Orderly-Pain 0x30ecc6…e2cebb
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
36.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,433
lifetime
Volume
$3.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$208
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-30 11:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
48% — —
Politics
45% 50% $-4
Tech
4% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-3
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -35 $-32 86¢ $-30 +$1 06-14 22:03
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +22 $15 100¢ $22 +$7 06-09 01:58
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -24 $-21 90¢ $-21 $-1 06-22 01:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +27 $17 60¢ $16 $-1 06-30 03:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $21 20¢ $12 $-9 06-27 05:44
US recession by end of 2026? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 06-17 11:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -10 $-7 84¢ $-8 $-1 06-08 03:01
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -10 $-8 82¢ $-8 $-0 06-06 18:11
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-24 21:13
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 06-30 06:29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -8 $-3 74¢ $-6 $-3 06-08 06:13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 06-11 19:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-20 07:20
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -10 $-6 48¢ $-5 +$1 06-26 17:42
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-07 20:54
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 06-27 14:08
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-12 13:48
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No -4 $-4 90¢ $-3 +$0 06-28 17:15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-6 34¢ $-3 +$2 05-28 17:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$1 06-12 16:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$0 06-06 00:37
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:55
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-22 08:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -10 $-0 23¢ $-2 $-2 06-06 20:50
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +8 $3 27¢ $2 $-1 06-07 00:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -231 $-9 0¢ $-1 +$8 06-25 05:00
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-12 09:00
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +68 $11 1¢ $1 $-10 06-12 08:07
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 34¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 18:28