Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
-$216
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
284
lifetime
Volume
$12.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$784
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-02 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56% 0% $-80
Politics
39%
Sports
4%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +320 $153 57¢ $184 +$31 06-25 12:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +390 $101 24¢ $96 $-6 07-02 12:30
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +655 $150 14¢ $89 $-61 05-31 05:25
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +998 $100 $75 $-25 06-19 16:20
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -267 $-112 27¢ $-72 +$40 06-26 17:09
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +630 $100 10¢ $63 $-37 05-29 16:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +435 $100 14¢ $61 $-39 06-01 06:59
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +370 $52 12¢ $43 $-9 06-30 15:13
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -625 $-35 $-39 $-4 06-23 11:39
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +364 $50 $29 $-21 06-08 15:10
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +451 $100 $25 $-75 06-17 18:04
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Yes +41 $19 22¢ $9 $-10 05-29 15:45