Realized P&L (7d)
-$527
Unrealized P&L
+$846
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved (7d)
86
Trades (7d)
817
28,811 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$38.8K
$857.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$5.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-09 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Politics
48% 72% +$302
Other
47% 68% -$1,730
Tech
5% 61% -$56
Crypto
0% 64% -$12
Sports
0% 57% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,421 $244 64¢ $916 +$672 09-16 14:22
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,521 $1,248 36¢ $540 -$708 09-28 18:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +520 $324 80¢ $416 +$92 10-10 18:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +291 $127 90¢ $263 +$137 06-12 14:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +297 $237 88¢ $263 +$26 11-09 03:29
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +350 $61 74¢ $259 +$198 10-21 13:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +300 $250 82¢ $245 -$5 11-09 00:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November? No +300 $164 64¢ $192 +$28 11-09 06:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $146 94¢ $187 +$42 09-03 04:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $149 92¢ $185 +$36 09-17 07:11
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 90¢ $181 -$1 11-05 16:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +188 $161 96¢ $180 +$18 11-09 05:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? No +200 $149 82¢ $163 +$14 11-09 02:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +211 $61 74¢ $157 +$96 09-02 15:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $127 64¢ $129 +$2 10-28 19:08
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +130 $113 86¢ $111 -$2 11-09 04:03
New pandemic before 2028? No +120 $98 85¢ $102 +$4 09-07 12:50
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? Yes +100 $86 99¢ $99 +$14 11-06 20:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $71 98¢ $98 +$27 11-01 15:41
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +100 $89 97¢ $97 +$8 07-04 22:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +100 $62 96¢ $96 +$34 08-03 08:07
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +100 $84 92¢ $93 +$9 11-08 21:57
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $79 46¢ $91 +$13 11-07 22:06
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +130 $85 70¢ $90 +$5 11-07 20:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? No +100 $75 89¢ $89 +$14 11-09 00:21
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $90 86¢ $86 -$3 09-08 03:19
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +88 $37 98¢ $86 +$50 07-11 18:01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +100 $87 84¢ $85 -$3 11-08 20:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +420 $99 20¢ $84 -$14 09-01 03:55
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? No +83 $34 96¢ $80 +$46 11-07 01:34