Thirsty-Inhibition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

110

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$134.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

$514

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-20 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Politics

67% 84% +$1,373

Other

29% 70% -$5,869

Crypto

2% 67% +$51

Sports

2% 100% +$128

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-482	-$462	97¢	$-468	-$7	09-20 08:27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	+30	$26	91¢	$27	+$1	08-22 20:33
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+19	$17	97¢	$18	+$2	08-26 17:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	124	$36.6K	25,243	23,367	+1,875	Yes	-$551	02-24 12:33
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	7	$9.7K	5,405	5,405	+0	No	+$48	01-24 11:17
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$9.2K	9,591	0	+9,591	No	+$398	01-23 19:43
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	36	$8.7K	5,148	5,148	+0	Yes	+$1,624	04-08 01:08
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	30	$8.0K	9,568	200	+9,368	No	+$1,752	04-16 14:12
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	7	$5.5K	5,759	0	+5,759	India	+$262	03-08 16:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$3.9K	10,623	10,623	+0	Yes	-$1,461	03-01 05:33
dota2 tundra aur1 2026 03 01	16	$3.8K	2,041	2,091	-50	Tundra Esports	+$163	03-01 19:34
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	8	$3.5K	3,710	0	+3,710	G2 Esports	-$3,510	03-21 13:32
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	7	$3.4K	1,924	1,924	+0	open	—	09-28 04:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$3.0K	0	3,200	-3,200	No	-$160	01-20 16:09
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$2.9K	1,500	2,000	-500	No	+$5	01-26 15:00
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	6	$2.9K	3,710	0	+3,710	G2 Esports	-$2,902	03-20 14:26
nba gsw bos 2026 03 18	1	$2.8K	2,900	0	+2,900	Celtics	+$128	03-19 00:00
crint bgd pak 2026 03 15	6	$2.5K	2,662	0	+2,662	Bangladesh	+$151	03-15 16:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	56	$2.4K	5,522	3,322	+2,200	Yes	-$629	01-29 16:50
dota2 liquid ts8 2026 03 14	3	$2.0K	2,090	0	+2,090	Team Liquid	+$70	03-14 19:50
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	JD Gaming	+$0	03-20 14:22
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	3	$1.2K	755	755	+0	open	—	09-28 23:30
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	10	$1.1K	850	850	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$36	03-02 13:20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	8	$1.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	Team Spirit	-$16	08-23 08:23
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$940	500	500	+0	open	—	06-28 07:09
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$926	490	490	+0	open	—	09-20 08:41
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	7	$899	459	459	+0	No	+$4	04-18 16:34
lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	7	$865	500	500	+0	G2 Esports	+$55	03-01 20:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$763	4,767	0	+4,767	Yes	-$763	04-04 12:37
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	5	$658	500	500	+0	TEAM VISION	+$92	08-22 12:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$612	443	443	+0	No	+$12	02-28 17:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$585	500	500	+0	Yes	-$113	04-08 05:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	6	$475	500	0	+500	No	+$24	05-08 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 17:39:33	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0x46477d…
10-20 17:38:56	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x6c9d87…
10-20 17:38:38	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x1337e7…
10-20 17:36:32	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xc1a7fd…
10-20 17:36:32	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x63f2ba…
10-20 17:36:32	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	SELL	36	85¢	$30	0x1f107e…
09-28 23:30:02	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	755	84¢	$634	0x98842f…
09-28 04:07:02	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	1,924	91¢	$1,751	0x2b1c16…
09-20 08:41:09	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	490	96¢	$471	0xb1e1e6…
09-20 08:27:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	482	96¢	$462	0xeeb79d…
09-04 16:19:40	Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0x817dfd…
09-04 06:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xb3846d…
09-04 06:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x18aaa3…
09-04 06:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0xfe3587…
09-04 06:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xd1bb8a…
09-02 19:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xd0821e…
08-29 08:29:04	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x367b2a…
08-26 17:10:13	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xf0834c…
08-26 16:05:13	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	255	71¢	$181	0xebfcee…
08-26 15:11:42	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0xa44abe…
08-23 08:23:42	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x70b726…
08-23 08:17:07	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	297	29¢	$86	0x375e88…
08-23 08:17:03	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	303	29¢	$88	0x00ffd9…
08-23 08:00:36	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	701	33¢	$231	0x153018…
08-23 08:00:30	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	99	33¢	$33	0x2415eb…
08-23 07:12:21	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0xaa1283…
08-23 06:51:24	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	SELL	251	9¢	$23	0x44e174…
08-23 06:51:22	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	SELL	335	9¢	$30	0x6af8bd…
08-23 06:51:15	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	SELL	196	9¢	$18	0x53d0f3…
08-23 06:50:39	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xe828f9…
08-23 06:50:34	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	SELL	216	9¢	$19	0xe5358f…
08-23 06:49:30	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x3e9ba1…
08-23 06:43:00	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	177	49¢	$87	0xad91b3…
08-23 06:43:00	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	323	49¢	$158	0xabed56…
08-23 03:13:49	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	35¢	$21	0xbab157…
08-23 03:12:06	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x9479aa…
08-23 03:12:06	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	35¢	$12	0x1cfc41…
08-22 20:37:39	Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xb7fb19…
08-22 20:36:16	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22	Team Spirit	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x0499d5…
08-22 20:33:03	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x9925bf…
08-22 13:43:58	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22 game1	BoomBoys	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xeff9e9…
08-22 13:43:22	dota2 boombo ts8 2026 08 22 game1	BoomBoys	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x2638af…
08-22 12:22:36	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	Team Yandex	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xba69db…
08-22 12:17:42	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	Team Yandex	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x8fd4f5…
08-22 12:13:49	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0x696259…
08-22 11:29:18	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x35cfbd…
08-22 09:00:25	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x43aed3…
08-22 05:46:34	dota2 ngx boombo 2026 08 22 game1	BoomBoys	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x294c3c…
08-21 13:39:18	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	TEAM VISION	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xaeb2b5…
08-21 12:54:54	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	TEAM VISION	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x642dd8…
08-21 11:16:48	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	TEAM VISION	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x023e57…
08-21 09:31:48	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	SELL	150	68¢	$102	0xd8cdb0…
08-21 09:28:57	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xf08a64…
08-21 09:27:01	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Liquid	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xa38117…
08-20 23:24:07	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	110	62¢	$68	0x9e7f9a…
08-20 23:24:06	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	190	62¢	$117	0x70cd85…
08-20 13:57:31	dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xd1e392…
08-20 12:44:57	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc9ca95…
08-20 12:44:57	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0xa707d1…
08-20 11:40:34	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x597871…
08-20 11:16:31	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf0863f…
08-20 11:12:46	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x48adeb…
08-20 11:08:36	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xbf20b9…
08-20 11:03:31	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	57	45¢	$26	0xe2987f…
08-20 11:03:18	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xc856ef…
08-20 11:03:18	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x388ffc…
08-20 08:46:18	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0xe5ab86…
08-20 08:42:45	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	538	28¢	$151	0xe052f5…
08-20 06:54:40	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	TEAM VISION	BUY	91	28¢	$25	0xb51237…
08-20 06:52:13	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	TEAM VISION	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x7f16c7…
08-20 05:24:46	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19	Team Spirit	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xaf71f8…
08-20 05:03:19	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game2	Team Spirit	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xf48b89…
08-19 18:15:13	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9d48ec…
08-19 16:21:28	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19	Team Spirit	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4b2ae6…
08-19 15:42:16	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19	Team Spirit	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xef0347…
08-19 08:50:07	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	BUY	73	71¢	$52	0xa8a64f…
08-19 05:53:27	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20	TEAM VISION	BUY	272	73¢	$199	0xd06a7d…
06-30 18:47:26	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	111	80¢	$88	0x48c98f…
06-28 07:10:20	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	48	81¢	$39	0x72e542…
06-28 07:10:08	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xd3cad3…
06-28 07:09:41	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$480	0x578e7b…
06-03 03:31:11	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	490	93¢	$455	0x17b159…
05-12 21:03:01	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	666	82¢	$546	0xebd51a…
05-11 05:40:38	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x17aa31…
05-09 17:34:31	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x9c1101…
05-09 02:25:57	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x818c25…
05-08 09:27:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	139	95¢	$132	0xc12fff…
05-08 09:26:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x679029…
05-08 09:24:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0xcdfb09…
05-08 09:21:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	204	95¢	$194	0xc893f6…
05-08 09:21:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2b9dbd…
05-08 09:16:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x8ca146…
04-18 16:34:20	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	397	98¢	$391	0x757d70…
04-18 06:47:40	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	149	99¢	$148	0x8dd29d…
04-18 06:47:20	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5030fc…
04-18 06:47:18	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xaf0ee2…
04-16 14:12:28	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xbd721f…
04-08 20:00:29	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x13becf…
04-08 19:57:05	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xe26b1d…
04-08 19:56:31	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x17b0de…