Whimsical-Defender 0x3797b8…9e8be6
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
38.8%
Resolved
46
Trades
4,512
lifetime
Volume
$19.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$482
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
56% 37% $-10
Sports
37% 0% $-18
Politics
5% 33% $-9
Crypto
1% 33% +$1
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 289 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +90 $70 82¢ $73 +$3 06-09 17:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +42 $37 88¢ $37 +$0 06-10 03:18
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +57 $31 55¢ $31 +$0 06-07 23:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +36 $25 68¢ $25 $-1 06-10 00:43
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +42 $22 52¢ $22 $-0 06-09 19:42
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +24 $19 90¢ $22 +$2 06-09 15:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +24 $21 90¢ $22 +$0 06-09 20:28
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +42 $20 46¢ $19 $-1 06-09 02:47
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +102 $22 18¢ $19 $-3 06-09 20:19
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +18 $16 88¢ $16 $-0 06-10 00:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +18 $15 86¢ $16 +$0 06-07 08:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +18 $15 82¢ $15 +$0 06-09 19:48
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +30 $15 48¢ $14 $-1 06-09 17:00
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +18 $13 78¢ $14 +$1 06-07 08:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +44 $13 32¢ $14 +$1 06-10 01:17
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +12 $12 96¢ $11 $-0 06-09 17:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +18 $12 62¢ $11 $-1 06-09 22:30
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +12 $11 89¢ $11 +$0 06-09 05:47
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +12 $9 88¢ $11 +$1 06-06 11:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +24 $9 38¢ $9 +$1 06-09 23:08
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +12 $9 77¢ $9 +$0 06-06 20:01
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +18 $10 48¢ $9 $-2 06-08 21:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +12 $9 72¢ $9 +$0 06-09 15:20
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +12 $8 66¢ $8 $-0 06-09 20:19
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +12 $6 52¢ $6 +$1 06-08 10:25
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 06-08 17:39
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 06-06 11:26
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +12 $6 50¢ $6 +$0 06-06 11:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 06-05 17:17
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 06-05 14:35