Whimsical-Defender 0x3797b8…9e8be6
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$210
Hit rate
38.8%
Resolved
46
Trades
6,123
lifetime
Volume
$28.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 06-30 08:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
44% 37% $-10
Politics
30% 33% $-9
Sports
25% 0% $-18
Crypto
1% 33% +$1
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +483 $319 100¢ $482 +$163 06-19 01:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +342 $198 66¢ $224 +$26 06-15 15:49
Trump out as President by June 30? No +150 $150 100¢ $150 +$0 06-24 22:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +153 $122 86¢ $132 +$10 06-11 19:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +128 $118 100¢ $128 +$9 06-19 01:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +296 $120 34¢ $102 $-18 06-22 13:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +150 $112 66¢ $100 $-12 06-30 08:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +104 $80 82¢ $86 +$6 06-22 13:42
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +79 $78 100¢ $79 +$1 06-15 05:43
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +76 $72 100¢ $76 +$4 06-22 11:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +83 $45 70¢ $58 +$13 06-24 00:51
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +48 $41 99¢ $48 +$7 06-18 06:06
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +87 $46 52¢ $46 $-1 06-11 12:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +53 $43 84¢ $44 +$1 06-24 07:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +45 $29 80¢ $36 +$7 06-11 20:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +42 $32 84¢ $35 +$3 06-16 16:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +57 $30 62¢ $35 +$5 06-22 13:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +85 $29 34¢ $28 $-1 06-29 21:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30 $25 90¢ $27 +$2 06-10 22:07
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +27 $23 100¢ $27 +$4 06-11 20:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +56 $28 48¢ $27 $-2 06-24 14:43
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$1 06-25 14:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +27 $24 92¢ $25 +$1 06-11 20:36
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +27 $24 89¢ $24 +$0 06-12 00:08
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +60 $29 38¢ $23 $-6 06-11 16:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +168 $33 14¢ $23 $-10 06-11 19:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +30 $21 76¢ $23 +$2 06-12 06:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +75 $37 30¢ $22 $-15 06-19 03:07
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +27 $14 80¢ $22 +$8 06-11 14:38
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +50 $21 42¢ $21 $-0 06-28 16:34