $-19 -$10 06-11 19:47
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $0 09-21 14:43
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +158 -$66 1¢ $1 +$67 10-26 11:35