Dependent-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

Trades

13,349

lifetime

Volume

$51.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-28 01:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

81% — —

Other

13% 21% $-27

Sports

4% 33% $-11

Politics

3% 11% $-24

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 3481 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-93	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-28 01:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down march 23 2026 11pm et	147	$1.7K	1,644	886	+758	open	—	03-24 04:07
nba bos den 2026 02 25	1	$1.4K	2,350	0	+2,350	open	—	02-25 16:32
solana up or down march 24 2026 6am et	107	$1.2K	1,158	649	+509	open	—	03-24 10:59
solana up or down march 24 2026 12am et	106	$1.2K	1,047	631	+416	open	—	03-24 05:07
solana up or down march 24 2026 10am et	82	$1.0K	909	564	+345	open	—	03-24 15:06
xrp up or down march 24 2026 11am et	117	$911	940	442	+498	open	—	03-24 16:04
xrp up or down march 24 2026 10am et	114	$899	926	460	+466	open	—	03-24 15:07
xrp up or down march 24 2026 5am et	106	$862	815	461	+354	open	—	03-24 10:00
solana up or down march 24 2026 11am et	92	$841	872	431	+441	open	—	03-24 16:03
solana up or down march 23 2026 10am et	82	$807	787	433	+354	open	—	03-23 15:11
xrp up or down march 23 2026 11pm et	103	$747	848	374	+474	open	—	03-24 04:02
solana up or down march 23 2026 9am et	83	$662	678	354	+324	open	—	03-23 15:17
solana up or down march 24 2026 5am et	75	$627	696	301	+395	open	—	03-24 10:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	363	$549	16,925	17,065	-140	open	—	05-16 23:03
xrp up or down march 24 2026 6am et	51	$511	495	260	+235	open	—	03-24 11:03
atp shimabu zhukaye 2026 04 15	8	$509	309	300	+9	open	—	04-16 04:55
xrp up or down march 24 2026 12am et	54	$464	499	242	+257	open	—	03-24 04:57
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	60	$455	460	460	+0	Yes	$-0	04-18 11:06
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Kraus	34	$449	978	0	+978	open	—	04-18 12:06
solana up or down march 24 2026 7am et	78	$413	451	207	+244	open	—	03-24 12:04
xrp up or down march 23 2026 9am et	60	$398	417	204	+213	open	—	03-23 15:21
eth updown 15m 1774395900	42	$391	436	207	+229	open	—	03-25 00:01
solana up or down march 24 2026 4am et	44	$362	405	174	+231	open	—	03-24 09:02
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun	16	$334	650	0	+650	open	—	04-18 06:44
solana up or down march 23 2026 11am et	72	$322	747	0	+747	open	—	03-23 15:37
xrp up or down march 24 2026 7am et	79	$322	361	129	+232	open	—	03-24 12:06
solana up or down march 22 2026 11pm et	129	$319	606	0	+606	open	—	03-23 03:48
xrp up or down march 23 2026 10am et	49	$308	365	151	+214	open	—	03-23 15:21
xrp up or down march 24 2026 10pm et	36	$290	333	133	+200	open	—	03-25 02:58
xrp up or down march 23 2026 11am et	71	$287	596	0	+596	open	—	03-23 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 01:44:01	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0xae4704…
05-26 10:23:15	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa7bd58…
05-24 04:00:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	4¢	$8	0x82a18b…
05-23 04:34:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$3	0xea0820…
05-23 00:52:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	1,750	0¢	$5	0x31bbe8…
05-22 19:32:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	779	0¢	$1	0xc0ebcc…
05-22 19:32:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf0b950…
05-22 19:31:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x7bfde9…
05-22 19:30:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x50710b…
05-22 19:29:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xa5b400…
05-22 19:23:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xbe8ea9…
05-22 19:22:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xc58511…
05-22 19:21:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xfb469b…
05-22 19:20:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xab89a7…
05-22 19:19:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x932293…
05-22 19:18:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3508e8…
05-22 19:18:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x9e37b9…
05-22 19:17:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf38289…
05-22 19:16:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x905124…
05-22 19:15:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x854694…
05-22 19:14:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x5f761d…
05-22 19:08:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xe8eb23…
05-22 19:07:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	124	0¢	$0	0x011315…
05-22 11:00:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x283358…
05-22 11:00:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb51454…
05-22 10:58:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x45b205…
05-22 10:54:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x0eb14b…
05-22 10:49:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xaba969…
05-22 10:49:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xd975c0…
05-22 10:49:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xe55fd2…
05-22 10:47:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x5b752b…
05-22 10:47:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x22958a…
05-22 10:47:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xe94176…
05-22 10:47:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x12daa1…
05-22 10:46:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x55327c…
05-22 10:46:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xf04a77…
05-22 10:45:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x8216bb…
05-22 10:45:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xac1433…
05-22 10:44:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x0c3a0d…
05-22 10:44:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x6be9bc…
05-22 10:43:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x67ffd4…
05-22 10:42:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x5b37a4…
05-22 10:41:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x0cf181…
05-22 10:40:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xe19866…
05-22 10:40:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x5b78ad…
05-22 10:39:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xe48cfa…
05-22 10:29:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x1a344b…
05-22 10:28:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x220579…
05-22 10:25:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0x65d7ca…
05-22 10:11:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	448	0¢	$1	0xe50add…
05-22 10:01:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0xe6d59c…
05-22 06:44:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	1,749	0¢	$3	0x48d9c4…
05-22 02:04:47	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0x240749…
05-22 01:58:11	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x412364…
05-22 01:45:30	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x590c02…
05-22 01:19:03	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2664a0…
05-22 01:17:30	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf0463c…
05-22 01:01:59	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xcee479…
05-21 20:28:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	158	2¢	$3	0x3f0565…
05-21 20:26:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0xbb671d…
05-21 20:15:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	165	2¢	$2	0x64db8b…
05-21 20:10:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	165	2¢	$3	0x984595…
05-21 18:52:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	115	3¢	$3	0x654063…
05-21 18:49:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x299485…
05-21 14:51:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	174	2¢	$3	0x9fae2c…
05-21 14:42:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	174	2¢	$3	0x192502…
05-21 14:34:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0x996586…
05-21 14:23:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0x993d1a…
05-21 14:05:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x77bb92…
05-21 13:59:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	134	3¢	$3	0x3063ef…
05-21 13:46:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	103	3¢	$3	0x179c85…
05-21 13:11:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x3dd92a…
05-21 13:09:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xeec93a…
05-21 13:01:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	109	3¢	$4	0xe6fd17…
05-21 12:45:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x795ee8…
05-21 12:42:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0x2f6c63…
05-21 12:25:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	108	3¢	$3	0x773399…
05-21 12:10:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xca5cf6…
05-21 12:06:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4bfc87…
05-21 12:05:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xe1c75a…
05-20 17:04:24	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	438	1¢	$3	0x6f032c…
05-20 09:07:07	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$0	0x89249d…
05-20 04:42:11	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x807178…
05-20 03:35:47	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x44831a…
05-20 03:16:42	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$0	0x646f02…
05-20 01:04:31	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7ede7e…
05-19 16:48:52	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	314	2¢	$6	0x7338a3…
05-19 16:31:53	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	269	1¢	$2	0x7106fa…
05-19 16:30:41	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	314	1¢	$2	0xaab617…
05-19 16:01:19	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	269	1¢	$3	0xecff80…
05-19 14:56:57	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	296	1¢	$3	0xe81cc8…
05-19 14:50:20	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	295	1¢	$3	0x2ff8bd…
05-19 12:08:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	1¢	$2	0x6c2779…
05-19 11:48:07	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	204	2¢	$4	0xf19e2e…
05-19 11:42:56	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x0c1acb…
05-19 11:42:12	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xd58ca6…
05-19 11:36:52	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	84	2¢	$1	0x47644b…
05-19 10:45:49	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x115cd9…
05-19 10:45:39	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	85	3¢	$2	0xda7a1e…
05-19 10:21:49	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	112	3¢	$3	0x1e7fcc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	771	$98.0K	12,377	04-03 03:13
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	728	$219.7K	22,894	03-31 17:41
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	720	$2.73K	9,620	04-03 03:29
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	686	$7.59K	1,834	04-03 03:39
Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0	609	$30.2K	3,538	04-03 03:22
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	528	$172.9K	55,751	03-25 17:29
Insistent-Elicit 0x812f…b06a	520	$22.5K	3,594	04-03 03:40
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	514	$17.9K	1,814	04-03 03:14