Male-Advance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$122

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-08 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

46% 50% +$22

Politics

39% 0% $-33

Sports

15% 0% $-190

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?	No	+500	$35	8¢	$38	+$3	06-08 15:28
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	+73	$29	42¢	$30	+$1	06-06 21:22
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	+500	$35	6¢	$29	$-6	06-06 17:57
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	+200	$20	10¢	$19	$-1	06-06 17:59
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+403	$6	2¢	$6	+$0	06-08 09:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	14	$6.3K	6,500	0	+6,500	open	—	04-01 20:44
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$2.7K	3,752	2,252	+1,500	open	—	04-06 06:20
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	19	$1.2K	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	04-12 21:26
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$981	1,409	1,409	+0	open	—	03-13 05:47
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	1	$978	0	978	-978	open	—	06-06 17:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$840	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	03-03 16:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$794	969	969	+0	open	—	04-01 02:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	13	$644	1,249	0	+1,249	open	—	03-03 18:36
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	6	$640	1,221	0	+1,221	open	—	05-16 03:36
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$576	720	720	+0	open	—	04-01 02:36
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	8	$562	368	368	+0	open	—	04-06 05:52
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	7	$556	400	400	+0	open	—	04-02 17:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$495	500	500	+0	open	—	04-01 02:35
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$425	500	0	+500	open	—	03-03 07:26
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$405	300	300	+0	open	—	03-15 02:49
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$380	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-03 06:41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	10	$373	750	750	+0	open	—	04-01 03:39
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$370	500	0	+500	open	—	03-07 00:22
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	17	$345	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 22:48
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	7	$344	500	500	+0	open	—	04-08 03:39
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	4	$325	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 22:00
Rockets vs. Lakers	11	$292	2,107	578	+1,528	open	—	04-30 04:46
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$290	500	500	+0	open	—	04-01 02:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$289	211,150	0	+211,150	open	—	03-25 13:09
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	2	$273	600	0	+600	open	—	04-26 17:46
Lakers vs. Rockets	11	$273	2,028	0	+2,028	open	—	04-27 03:28
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	1	$255	500	0	+500	open	—	05-17 04:40
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	1	$250	500	0	+500	open	—	04-15 18:11
Will AJ Brown be traded?	6	$198	151	151	-0	open	—	05-12 19:50
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$195	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:28:54	AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?	No	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xefca44…
06-08 09:46:40	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x920eb7…
06-08 06:37:01	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x071b30…
06-07 09:53:42	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xbc56d8…
06-07 09:53:21	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe9ef4c…
06-06 21:22:09	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	73	40¢	$29	0x2d7567…
06-06 18:05:00	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$29	0x367e93…
06-06 18:00:24	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	1¢	$4	0xeabe38…
06-06 17:59:10	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x578b92…
06-06 17:57:09	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xffbc63…
06-06 17:54:49	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	978	100¢	$978	0x6666c4…
05-17 04:40:46	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0xefbad7…
05-16 03:36:32	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xe50f18…
05-16 02:40:53	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xb48641…
05-16 02:26:21	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xb4fabb…
05-16 02:25:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xa7b7a1…
05-16 02:17:59	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xcd1d99…
05-16 01:44:46	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xe47392…
05-16 01:44:11	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x445bcf…
05-16 01:40:42	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x14ae69…
05-15 22:00:46	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	48	65¢	$31	0xec071d…
05-15 21:19:22	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	152	65¢	$98	0xc3eefb…
05-15 20:40:14	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x887613…
05-15 19:39:51	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	272	65¢	$177	0x524239…
05-15 19:35:15	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0xcaa494…
05-15 19:33:32	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	421	71¢	$300	0x1cbf2d…
05-12 19:50:39	Will AJ Brown be traded?	Yes	SELL	151	98¢	$148	0x003d3a…
05-06 01:50:28	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xaa2b69…
05-06 00:27:38	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xffee7c…
05-06 00:26:36	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x0bcb0c…
05-05 06:08:48	Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa3fb69…
05-05 06:08:40	Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xdfce0b…
05-05 06:07:50	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,124	0¢	$6	0xa7df7d…
05-01 06:47:24	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x75ef5c…
04-30 04:46:04	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x52fb39…
04-30 04:41:54	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	231	3¢	$7	0xec05a9…
04-30 04:41:52	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf3fdff…
04-30 04:41:52	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x096829…
04-30 04:35:58	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0xa61a5d…
04-30 04:25:24	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0xf8f679…
04-30 04:25:24	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	468	10¢	$47	0x2a9234…
04-30 04:23:30	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x822d97…
04-30 04:11:06	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x4fbe82…
04-30 04:06:58	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5a53f1…
04-30 04:01:16	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x7c1a6a…
04-28 08:52:42	Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xbac6b9…
04-28 07:33:32	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x00f0ec…
04-28 06:01:02	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x76de3e…
04-28 06:01:02	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x70068b…
04-28 05:56:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$7	0x253a66…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x7acf52…
04-28 05:56:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	456	2¢	$7	0x30acb3…
04-27 09:44:20	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x579664…
04-27 08:29:04	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3d742d…
04-27 07:03:52	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	Yes	BUY	121	2¢	$2	0x8a578b…
04-27 03:28:56	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	435	2¢	$7	0x93b001…
04-27 03:28:48	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x0f457c…
04-27 03:18:14	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0xfb6cb9…
04-27 03:11:50	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0x8b00df…
04-27 03:10:26	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x28ad21…
04-27 03:07:26	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x2372cb…
04-27 02:50:34	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	150	27¢	$40	0xc26bf0…
04-27 02:43:04	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x054bd7…
04-27 02:28:58	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0xcf6758…
04-27 02:24:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x3aefd7…
04-26 22:48:46	Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	Yes	SELL	204	40¢	$82	0xc0bcdd…
04-26 22:47:06	Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	Yes	SELL	94	40¢	$38	0x696e35…
04-26 19:29:30	Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5	No	BUY	97	50¢	$48	0xf3f139…
04-26 18:19:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	832	2¢	$12	0x07806e…
04-26 18:13:58	Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2eac40…
04-26 17:59:20	Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5	Yes	BUY	167	53¢	$89	0xa0a7d4…
04-26 17:55:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$4	0x82dc69…
04-26 17:46:40	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0xc7f1ef…
04-26 17:06:22	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	150	39¢	$58	0x2418c5…
04-26 17:00:54	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x4c9fe9…
04-26 02:09:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	487	4¢	$17	0x7e1cdb…
04-26 02:07:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$18	0x9ec0be…
04-26 02:05:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x352f58…
04-26 00:42:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xde9dc7…
04-25 22:48:58	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4f54c1…
04-25 22:39:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x71c282…
04-25 22:36:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd9d416…
04-25 08:17:50	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xefb923…
04-25 03:02:46	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x89807e…
04-25 03:02:36	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x5fcc34…
04-25 03:02:26	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xea1288…
04-25 03:02:18	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x8bef88…
04-25 03:02:08	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xb76ec3…
04-25 01:45:04	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x45260c…
04-25 01:44:54	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xd8292e…
04-25 01:44:44	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xdbd543…
04-25 01:44:36	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x0c43af…
04-25 01:44:26	Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xc267a2…
04-24 17:56:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	112	29¢	$33	0x4779a9…
04-24 17:56:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0x62a33f…
04-24 17:55:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	156	29¢	$45	0x58f848…
04-24 01:24:04	will 1 quarterback be drafted in the first round of the 2026 pro football draft	Yes	BUY	240	10¢	$24	0x72efa5…
04-23 23:59:02	Will Los Angeles Rams draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x5eceac…
04-23 23:59:02	Will Arizona Cardinals draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x401e54…
04-23 22:36:34	will 1 quarterback be drafted in the first round of the 2026 pro football draft	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5161d6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	62	$34.8K	6,653	05-10 16:21
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	61	$248.6K	19,069	06-05 17:57
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	61	$10.7K	2,261	06-08 15:28
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	60	$483.2K	9,379	06-09 16:04
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	55	$6.15K	3,377	06-08 15:28
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	54	$49.8K	853	06-05 05:13
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	53	$142.4K	11,602	05-31 16:12
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	48	$79.2K	6,068	04-27 21:14