Whimsical-Defender 0x3797b8…9e8be6
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$788
Unrealized P&L
+$204
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
1,485
Trades
10,060
lifetime
Volume
$53.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$5.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-14 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Politics
51% 38% -$215
Other
35% 45% -$477
Sports
14% 45% -$84
Crypto
0% 37% +$2
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$7
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +650 $395 75¢ $486 +$92 07-08 22:37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +323 $244 82¢ $266 +$22 07-09 06:50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +310 $277 84¢ $260 -$16 07-04 06:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +310 $248 82¢ $254 +$6 07-09 07:50
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +260 $254 96¢ $251 -$4 07-06 16:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +280 $239 89¢ $250 +$11 07-06 13:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +260 $250 96¢ $249 -$1 07-04 03:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +436 $292 54¢ $233 -$59 07-06 19:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +436 $151 46¢ $203 +$52 07-13 12:41
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $197 99¢ $198 +$0 07-03 07:51
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +200 $193 97¢ $194 +$1 07-13 12:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +205 $169 92¢ $190 +$21 07-13 11:39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $187 94¢ $188 +$1 07-01 14:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +190 $163 91¢ $173 +$10 07-08 09:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +202 $184 85¢ $171 -$13 07-14 07:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +650 $260 25¢ $164 -$96 07-13 12:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +160 $151 87¢ $139 -$12 07-10 13:18
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +222 $135 62¢ $137 +$2 07-08 21:11
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +206 $110 64¢ $131 +$21 07-13 11:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +153 $122 82¢ $126 +$4 06-11 19:04
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +122 $117 97¢ $119 +$2 07-13 11:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +187 $110 64¢ $119 +$9 07-08 22:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +150 $112 78¢ $117 +$6 06-30 08:50
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +110 $92 96¢ $106 +$14 07-03 08:07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$1 07-01 11:13
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$1 06-26 10:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +111 $26 88¢ $98 +$72 06-12 18:20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +96 $74 97¢ $93 +$19 06-23 15:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +95 $49 93¢ $88 +$39 07-13 12:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +222 $85 38¢ $85 +$0 07-14 06:59