Realized P&L
-$42.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$801
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
1,179
Trades
16,284
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$17.7K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 03:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Sports
49% 59% -$30,863
Other
31% 74% +$12,252
Politics
20% 78% -$24,046
Tech
0% 100% +$378
Crypto
0% 50% +$112
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,667 $4,102 82¢ $4.6K +$516 10-01 14:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,795 -$2,463 96¢ $-2686 -$223 05-10 16:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,916 $1,633 94¢ $1.8K +$159 08-14 04:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,016 $1,920 17¢ $1.7K -$242 08-12 21:22
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +2,280 $2,080 49¢ $1.1K -$968 08-28 02:10
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -1,007 -$1,139 97¢ $-975 +$163 10-23 12:52
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15,000 $55 6¢ $847 +$792 10-27 16:09
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +12,254 $359 6¢ $754 +$395 09-24 00:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,550 -$748 39¢ $-611 +$137 08-29 14:15
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +500 $480 100¢ $499 +$19 09-17 20:44
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +5,240 $1,471 10¢ $498 -$973 08-07 09:53
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +430 $392 95¢ $408 +$15 07-27 01:23
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +980 $216 34¢ $338 +$122 09-18 13:46
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,726 $138 7¢ $188 +$50 10-30 03:10
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -1,138 -$902 15¢ $-165 +$737 06-06 02:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,200 -$91 12¢ $-148 -$57 07-23 05:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,570 -$184 5¢ $-134 +$50 08-18 02:17
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,000 -$147 4¢ $-124 +$22 09-04 18:25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$66 2¢ $-58 +$7 09-01 04:16
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,200 -$34 3¢ $-32 +$2 08-25 19:50
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,212 -$39 1¢ $-21 +$18 07-26 20:49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -200 -$9 9¢ $-19 -$10 06-11 19:47
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 -$1 09-21 14:43
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +158 -$66 1¢ $1 +$67 10-26 11:35