Realized P&L
-$387
Unrealized P&L
-$14.6K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,335
lifetime
Volume
$303.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$227
Open exposure
$28.5K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 07-19 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
83% 0% $-387
Other
15%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +109,516 $38,298 22¢ $24.6K $-13,657 07-12 18:33
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +933 $866 94¢ $881 +$15 06-15 09:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,299 $1,637 57¢ $747 $-890 06-15 06:28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +665 $620 95¢ $632 +$12 06-15 10:25
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +451 $469 88¢ $399 $-70 06-16 11:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -434 $-380 92¢ $-397 $-17 06-15 09:22
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +368 $348 96¢ $352 +$4 06-16 12:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -214 $-201 96¢ $-206 $-4 06-15 09:31
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -109 $-85 98¢ $-106 $-21 06-15 09:31
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -118 $-57 88¢ $-103 $-46 06-15 09:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +69 $59 96¢ $66 +$7 06-15 12:26
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -2 $6 94¢ $-2 $-8 06-15 09:31
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +0 $27 96¢ $0 $-27 06-15 09:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-16 52¢ $0 +$17 07-05 17:56
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +0 $-12 93¢ $0 +$12 06-15 09:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $-50 92¢ $0 +$50 06-15 09:31