Whimsical-Defender 0x3797b8…9e8be6
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$165
Hit rate
38.8%
Resolved
46
Trades
6,290
lifetime
Volume
$29.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-14 08:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
45% 37% $-10
Politics
30% 33% $-9
Sports
24% 0% $-18
Crypto
1% 33% +$1
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +342 $198 99¢ $338 +$140 06-15 15:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +153 $122 74¢ $112 $-10 06-11 19:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +150 $112 66¢ $100 $-12 06-30 08:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +74 $38 78¢ $58 +$20 07-13 12:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +96 $75 56¢ $54 $-21 07-13 12:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +87 $46 60¢ $53 +$6 06-11 12:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +111 $26 44¢ $48 +$23 06-12 18:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +135 $48 34¢ $45 $-3 07-13 11:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +153 $30 26¢ $41 +$10 07-13 12:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +45 $36 88¢ $39 +$3 07-13 11:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +45 $29 86¢ $39 +$10 06-11 20:44
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +60 $37 60¢ $36 $-1 07-05 10:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +57 $30 57¢ $32 +$2 06-22 13:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +42 $32 76¢ $32 $-0 06-16 16:55
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +30 $28 93¢ $28 +$0 07-08 14:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +30 $25 88¢ $27 +$1 06-10 22:07
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +60 $29 43¢ $26 $-3 06-11 16:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +27 $24 94¢ $26 +$2 06-11 20:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +30 $21 82¢ $25 +$4 06-12 06:52
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +27 $24 91¢ $24 +$1 06-12 00:08
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +60 $26 40¢ $24 $-2 07-13 12:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +54 $28 40¢ $21 $-6 07-14 06:59
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +21 $18 91¢ $19 +$1 06-12 01:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +29 $9 62¢ $18 +$8 07-14 06:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +20 $16 88¢ $17 +$1 06-11 01:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +75 $37 22¢ $16 $-21 06-19 03:07
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $5 100¢ $15 +$10 06-12 19:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 06-11 03:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +57 $14 24¢ $14 $-0 06-18 13:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 +$0 06-11 08:41