Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de58…b4fe0e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$266
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
49
Trades
9,158
lifetime
Volume
$68.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$646
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 06-09 14:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
38% 50% $-156
Crypto
31% 8% $-40
Politics
18% 43% $-62
Sports
12% 64% $-8
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -97 $-91 95¢ $-92 $-1 06-01 20:33
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No -48 $-48 100¢ $-48 $-0 06-06 02:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -43 $-36 92¢ $-40 $-3 05-28 08:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -125 $-34 26¢ $-32 +$2 06-06 02:44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-26 88¢ $-28 $-2 06-06 02:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -24 $-24 100¢ $-24 $-1 06-06 02:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -23 $-22 100¢ $-23 $-0 06-06 02:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -22 $-20 100¢ $-22 $-2 06-06 02:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -22 $-21 100¢ $-22 $-0 06-06 02:35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -21 $-18 99¢ $-21 $-2 06-06 02:34
Trump out as President before 2027? No -22 $-20 92¢ $-20 $-0 06-06 02:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-21 86¢ $-20 +$1 06-06 02:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-19 63¢ $-20 $-1 06-06 02:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -19 $-14 90¢ $-17 $-3 06-06 02:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -17 $-16 100¢ $-17 $-0 06-06 02:45
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-16 90¢ $-16 $-1 06-06 02:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-23 50¢ $-16 +$8 06-06 02:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -18 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-1 06-06 02:35
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -21 $-14 72¢ $-15 $-2 06-06 02:55
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -15 $-15 100¢ $-15 $-0 06-06 02:45
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -15 $-14 100¢ $-15 $-0 06-06 02:35
Trump out as President by June 30? No -15 $-15 100¢ $-15 $-0 06-06 02:34
Epstein client list released by June 30? No -13 $-12 99¢ $-13 $-1 06-06 02:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -15 $-12 84¢ $-13 $-1 06-06 02:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -12 $-12 100¢ $-12 $-0 06-06 02:45
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -15 $-11 76¢ $-12 $-1 06-06 02:45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -12 $-11 97¢ $-12 $-0 06-06 02:45
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -12 $-11 100¢ $-12 $-0 06-06 02:34
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-2 06-06 02:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 $-10 66¢ $-11 $-1 06-06 02:35