Orderly-Pain 0x30ecc6…e2cebb
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
36.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
651
lifetime
Volume
$1.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$150
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-10 06:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
43% — —
Politics
43% 50% $-4
Tech
8% — —
Sports
6% 0% $-3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +22 $15 88¢ $20 +$4 06-09 01:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -15 $-13 90¢ $-13 $-1 06-07 13:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $13 38¢ $11 $-2 06-07 09:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +55 $20 20¢ $11 $-10 06-06 22:07
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -10 $-8 80¢ $-8 +$0 06-06 18:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -10 $-7 72¢ $-7 +$0 06-08 03:01
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +51 $9 14¢ $7 $-2 06-10 00:43
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +38 $5 15¢ $6 +$1 06-10 06:28
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-6 +$0 05-28 17:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +43 $6 12¢ $5 $-1 06-10 02:16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:57
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 20:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 06-09 10:07
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -15 $-5 29¢ $-4 +$1 06-07 08:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 06-10 03:51
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 +$0 06-08 02:50
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -5 $-4 80¢ $-4 +$0 06-07 20:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 06-07 08:25
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $-0 06-07 17:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $-0 06-07 21:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -25 $-4 11¢ $-3 +$1 06-08 19:02
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +3 $2 86¢ $3 +$0 06-06 00:37
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -8 $-3 25¢ $-2 +$1 06-08 06:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No -5 $-2 40¢ $-2 $-0 06-06 22:03
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 06-04 14:18
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +8 $3 22¢ $2 $-1 06-07 00:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-07 08:30
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -10 $-0 10¢ $-1 $-1 06-06 20:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5 $-1 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 15:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No +2 $2 21¢ $0 $-1 06-04 04:24