Realized P&L
-$387
Unrealized P&L
-$7.20K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,259
lifetime
Volume
$297.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$35.0K
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 07-01 02:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
84% 0% $-387
Other
15%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +97,118 $34,961 30¢ $28.6K $-6,311 06-30 15:54
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +2,293 $1,841 86¢ $2.0K +$142 06-15 13:55
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +933 $866 94¢ $881 +$15 06-15 09:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,299 $1,637 54¢ $695 $-942 06-15 06:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +665 $620 95¢ $629 +$9 06-15 10:25
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +451 $469 94¢ $422 $-48 06-16 11:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -434 $-380 88¢ $-384 $-4 06-15 09:22
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +368 $348 96¢ $353 +$5 06-16 12:12
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +483 $288 62¢ $302 +$14 06-17 20:36
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -209 $-190 99¢ $-207 $-17 06-04 14:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -214 $-201 96¢ $-206 $-5 06-15 09:31
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -118 $-57 88¢ $-104 $-47 06-15 09:31
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -109 $-85 95¢ $-104 $-18 06-15 09:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +69 $59 95¢ $65 +$6 06-15 12:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4 $26 100¢ $4 $-22 06-13 20:06
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -2 $6 94¢ $-2 $-8 06-15 09:31
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +0 $27 94¢ $0 $-27 06-15 09:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +0 $-12 92¢ $0 +$12 06-15 09:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $-50 90¢ $0 +$50 06-15 09:31