Realized P&L
-$107
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
16.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
9,570
lifetime
Volume
$284.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.01K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 22:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
63% 33% $-107
Other
37%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Sports
0% 50% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +434 $355 94¢ $408 +$52 06-09 21:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +297 $244 82¢ $245 +$2 06-07 19:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $199 68¢ $202 +$4 06-09 19:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +260 $119 62¢ $160 +$40 06-08 11:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +140 $117 97¢ $135 +$19 06-10 01:05
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +127 $115 90¢ $115 +$1 06-05 16:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +119 $110 94¢ $112 +$2 06-09 19:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +100 $83 88¢ $88 +$5 06-09 18:40
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -146 $-72 59¢ $-86 $-14 06-01 02:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +172 $66 38¢ $66 $-0 06-06 14:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $62 32¢ $65 +$3 06-09 00:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +100 $67 62¢ $62 $-4 06-09 05:05
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +105 $52 41¢ $43 $-9 06-02 22:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes -100 $-31 38¢ $-38 $-7 06-09 03:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -1,081 $-49 $-35 +$14 06-08 22:27
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +111 $32 24¢ $27 $-5 06-04 07:15
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -33 $-27 82¢ $-27 +$1 06-07 12:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $26 12¢ $25 $-1 06-05 05:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $24 38¢ $19 $-5 05-29 17:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +74 $6 20¢ $14 +$8 06-08 08:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No -50 $-19 28¢ $-14 +$5 06-08 19:19
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $11 76¢ $12 +$1 06-03 04:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -82 $58 12¢ $-9 $-67 06-09 11:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +56 $12 $3 $-8 06-09 11:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1 $-1 97¢ $1 +$2 06-07 23:00