Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
25.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
829
lifetime
Volume
$12.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$714
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-01 20:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
50% 38% +$16
Other
47% 0% $-13
Crypto
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -530 $-565 100¢ $-529 +$36 06-27 19:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -69 $45 70¢ $-48 $-94 06-24 14:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +166 $47 24¢ $41 $-6 07-01 10:04
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -26 $-31 99¢ $-25 +$5 06-21 12:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +190 $22 11¢ $20 $-2 06-30 08:13
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -74 $-21 23¢ $-17 +$4 06-09 18:20
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -258 $-21 $-13 +$8 06-19 09:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +75 $8 $6 $-2 06-29 23:45
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +55 $3 $3 +$0 06-24 00:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +10 $5 30¢ $3 $-2 06-29 06:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $1 14¢ $3 +$1 06-23 21:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-3 46¢ $-2 +$0 05-29 07:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 06-23 14:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +19 $1 $1 $-0 06-21 12:11
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-24 19:56