Scared-Tower — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$128

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

1,752

Trades

11,545

lifetime

Volume

$396.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$994

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

50% 42% +$21,841

Sports

48% 49% +$14,084

Politics

2% 65% +$197

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+3,319	$671	12¢	$382	-$289	10-15 17:38
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	+727	$191	45¢	$327	+$136	10-26 05:03
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+666	$87	14¢	$90	+$3	10-20 21:21
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+500	$70	14¢	$67	-$2	09-20 03:50
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,000	$62	6¢	$56	-$6	09-21 21:08
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,000	$43	3¢	$28	-$16	09-12 03:25
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+500	$32	5¢	$23	-$9	09-16 03:26
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-500	-$70	3¢	$-16	+$54	04-29 13:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+30	$5	18¢	$5	+$1	10-20 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	289	$20.5K	17,955	18,655	-700	No	-$601	05-13 09:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	40	$16.5K	59,724	11,000	+48,724	Yes	+$45,281	07-19 21:38
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	41	$11.8K	33,938	10,000	+23,938	No	-$10,023	07-18 01:31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	55	$11.5K	30,196	11,669	+18,527	No	-$5,591	07-09 21:24
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	59	$7.7K	26,816	2,618	+24,198	Yes	+$16,998	05-16 22:56
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	5	$7.1K	4,431	3,931	+500	Belgium	+$528	07-01 22:49
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$5.3K	45,000	3,000	+42,000	No	-$4,658	06-27 22:20
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	239	$5.0K	33,938	7,776	+26,162	No	-$1,647	05-14 13:44
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	14	$4.8K	5,216	0	+5,216	Yes	+$422	02-09 04:21
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	109	$4.8K	64,444	7,777	+56,667	No	-$3,428	06-22 07:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	43	$3.9K	3,085	3,085	+0	Yes	+$1,043	07-07 23:46
will cole palmer score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$3.8K	4,003	0	+4,003	No	+$202	06-05 15:32
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	219	$3.7K	8,603	8,603	+0	No	+$145	05-16 15:05
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	216	$3.6K	26,539	4,983	+21,555	No	-$3,511	05-16 22:49
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	4	$3.2K	3,308	0	+3,308	Under	+$102	07-03 01:09
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	4	$3.0K	4,803	0	+4,803	Portugal	-$744	07-03 00:53
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$2.8K	32,222	26,149	+6,073	No	-$2,237	07-06 21:01
will joo pedro score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	8	$2.8K	2,861	0	+2,861	No	+$30	06-11 14:11
Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	5	$2.7K	1,404	1,404	+0	No	+$62	03-27 07:27
cs2 fut mglz 2026 04 10	67	$2.7K	2,505	2,505	+0	FUT Esports	-$40	04-10 18:56
cs2 fut mglz 2026 04 10 total games 2pt5	73	$2.7K	2,588	2,584	+4	Under	-$263	04-10 18:57
Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	5	$2.6K	1,553	1,553	+0	Yes	+$456	04-12 10:54
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	35	$2.6K	6,364	1,111	+5,253	Paraguay	+$3,226	06-29 23:23
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	794	$2.5K	69,379	62,476	+6,902	No	+$826	05-16 22:50
will fermn lpez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	6	$2.4K	2,438	0	+2,438	No	+$57	06-12 04:30
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	16	$2.3K	1,678	1,678	+0	No	+$435	05-14 02:05
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	21	$2.2K	1,140	1,140	+0	No	+$64	04-30 07:39
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$2.0K	2,052	0	+2,052	No	+$15	02-09 04:20
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	133	$2.0K	8,767	0	+8,767	Yes	+$6,764	07-19 20:58
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	191	$1.9K	24,860	24,860	+0	No	-$771	05-16 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:03:38	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x44d583…
10-26 04:07:06	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xa7b428…
10-26 02:49:45	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe04a42…
10-26 02:49:42	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xf00fba…
10-26 02:15:06	Will Brighton finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x16c6a3…
10-25 17:50:54	Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8cd567…
10-25 16:10:45	Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x881da4…
10-25 15:23:23	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	36	62¢	$22	0xbeb9ee…
10-25 15:09:57	Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x803e41…
10-25 14:36:32	Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	214	50¢	$107	0x4549d4…
10-25 14:23:02	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x7d9711…
10-25 14:22:53	Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x029b81…
10-25 13:59:44	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	222	37¢	$82	0x896c3e…
10-25 13:57:26	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	222	43¢	$95	0xc25804…
10-25 13:56:48	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	277	35¢	$97	0xf11d3c…
10-25 13:55:57	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x0e771c…
10-24 03:16:32	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x9717c9…
10-24 03:12:05	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	109	36¢	$39	0x3af523…
10-24 02:53:39	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x66651d…
10-23 23:05:42	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x84daab…
10-23 22:13:24	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	333	63¢	$210	0x2f76ea…
10-23 21:44:45	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xae0440…
10-23 19:53:21	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x9b574b…
10-23 16:58:18	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x1dd0ea…
10-23 16:26:33	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x35d5a9…
10-23 16:26:30	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0xef6f67…
10-23 16:15:08	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0x8263e2…
10-23 16:15:08	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x524e36…
10-23 16:15:05	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	104	36¢	$37	0xdd5441…
10-23 15:50:33	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	169	36¢	$61	0x43da0a…
10-23 15:29:00	Will Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	222	24¢	$53	0x607e21…
10-23 15:28:41	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x7ab978…
10-23 15:28:17	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	222	31¢	$69	0x927189…
10-22 18:06:59	Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x7a6375…
10-22 18:06:57	Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x7221e6…
10-22 18:06:44	Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x483a13…
10-22 18:06:42	Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xdbcacb…
10-22 18:06:42	Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x477089…
10-22 18:06:42	Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x09a6e8…
10-22 16:28:20	Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x5eb985…
10-22 10:35:29	RU Saint-Gilloise vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x2ffd86…
10-22 10:18:15	RU Saint-Gilloise vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x95bc0d…
10-21 18:58:47	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xa4c026…
10-21 18:58:44	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xf81ecc…
10-21 18:49:36	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc2a79d…
10-21 18:49:36	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	64	13¢	$8	0x262da6…
10-21 18:49:33	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	64	13¢	$8	0x05afc6…
10-21 18:23:06	Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xa9f7a1…
10-21 17:23:59	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	222	24¢	$53	0x18b56a…
10-21 16:58:38	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0x8dcb6f…
10-21 16:58:38	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x32d9bd…
10-21 16:58:35	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0xa9c366…
10-21 16:49:32	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x4db43e…
10-21 16:49:30	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x75e25b…
10-21 16:49:30	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x02f3b4…
10-21 16:49:27	Will OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	49	13¢	$6	0x35aa1d…
10-21 15:44:48	NK Celje vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x6fed29…
10-21 15:09:17	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xc0037e…
10-21 04:03:12	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xb1cf74…
10-21 02:17:18	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x44b601…
10-21 02:17:14	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcf88f5…
10-21 02:17:14	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	148	50¢	$74	0x7e8288…
10-20 23:46:26	Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	135	56¢	$76	0x13c9a9…
10-20 23:46:14	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	111	48¢	$53	0x10506a…
10-20 23:45:59	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	BUY	111	59¢	$65	0xde476a…
10-20 23:45:47	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7f04aa…
10-20 23:45:36	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	111	44¢	$49	0x06f363…
10-20 23:44:39	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	234	39¢	$91	0x09fa9b…
10-20 21:21:48	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0xaa76d9…
10-20 20:43:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$5	0x61b720…
10-20 20:37:53	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	167	13¢	$22	0x418c8f…
10-20 19:03:39	Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	181	5¢	$9	0x7af22f…
10-20 19:03:27	Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	263	5¢	$13	0x9e5413…
10-20 19:01:24	Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	666	10¢	$67	0xa9fd7d…
10-20 16:36:56	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x3ce4f5…
10-20 15:37:36	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	194	13¢	$25	0xc13d17…
10-20 10:14:14	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	111	24¢	$27	0x178052…
10-20 10:14:06	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0x2743e3…
10-20 04:24:21	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x100a37…
10-20 04:23:24	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0xe8f29c…
10-20 04:22:35	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xc0cf4d…
10-20 02:13:24	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0xa05806…
10-19 23:11:27	AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x15c356…
10-19 22:35:30	FC Porto vs. PSV: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0x5801b9…
10-19 22:34:33	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x79ebc2…
10-19 21:00:42	Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xe1af85…
10-19 19:35:21	Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xfad9b6…
10-19 19:24:42	Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x59b4f2…
10-19 15:18:38	Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x704b94…
10-19 15:18:36	Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x33a1f2…
10-19 14:33:42	Will OFI win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xcea84f…
10-19 14:33:33	Will OFI win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	543	8¢	$43	0x1e6169…
10-19 12:49:26	Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa6ced3…
10-19 12:38:50	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x081891…
10-19 12:38:48	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xae6547…
10-19 12:38:48	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x91bad1…
10-19 12:38:47	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	98	21¢	$21	0x4b683d…
10-19 12:38:47	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x10a487…
10-19 12:38:45	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x897bbe…
10-19 12:38:45	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2725ae…