Actual-Waiver 0xc973a6…9ebdab
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$174
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
486
Trades
788
lifetime
Volume
$2.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$112
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-29 15:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 75% -$28
Politics
31% 44% -$8
Other
26% 46% -$142
Sports
1% 40% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +16 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 10-10 10:06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -12 -$11 87¢ $-11 +$1 10-01 07:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -10 -$7 60¢ $-6 +$1 06-07 06:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -30 -$6 17¢ $-5 +$1 09-02 14:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 $3 42¢ $5 +$2 10-12 18:19
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs Vitality +6 $5 76¢ $4 -$1 10-29 15:25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6 $4 68¢ $4 +$0 10-20 17:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $4 68¢ $4 +$0 10-20 17:08
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +10 $5 44¢ $4 -$1 05-04 08:50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -85 -$3 4¢ $-4 $0 10-12 18:23
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -3 -$4 100¢ $-3 +$0 06-03 06:38
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -13 -$2 26¢ $-3 -$1 05-11 18:02
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +20 $4 17¢ $3 -$1 10-11 13:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7 $4 50¢ $3 -$1 10-19 13:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -12 -$1 27¢ $-3 -$2 09-14 07:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 10-10 10:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +129 $9 2¢ $3 -$6 05-22 14:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -9 -$3 33¢ $-3 +$0 10-28 07:30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23 $3 12¢ $3 $0 10-12 18:24
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +9 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 10-01 08:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10 $3 26¢ $3 $0 10-27 17:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $3 40¢ $3 $0 10-28 14:05
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -11 -$1 22¢ $-2 -$2 09-14 07:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 -$2 82¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 06:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -36 -$5 6¢ $-2 +$3 10-27 17:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 10-12 18:20
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-01 08:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 10-27 17:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 07-12 14:03
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +5 $2 37¢ $2 $0 10-12 18:24