Gargantuan-Barrage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

796

lifetime

Volume

$136.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Politics

41% 100% +$22

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$13.6K	8,194	8,194	+0	open	—	04-23 21:22
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	5	$12.2K	7,568	10,958	-3,390	open	—	01-03 08:00
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	4	$6.9K	4,359	5,230	-870	open	—	01-03 11:06
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	4	$6.3K	5,264	5,264	+0	open	—	01-03 08:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$5.8K	3,499	3,499	+0	open	—	04-05 12:34
us forces in venezuela by march 31 2026	3	$5.6K	3,710	4,741	-1,031	open	—	01-03 11:06
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	21	$5.4K	3,371	3,371	+0	open	—	04-21 17:03
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	23	$5.2K	3,669	3,669	+0	open	—	05-01 16:01
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	7	$4.2K	13,460	23,327	-9,867	open	—	01-06 22:18
will the united states of america win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	52	$3.8K	4,004	1,895	+2,109	open	—	02-19 20:54
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	5	$3.5K	14,872	0	+14,872	open	—	01-04 21:15
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$2.9K	4,169	1,389	+2,780	open	—	01-25 04:14
maduro out by february 28 2026	2	$2.8K	2,272	2,272	+0	open	—	01-03 11:07
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$2.7K	1,562	1,562	+0	open	—	04-05 12:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$2.3K	2,422	0	+2,422	open	—	04-08 01:09
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 25 2026	38	$2.2K	5,194	0	+5,194	open	—	01-24 12:36
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$2.0K	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	01-12 07:07
us forces seize another oil ship by january 24 2026	8	$1.7K	1,101	1,101	+0	open	—	01-20 22:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$1.7K	3,473	602	+2,871	open	—	04-08 01:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$1.5K	4,450	4,450	+0	open	—	03-30 01:38
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 17 2026	9	$1.3K	1,741	0	+1,741	open	—	01-09 12:43
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 31 2026	46	$1.3K	2,122	3,618	-1,496	open	—	01-30 17:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	3	$1.3K	805	805	+0	open	—	03-09 02:12
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$1.1K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	03-05 22:33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,801	0	+1,801	open	—	01-21 12:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$1.0K	568	568	+0	open	—	01-26 21:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$1.0K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	04-08 01:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$1000	1,025	0	+1,025	open	—	03-30 01:39
will the us embassy in venezuela reopen by march 31	9	$921	1,315	0	+1,315	open	—	02-18 11:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$912	644	644	+0	open	—	05-30 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 09:36:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0x675ed8…
05-31 11:48:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	310	82¢	$254	0x2c14aa…
05-30 17:57:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	260	98¢	$254	0x9883ec…
05-30 15:36:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	165	83¢	$137	0x9c3daf…
05-29 19:38:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0xb962d3…
05-29 19:36:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x7a6bae…
05-29 18:49:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	260	92¢	$239	0xe9ac88…
05-28 18:10:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x271f43…
05-28 18:10:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb33760…
05-27 07:25:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	519	77¢	$400	0xcab4ff…
05-25 13:18:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xc876c5…
05-24 19:26:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0x9d80bc…
05-16 16:32:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,739	23¢	$400	0x97754d…
05-08 09:08:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	292	98¢	$284	0xdf5982…
05-08 09:08:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x264aaa…
05-08 08:57:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef751e…
05-08 08:41:28	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	747	13¢	$100	0x8c12d9…
05-08 08:40:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0x83d4aa…
05-08 08:39:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c487a…
05-07 11:11:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x9af78e…
05-07 11:01:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	762	54¢	$412	0x7a4c6f…
05-07 10:57:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xeaa484…
05-07 10:55:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xe52117…
05-07 10:51:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9f7271…
05-07 10:37:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8a4484…
05-07 10:33:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc44fde…
05-07 02:08:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	50¢	$46	0xc7dfd6…
05-07 02:05:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18734b…
05-07 01:37:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x1d8edb…
05-01 16:01:20	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,165	100¢	$2,163	0x73febe…
05-01 15:47:50	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x44774c…
05-01 15:15:34	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x74caed…
05-01 15:10:52	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	355	88¢	$313	0x33101a…
05-01 13:33:58	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	598	84¢	$502	0x8eafe3…
05-01 13:31:58	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	130	84¢	$109	0xccbb1a…
05-01 13:29:40	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x1e0678…
05-01 13:24:46	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x928cc1…
05-01 12:39:48	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	659	85¢	$558	0xf3fa1f…
05-01 12:38:30	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	101	88¢	$89	0xc19af3…
04-26 18:34:46	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	128	87¢	$112	0x3fc487…
04-26 18:34:46	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0x12bfdd…
04-23 21:22:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	4,726	100¢	$4,716	0x496b3b…
04-23 20:06:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	833	0¢	$1	0xdf7038…
04-23 01:29:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,568	95¢	$2,439	0x417e78…
04-23 01:25:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x81a555…
04-23 01:18:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,158	95¢	$1,100	0xe2d915…
04-22 23:18:56	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x1b62fd…
04-22 23:18:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	2,635	89¢	$2,333	0x18601c…
04-22 17:48:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x9bea2e…
04-22 12:40:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0xf4d3da…
04-22 12:40:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x4c5c72…
04-22 12:39:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	800	70¢	$556	0x4ecd6f…
04-22 12:33:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	230	43¢	$100	0xe05071…
04-22 12:29:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,205	83¢	$1,000	0x82a521…
04-21 20:32:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	554	67¢	$371	0x7c1aaf…
04-21 20:31:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd88406…
04-21 20:31:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0x55cef4…
04-21 19:55:38	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x044001…
04-21 18:45:28	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8a227b…
04-21 18:32:48	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	54¢	$269	0xfea8c7…
04-21 18:20:06	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	115	45¢	$52	0xd11afa…
04-21 18:19:10	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	BUY	110	42¢	$46	0x5c0093…
04-21 17:03:24	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,371	100¢	$3,368	0x0c4db2…
04-21 16:52:22	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	494	94¢	$464	0x86b1aa…
04-21 16:51:10	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	142	94¢	$133	0xb53909…
04-21 16:51:00	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0x49ec7b…
04-21 16:49:38	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x48ee0c…
04-19 22:44:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	60	51¢	$30	0xb7e7b0…
04-19 21:16:52	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	48¢	$193	0x17dce9…
04-19 20:56:24	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	297	60¢	$179	0xe88ce4…
04-19 20:55:48	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xfb487e…
04-19 20:55:42	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	85	60¢	$50	0xbc0f99…
04-19 20:55:24	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	229	56¢	$128	0x2bad7d…
04-19 20:55:08	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	154	56¢	$86	0x169b4f…
04-19 20:55:02	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x050296…
04-19 20:54:46	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	272	49¢	$134	0xb64440…
04-19 20:54:46	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x37dc7c…
04-19 20:53:42	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x5127b8…
04-19 20:53:08	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x0147a8…
04-19 20:49:04	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0x09d50c…
04-14 17:22:02	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	SELL	177	8¢	$14	0x25faf6…
04-14 15:51:01	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	SELL	534	8¢	$42	0x06bc71…
04-14 14:57:49	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x32bcfc…
04-14 14:57:13	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	SELL	246	9¢	$22	0xe99d16…
04-13 18:48:35	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	210	10¢	$21	0x16d29d…
04-13 18:48:29	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	233	10¢	$23	0x739a00…
04-12 20:51:35	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	453	66¢	$299	0xf30b74…
04-12 19:27:53	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd1f8c5…
04-12 19:02:13	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x5674f6…
04-12 19:01:43	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x8b86f6…
04-10 17:55:35	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0x549856…
04-10 17:20:53	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x0403b6…
04-10 15:08:37	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	253	12¢	$30	0xe0592c…
04-10 15:08:23	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	419	2¢	$10	0x3a5e2f…
04-10 14:25:13	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x27596d…
04-08 10:51:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	836	60¢	$500	0x86c1c0…
04-08 01:43:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x97f4c0…
04-08 01:17:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x63a538…
04-08 01:16:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0x7315ad…
04-08 01:16:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	602	100¢	$600	0x2fb6b8…