Realized P&L
-$677
Unrealized P&L
-$253
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
133
Trades
315
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$599
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-15 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
61% 53% +$215
Politics
25% 44% -$866
Sports
12% 27% +$58
Tech
2% 67% -$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -183 -$60 94¢ $-173 -$113 07-12 14:54
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -176 -$60 78¢ $-137 -$78 05-15 14:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -127 -$51 73¢ $-93 -$42 09-05 09:01
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -126 -$16 41¢ $-51 -$35 07-04 18:56
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -63 -$38 78¢ $-49 -$11 09-04 10:10
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -49 -$46 93¢ $-46 +$0 07-06 05:40
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -23 -$22 98¢ $-22 $0 07-04 18:57
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -10 -$18 92¢ $-9 +$9 06-30 05:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -60 -$7 13¢ $-8 -$1 07-14 20:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -191 -$1 2¢ $-4 -$3 08-10 06:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 10-15 19:04
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -50 -$4 4¢ $-2 +$2 07-14 20:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -120 -$19 1¢ $-1 +$18 07-04 18:57