Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
-$360
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
327
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$940
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-21 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56% 0% $-80
Politics
35%
Sports
8%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +710 $153 16¢ $110 $-43 07-21 11:32
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +320 $153 32¢ $104 $-49 06-25 12:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +250 $102 42¢ $104 +$1 07-06 05:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +435 $100 19¢ $83 $-17 06-01 06:59
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +630 $100 12¢ $76 $-25 05-29 16:25
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +998 $100 $65 $-35 06-19 16:20
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -267 $-112 23¢ $-61 +$51 06-26 17:09
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +460 $51 12¢ $53 +$2 07-06 06:07
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +230 $52 22¢ $52 +$0 07-11 05:51
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +740 $50 $51 +$1 07-06 05:46
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +655 $150 $48 $-102 05-31 05:25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +370 $52 12¢ $43 $-9 06-30 15:13
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -625 $-35 $-36 $-1 06-23 11:39
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +364 $50 $18 $-32 06-08 15:10
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? Yes +190 $21 $14 $-7 07-06 12:36
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +451 $100 $13 $-87 06-17 18:04
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Yes +41 $19 26¢ $11 $-9 05-29 15:45