Athletic-Dash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.3%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$7.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-29 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$3

Politics

31% 0% $-105

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	10	$829	480	485	-5	open	—	04-08 08:37
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	4	$599	335	335	+0	open	—	01-14 17:34
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	4	$572	299	299	+0	open	—	07-29 20:06
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	7	$493	276	276	+0	open	—	03-31 19:54
ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	3	$355	183	183	+0	open	—	03-26 06:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$318	420	91	+329	open	—	01-16 15:08
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	2	$300	317	0	+317	open	—	07-22 05:03
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	4	$267	147	147	+0	open	—	07-22 05:02
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	3	$216	126	126	+0	open	—	07-22 05:03
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	03-18 17:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$202	105	105	+0	open	—	04-07 12:46
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	2	$160	235	0	+235	open	—	02-03 05:28
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$159	109	109	+0	open	—	07-15 21:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	1	$155	0	172	-172	open	—	06-26 19:38
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	3	$153	167	0	+167	open	—	07-29 20:27
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$150	83	83	+0	open	—	04-04 17:13
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	2	$140	188	0	+188	open	—	02-11 20:28
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$115	0	300	-300	open	—	07-12 14:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$112	64	64	+0	open	—	04-23 13:10
nothing ever happens khamenei	5	$108	146	0	+146	open	—	02-18 06:40
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	1	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	01-14 17:35
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	07-17 06:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	5	$91	146	0	+146	Yes	$-91	04-07 12:46
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	3	$82	44	44	+0	open	—	03-29 21:07
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$81	65	65	+0	open	—	04-08 03:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$75	49	49	+0	open	—	05-18 07:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$70	123	17	+106	open	—	02-19 18:22
will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	2	$70	52	52	+0	open	—	02-19 18:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$65	505	191	+314	open	—	07-19 04:01
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	3	$63	46	46	+0	Yes	+$3	04-09 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 20:27:42	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0xc85438…
07-29 20:07:35	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xcad0a6…
07-29 20:06:42	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	299	99¢	$297	0xaf5038…
07-22 12:44:37	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	No	SELL	33	95¢	$32	0xc6c50e…
07-22 11:08:30	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0x7c188b…
07-22 11:07:36	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x7a2d9a…
07-22 05:04:01	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe3a669…
07-22 05:03:54	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xe55404…
07-22 05:03:25	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xca1758…
07-22 05:02:49	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	Yes	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x983e64…
07-20 12:11:43	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0xb0ce15…
07-20 03:49:42	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xb9c151…
07-19 16:06:01	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	162	93¢	$150	0x00473f…
07-19 04:01:51	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3ca1ab…
07-19 04:01:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	505	10¢	$50	0xfea867…
07-19 03:59:54	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xf0b885…
07-19 03:59:15	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe371b5…
07-19 03:59:01	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6bca7c…
07-19 03:58:22	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xb35046…
07-19 03:57:48	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x42236f…
07-19 03:57:43	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf7290c…
07-19 03:57:34	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by december 31 2026 20260716215104508	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x043bc8…
07-19 03:33:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x79856c…
07-19 03:32:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts second half	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x6f781d…
07-17 06:03:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x0effee…
07-15 21:10:38	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x6fc973…
07-15 14:58:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xcd1f1c…
07-15 14:57:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	86	46¢	$40	0xa7a282…
07-15 14:54:41	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x80cdf7…
07-14 20:38:28	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x036562…
07-12 14:54:47	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	38¢	$115	0x75f191…
07-11 18:19:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	8¢	$15	0x0e341e…
07-06 05:40:23	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x439363…
06-30 19:07:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7697f4…
06-30 06:26:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x950782…
06-30 06:23:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Sweden	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd1a3ec…
06-30 06:19:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4abfa3…
06-30 06:10:49	will colombia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149750	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x43429b…
06-30 06:10:07	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd8856c…
06-30 06:09:13	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x63a634…
06-30 06:08:47	will dr congo reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149752	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x38dab6…
06-30 05:59:14	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	68	86¢	$58	0xb2f1f9…
06-30 05:58:59	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x45a482…
06-30 05:51:05	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb806fb…
06-29 18:39:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x8d5282…
06-26 20:33:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xc16c57…
06-26 19:38:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	172	90¢	$155	0xce5151…
06-08 17:05:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x547043…
05-23 05:16:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x13e8d2…
05-18 07:21:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0eec6d…
05-18 07:21:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x5c6184…
04-23 13:10:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x849ce3…
04-14 10:39:29	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xdc33d9…
04-12 18:43:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x679b7b…
04-12 18:38:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x1dc072…
04-10 11:23:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x006945…
04-10 10:59:07	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xb0b38e…
04-10 10:58:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xd75975…
04-09 18:29:17	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	72¢	$17	0xb5cc63…
04-09 12:56:05	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd3cbdf…
04-09 12:56:05	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x119008…
04-09 07:23:05	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x27a389…
04-09 04:25:07	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0xc75cb3…
04-08 08:56:13	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x7928ac…
04-08 08:37:55	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	126	96¢	$121	0xa81179…
04-08 03:07:57	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	65	39¢	$25	0x86cb1c…
04-07 19:23:33	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	121	96¢	$116	0x79a86c…
04-07 19:15:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xad5c82…
04-07 19:15:07	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcdc735…
04-07 19:12:57	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x30df6e…
04-07 19:12:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8cdaa3…
04-07 19:10:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x72d2bb…
04-07 19:09:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x97393f…
04-07 19:08:09	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	238	96¢	$228	0xdd35e3…
04-07 12:49:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0x92122c…
04-07 12:46:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x89a266…
04-07 12:46:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0xca28b8…
04-07 05:03:09	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3486af…
04-05 12:25:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x351acb…
04-04 21:03:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9b34c2…
04-04 17:18:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0x774023…
04-04 17:18:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd1c0c7…
04-04 17:16:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf3c842…
04-04 17:13:21	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x6b97f2…
04-02 04:24:01	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x88712c…
04-01 04:54:31	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xedd6f2…
04-01 04:54:13	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x073609…
04-01 04:54:07	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4f1c27…
04-01 04:52:51	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x6959d0…
04-01 04:50:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf226d6…
03-31 19:55:15	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x0095ef…
03-31 19:54:43	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	SELL	276	99¢	$274	0xfc4749…
03-29 21:07:54	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x44ade2…
03-29 21:07:10	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x18849c…
03-28 03:53:39	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb7d16c…
03-26 06:04:03	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xe6e5d9…
03-26 06:03:53	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xd9d8bd…
03-26 06:01:51	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x88777e…
03-26 06:01:29	ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	No	SELL	183	99¢	$181	0xc72df8…
03-25 09:17:39	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0xc6f5fe…