Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$211

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

8 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 08-09 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

58% 38% +$0

Crypto

24% 67% -$5

Politics

16% 25% -$13

Sports

2% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-09).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	No	+7	$5	92¢	$7	+$2	07-25 14:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+32	$1	12¢	$4	+$3	08-07 17:05
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	+54	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	07-25 14:36
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	+41	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	07-25 14:46
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	9¢	$1	$0	07-25 14:26
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+23	$1	3¢	$1	$0	07-25 14:25
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+19	$1	3¢	$1	$0	07-25 13:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+8	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	07-19 18:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$36	21	21	+0	No	+$6	07-11 11:35
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	07-05 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:40 UTC	3	$13	493	8	+485	Down	-$7	07-19 19:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	07-19 19:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	07-19 19:55
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	1	$10	56	0	+56	No	-$10	07-23 19:56
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 1 2026 20260722225036925	1	$6	58	0	+58	No	-$6	07-23 20:18
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	1	$6	41	0	+41	No	-$6	07-23 20:20
israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	2	$6	64	0	+64	No	-$6	07-25 10:48
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	07-25 14:25
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	1	$5	54	0	+54	open	—	07-25 14:36
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	1	$5	29	0	+29	Yes	+$24	07-23 20:23
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$5	43	0	+43	No	-$5	07-05 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:05 UTC	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	07-18 17:07
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	07-11 11:37
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-25 14:49
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	07-05 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:05 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	07-19 20:08
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	07-22 18:32
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	07-23 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:30 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	07-19 19:34
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$4	411	0	+411	No	-$4	07-16 19:46
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	1	$3	41	0	+41	open	—	07-25 14:46
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	2	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$3	07-20 11:53
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	2	$3	22	0	+22	No	-$3	07-25 13:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-20 11:13
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 2 2026 20260722225036926	1	$1	57	0	+57	No	-$1	08-04 17:41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	07-25 14:31
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 6 2026 20260722225036930	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	-$1	08-04 17:42
will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	1	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	08-05 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 15:05:46	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8a1949…
08-07 17:05:25	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x229f41…
08-05 10:47:48	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc46bbe…
08-04 17:42:00	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 6 2026 20260722225036930	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbe8283…
08-04 17:41:47	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 2 2026 20260722225036926	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x2b7245…
07-25 14:49:10	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe8f899…
07-25 14:46:03	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x4e3e8c…
07-25 14:36:45	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x2d4b6f…
07-25 14:31:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x53aac7…
07-25 14:26:43	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x18251d…
07-25 14:25:40	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7863c4…
07-25 14:25:10	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x30868b…
07-25 13:50:28	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x97127e…
07-25 13:49:48	will houthis successfully target shipping on july 27 2026 20260722225036920	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc68441…
07-25 13:45:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x22f4b3…
07-25 10:48:18	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5ea674…
07-23 20:23:15	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x57fd5f…
07-23 20:22:42	Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeb7699…
07-23 20:20:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	Yes	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0x9f85c3…
07-23 20:18:30	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 1 2026 20260722225036925	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0xab3f07…
07-23 19:56:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9ff097…
07-22 18:33:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x29f8c6…
07-22 18:32:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4a5092…
07-20 11:53:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe38996…
07-20 11:13:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x792f8f…
07-19 20:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x62655a…
07-19 19:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6731d1…
07-19 19:51:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf7478f…
07-19 19:51:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3ab1fb…
07-19 19:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	485	1¢	$5	0x693fa1…
07-19 19:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x2d572b…
07-19 19:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x41a753…
07-19 19:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe2931f…
07-19 18:10:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xedea89…
07-19 18:06:13	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x930343…
07-19 17:55:09	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3633d6…
07-18 17:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x934bcd…
07-18 16:10:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0fa285…
07-18 16:08:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x87f1e2…
07-18 16:07:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x56a988…
07-18 16:05:27	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7a3ba3…
07-16 19:46:28	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	165	1¢	$1	0x423593…
07-11 11:37:46	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xabbb23…
07-11 11:35:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x36ee92…
07-05 22:12:05	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	245	1¢	$2	0x569580…
07-05 17:02:43	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xd5b061…
07-05 16:58:40	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xde9230…
07-05 16:57:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x80ce9c…
06-22 12:05:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xa7a119…
06-22 12:02:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb14bbd…