Realized P&L
-$49.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.6K
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
323
Trades
54,018
lifetime
Volume
$3.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$53.5K
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 10-27 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Other
65% 44% -$70,630
Politics
35% 64% +$21,654
Crypto
0% 30% -$881
Sports
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 370 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +46,149 $32,586 76¢ $34.8K +$2,256 10-26 11:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +41,218 -$1,593 12¢ $4.7K +$6,333 10-27 11:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +4,678 $3,503 86¢ $4.0K +$503 07-21 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +40,831 $3,318 6¢ $2.4K -$868 10-27 00:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +2,000 $1,700 96¢ $1.9K +$223 09-08 19:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $1,100 24¢ $1.2K +$125 10-16 19:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,000 -$801 88¢ $885 +$1,686 08-01 10:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,216 $852 70¢ $857 +$5 10-26 04:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6,000 -$1,001 14¢ $840 +$1,841 10-21 14:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,135 $934 36¢ $775 -$159 10-26 12:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +4,678 $135 14¢ $671 +$537 08-04 11:59
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes -3,375 -$351 4¢ $-132 +$220 08-27 17:37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +2,000 -$54 4¢ $77 +$131 09-15 18:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +1,500 $171 3¢ $45 -$126 10-26 05:00
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,742 -$1 0¢ $10 +$10 10-10 12:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -169 -$37 6¢ $-9 +$28 05-20 10:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes -140 $353 0¢ $-0 -$354 10-19 19:03
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes -8 -$25 4¢ $-0 +$25 10-07 21:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +0 $212 60¢ $0 -$212 10-21 18:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$475 64¢ $0 +$475 10-15 08:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +0 $70 14¢ $0 -$70 09-08 22:13
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$38 1¢ $0 +$38 08-12 20:15