Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de58…b4fe0e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$266
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
49
Trades
9,158
lifetime
Volume
$68.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$502
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 06-09 14:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
38% 50% $-156
Crypto
31% 8% $-40
Politics
18% 43% $-62
Sports
12% 64% $-8
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -97 $-91 96¢ $-93 $-2 06-01 20:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -43 $-36 94¢ $-41 $-5 05-28 08:54
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-26 90¢ $-29 $-3 06-06 02:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -125 $-34 22¢ $-27 +$7 06-06 02:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-21 92¢ $-21 $-0 06-06 02:34
Trump out as President before 2027? No -22 $-20 92¢ $-20 $-1 06-06 02:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-23 56¢ $-18 +$6 06-06 02:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -19 $-14 94¢ $-18 $-4 06-06 02:45
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -21 $-14 82¢ $-17 $-3 06-06 02:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-16 88¢ $-16 $-0 06-06 02:35
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -18 $-14 88¢ $-16 $-2 06-06 02:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -15 $-12 88¢ $-13 $-2 06-06 02:35
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -15 $-11 82¢ $-13 $-2 06-06 02:45
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -16 $-12 79¢ $-13 $-0 06-06 02:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -12 $-11 96¢ $-12 $-0 06-06 02:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 $-10 66¢ $-11 $-1 06-06 02:35
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-10 76¢ $-11 $-1 06-06 02:45
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -18 $-9 60¢ $-11 $-2 06-06 02:45
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -12 $-10 88¢ $-10 $-0 06-06 02:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-19 32¢ $-10 +$9 06-06 02:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -14 $-5 70¢ $-10 $-5 06-06 02:45
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -10 $-8 93¢ $-9 $-1 06-06 02:46
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -27 $-8 33¢ $-9 $-1 06-06 02:45
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -10 $-7 84¢ $-9 $-1 06-06 02:45
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -11 $-8 80¢ $-9 $-1 06-06 03:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 84¢ $-8 $-2 06-06 02:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -10 $-8 86¢ $-8 $-1 06-06 02:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-3 55¢ $-8 $-5 06-06 03:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-7 82¢ $-8 $-1 06-06 02:46
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -81 $-11 8¢ $-6 +$5 06-03 18:12