Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$105
Hit rate
25.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
862
lifetime
Volume
$12.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$154
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-20 08:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
49% 38% +$16
Other
47% 0% $-13
Crypto
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -69 $43 99¢ $-68 $-111 07-13 00:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +166 $47 24¢ $39 $-8 07-01 10:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +190 $22 10¢ $18 $-4 06-30 08:13
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -74 $-21 18¢ $-13 +$8 06-09 18:20
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -258 $-21 $-12 +$10 06-19 09:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-3 42¢ $-2 +$1 05-29 07:41
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-24 19:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-23 14:39