Realized P&L
-$1.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.14K
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
804
Trades
27,613
lifetime
Volume
$802.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$5.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 09:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 205 days
Categories
Politics
48% 71% +$732
Other
47% 67% -$2,045
Tech
5% 63% +$12
Crypto
0% 64% -$12
Sports
0% 57% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,521 $1,248 72¢ $1.1K -$161 09-28 18:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +520 $324 80¢ $413 +$89 10-10 18:41
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,421 $244 29¢ $405 +$160 09-16 14:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +309 $136 99¢ $304 +$168 10-21 01:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +291 $192 92¢ $268 +$75 10-27 09:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +291 $127 92¢ $266 +$140 06-12 14:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +297 $247 83¢ $247 $0 10-07 04:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +240 $31 96¢ $230 +$199 10-26 00:14
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +191 $76 100¢ $191 +$115 09-15 19:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -200 -$162 92¢ $-183 -$21 10-26 03:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $146 88¢ $177 +$32 09-03 04:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $149 82¢ $163 +$14 09-17 07:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +200 $157 76¢ $153 -$3 10-24 18:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +150 $119 94¢ $142 +$22 10-27 05:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +211 $134 64¢ $136 +$2 09-22 11:14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $124 45¢ $135 +$11 10-20 03:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +350 $61 33¢ $114 +$53 10-21 13:26
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +100 $89 96¢ $97 +$8 07-04 22:59
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +100 $83 96¢ $96 +$12 10-21 19:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$3 10-27 12:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No -95 -$98 98¢ $-94 +$5 10-27 05:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $48 94¢ $94 +$45 10-25 20:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $23 94¢ $94 +$70 10-26 07:43
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +100 $90 94¢ $94 +$4 09-08 03:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 -$2 09-27 14:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -100 -$86 92¢ $-92 -$5 10-25 20:34
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +92 $46 98¢ $90 +$44 10-24 02:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +100 $62 86¢ $87 +$25 08-03 08:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +420 $99 20¢ $86 -$12 09-01 03:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +88 $37 97¢ $85 +$48 07-11 18:01