Front-Legislator-Birth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$39.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$208

Open exposure

$1.37K

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-16 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

46% 74% -$1,567

Crypto

24% 50% -$1,578

Politics

24% 67% -$1,474

Tech

6% 100% +$383

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+706	$600	88¢	$618	+$18	07-15 04:50
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	+349	$211	88¢	$309	+$98	07-08 07:12
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	+221	$200	98¢	$216	+$16	06-04 04:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-114	-$111	98¢	$-112	-$2	07-27 05:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+167	$100	66¢	$109	+$9	05-15 02:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+264	$101	1¢	$3	-$98	05-05 16:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$2.1K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$108	08-01 03:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$1.3K	1,436	1,436	+0	No	-$756	07-31 07:38
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	5	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	09-16 07:00
will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	3	$1.2K	657	657	+0	No	+$155	07-31 12:23
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	2	$1.1K	1,963	1,963	+0	No	-$922	08-20 03:10
will solana reach 80 in july 2026 from july 9	2	$1.0K	648	648	+0	No	+$247	08-01 03:18
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$1000	1,784	0	+1,784	Yes	-$1,000	07-31 12:54
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	3	$867	468	468	+0	No	+$67	07-31 12:28
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$778	493	493	+0	No	+$178	07-27 05:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$745	448	448	+0	No	+$145	07-27 05:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	2	$726	491	491	+0	No	+$206	08-20 03:09
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	2	$717	418	418	+0	No	+$115	07-27 05:44
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$703	463	463	+0	No	+$97	07-27 05:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$700	411	411	+0	Yes	+$100	05-21 02:42
will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	3	$681	931	931	+0	No	-$678	07-29 17:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$668	370	370	+0	No	+$68	07-31 12:26
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	2	$664	367	367	+0	No	+$62	07-27 05:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$656	390	390	+0	Yes	+$56	07-27 05:45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$633	345	345	+0	open	—	10-05 01:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$625	412	412	+0	open	—	08-28 01:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$600	706	0	+706	open	—	07-15 04:50
will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	1	$600	678	0	+678	No	+$78	07-30 05:02
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	5	$520	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$520	08-05 16:12
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	7	$520	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$520	08-04 08:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$519	385	385	+0	open	—	08-20 03:10
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	1	$500	1,136	0	+1,136	Yes	-$500	07-31 13:03
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	1	$472	1,433	0	+1,433	Yes	-$472	07-28 06:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$432	270	270	+0	open	—	07-27 05:54
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$431	234	234	+0	Yes	+$31	09-16 07:00
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$430	230	230	+0	Yes	+$30	05-19 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 03:24:42	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	241	95¢	$229	0x5c4a9f…
10-05 01:57:20	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	345	97¢	$333	0x9de60d…
09-16 07:00:42	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	234	99¢	$231	0x7ea96c…
09-16 07:00:07	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	700	92¢	$646	0xf48754…
08-28 01:25:43	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	412	79¢	$325	0x6f4f94…
08-20 03:10:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,963	4¢	$79	0x209b97…
08-20 03:10:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	385	83¢	$319	0xeb9e9a…
08-20 03:09:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	491	95¢	$466	0xd07fa1…
08-06 08:57:30	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	BUY	410	76¢	$312	0x74fc13…
08-05 16:12:47	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	921	52¢	$479	0xc371bb…
08-05 13:01:33	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x3a92cf…
08-05 06:22:05	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb5d2a9…
08-05 03:29:54	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xca4f1e…
08-05 01:41:06	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc8544f…
08-05 01:11:39	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	65	52¢	$34	0xefc1eb…
08-05 00:59:12	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x270b6d…
08-05 00:49:21	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	BUY	197	76¢	$150	0xe9c8ad…
08-04 08:32:27	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	831	52¢	$432	0xe90d39…
08-04 07:22:38	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2b9db4…
08-04 05:35:20	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x478874…
08-04 05:35:14	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x497424…
08-04 05:35:12	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x25ca16…
08-04 05:00:54	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x40c1c2…
08-04 04:36:23	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	126	52¢	$65	0xc1748e…
08-04 01:45:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,963	51¢	$1,001	0x953d3c…
08-01 03:18:21	will solana reach 80 in july 2026 from july 9	No	SELL	648	100¢	$647	0xb66cde…
08-01 03:17:57	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1,110	100¢	$1,109	0x3a019c…
07-31 13:03:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0xb0845f…
07-31 12:54:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	891	56¢	$500	0xc98091…
07-31 12:37:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0xe75a0a…
07-31 12:28:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	468	100¢	$467	0x09f9ae…
07-31 12:26:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	370	99¢	$368	0x70c95d…
07-31 12:23:54	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	SELL	657	100¢	$656	0x8b44be…
07-31 07:38:36	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,436	20¢	$283	0xa9b68f…
07-31 04:26:50	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?	Yes	BUY	541	75¢	$404	0x85ab19…
07-31 01:04:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	186	20¢	$38	0x6dc957…
07-30 05:02:09	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	678	88¢	$600	0xafe626…
07-29 17:41:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	245	90¢	$221	0x22fc4b…
07-29 17:41:12	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	217	95¢	$205	0xac54ee…
07-29 17:39:42	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	120	85¢	$102	0x902d04…
07-29 17:39:14	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	118	84¢	$99	0x68fb8a…
07-29 17:37:41	will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	931	0¢	$1	0xb9d22a…
07-29 17:37:30	will xagusd reach 64 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	589	2¢	$10	0x781bfc…
07-28 06:09:30	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	1,433	33¢	$472	0x9864bf…
07-28 05:43:13	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1,110	90¢	$1,001	0x6b25c4…
07-28 04:05:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,001	0xdfbbf2…
07-27 06:36:33	will solana reach 80 in july 2026 from july 9	No	BUY	648	62¢	$400	0xc7b5be…
07-27 06:33:57	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x9a3fa8…
07-27 06:11:22	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	397	76¢	$301	0xbc1043…
07-27 05:57:12	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	114	97¢	$111	0x24dcd1…
07-27 05:54:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	270	86¢	$232	0x0b81f0…
07-27 05:54:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	367	99¢	$363	0x8b704b…
07-27 05:50:07	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	230	92¢	$211	0x078423…
07-27 05:49:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	463	86¢	$400	0xe19443…
07-27 05:46:42	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	218	92¢	$200	0x5019f5…
07-27 05:46:00	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	260	87¢	$226	0x97c709…
07-27 05:45:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	390	91¢	$356	0xa2e359…
07-27 05:44:07	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	418	99¢	$416	0x052feb…
07-27 05:43:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	448	99¢	$445	0x05257d…
07-27 05:43:09	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	493	97¢	$478	0xeb2c47…
07-15 05:08:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	491	53¢	$260	0xfae307…
07-15 05:07:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x3773ac…
07-15 04:53:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	412	73¢	$300	0x0c824a…
07-15 04:50:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	359	84¢	$300	0x6b2893…
07-15 03:55:43	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	461	65¢	$300	0x274a67…
07-08 09:34:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0x0eb22b…
07-08 09:33:50	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	125	85¢	$106	0x27b9c0…
07-08 09:32:58	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	131	83¢	$109	0x40cf27…
07-08 09:32:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	175	84¢	$147	0x5cb080…
07-08 09:31:53	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	209	96¢	$200	0x626ac5…
07-08 09:31:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	233	90¢	$209	0xb73e17…
07-08 07:56:34	will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	374	74¢	$278	0x8e4b7d…
07-08 07:52:29	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xef7c6b…
07-08 07:50:43	will xagusd reach 64 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	589	68¢	$400	0x6caee7…
07-08 07:42:01	will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	557	72¢	$401	0x8264ac…
07-08 07:41:14	will ng dip to 3 00 in july 2026	No	BUY	454	66¢	$301	0x565aaf…
07-08 07:28:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	586	34¢	$201	0xd3ea66…
07-08 07:24:32	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	418	72¢	$301	0xd5e75e…
07-08 07:12:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	349	60¢	$211	0x6b3746…
07-08 04:32:58	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xe5e94d…
07-08 04:32:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	367	82¢	$301	0xfe5639…
07-08 03:48:04	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	463	66¢	$303	0xf2da75…
07-08 02:33:56	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	493	61¢	$300	0x8229ae…
06-04 14:04:04	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x809cc9…
06-04 14:01:03	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x3c98fa…
06-04 04:52:58	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	234	85¢	$200	0x5c218a…
06-04 04:49:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xab1099…
06-04 04:48:37	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0x3c1f08…
06-04 04:36:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x3d3f47…
06-04 04:33:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x30be77…
06-03 15:03:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x4fb463…
06-02 05:58:45	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xaeca9c…
06-02 05:51:47	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xe63726…
06-02 05:47:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x2fe073…
06-02 05:43:09	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x03cc6d…
06-02 05:40:45	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x2728e0…
06-02 05:37:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	347	86¢	$300	0x3a7fd0…
06-02 05:34:41	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xdf7957…
06-02 05:31:13	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xce6dbf…
05-31 05:37:59	Will USD reach 18,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?	Yes	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xf55496…