Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de58…b4fe0e
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
3,581
Trades
9,661
lifetime
Volume
$76.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$601
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 10-28 09:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Other
38% 52% -$199
Crypto
28% 46% -$570
Politics
21% 57% -$249
Sports
12% 51% -$737
Tech
1% 66% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 80% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -43 -$39 99¢ $-43 -$4 06-06 02:34
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -50 -$40 82¢ $-41 -$1 05-01 21:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -46 -$35 83¢ $-38 -$3 05-22 11:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -37 -$35 98¢ $-36 -$1 06-01 20:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -44 -$20 66¢ $-30 -$10 06-06 02:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -32 -$23 90¢ $-29 -$6 06-06 02:45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -32 -$26 86¢ $-28 -$2 06-06 02:34
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -28 -$11 90¢ $-25 -$14 06-06 02:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -31 -$21 82¢ $-25 -$4 05-01 14:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -23 -$21 98¢ $-23 -$2 06-06 02:34
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -23 -$20 97¢ $-22 -$2 05-07 04:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -24 -$22 84¢ $-20 +$2 06-06 02:35
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$16 91¢ $-16 -$1 06-06 02:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -17 -$14 92¢ $-16 -$2 06-06 02:34
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -21 -$16 77¢ $-16 +$0 06-06 02:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -16 -$9 96¢ $-15 -$6 05-28 08:54
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -15 -$11 96¢ $-15 -$4 06-06 02:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -15 -$14 97¢ $-15 -$1 05-04 04:09
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -14 -$10 99¢ $-14 -$4 06-06 02:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -17 -$10 78¢ $-13 -$3 06-06 02:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No -13 -$11 99¢ $-13 -$2 06-06 02:34
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -13 -$13 99¢ $-13 $0 06-06 02:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -14 -$5 92¢ $-13 -$8 06-06 02:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -13 -$11 91¢ $-12 -$2 06-06 02:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$10 97¢ $-12 -$2 05-26 04:28
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +43 $10 28¢ $12 +$2 10-28 09:21
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -14 -$11 87¢ $-12 -$1 06-06 02:45
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -16 -$12 74¢ $-12 +$0 06-06 02:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -12 -$11 96¢ $-12 $0 06-06 02:45
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -10 -$7 98¢ $-10 -$3 06-06 02:45