Flat-Celebration 0x0eff52…808897
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
342
Trades
16,008
lifetime
Volume
$38.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$260
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-29 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
43% 50% -$76
Politics
32% 52% -$28
Crypto
11% 77% +$3
Sports
11% 67% +$39
Tech
3% 73% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30? No — +65 $63 98¢ $64 +$1 10-29 20:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? Yes — +55 $54 88¢ $49 -$6 10-29 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? Yes +66 $55 66¢ $43 -$12 10-29 22:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? No — +99 $3 12¢ $12 +$9 10-29 22:28
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-18 10:48
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 95¢ $10 +$2 05-19 14:38
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +11 $4 81¢ $9 +$5 05-18 06:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? No +20 $1 34¢ $7 +$6 10-29 20:10
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +7 $3 92¢ $6 +$3 05-19 06:22
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +7 $4 90¢ $6 +$2 05-18 09:58
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-18 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? Yes — +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-27 23:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? Yes — +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-29 16:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 -$4 91¢ $-4 $0 05-18 06:28
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -5 -$3 88¢ $-4 -$1 05-19 02:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -5 -$3 85¢ $-4 -$1 05-18 07:07
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +11 $6 38¢ $4 -$2 05-19 07:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -5 -$3 62¢ $-3 +$0 05-18 06:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? No — +55 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-29 22:15
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 05-18 06:34
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15 $1 9¢ $1 +$1 05-19 09:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 84¢ $-1 $0 05-18 06:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +8 $3 15¢ $1 -$2 05-18 06:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 $0 84¢ $-0 +$0 05-18 06:28
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +15 $4 3¢ $0 -$4 05-18 07:56
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +6 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 05-19 12:05
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +9 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 05-19 07:37
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? Yes -2 -$1 12¢ $-0 +$0 05-19 02:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30? Yes — +15 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-29 19:42
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -1 -$1 10¢ $-0 +$0 05-18 10:04