Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
80
lifetime
Volume
$9.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$2.52K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 06-04 14:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
37%
Other
31%
Crypto
30%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +390 $300 83¢ $323 +$23 06-02 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +448 $300 70¢ $311 +$11 06-04 04:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +347 $300 82¢ $283 $-17 06-02 05:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +385 $200 58¢ $225 +$25 05-28 03:23
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +218 $200 94¢ $206 +$6 06-02 05:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +217 $200 93¢ $202 +$2 06-02 05:43
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +234 $200 85¢ $199 $-1 06-04 04:52
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +221 $200 90¢ $198 $-2 06-04 04:48
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +209 $200 93¢ $194 $-6 06-02 05:40
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +241 $200 73¢ $176 $-24 06-02 05:51
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +131 $100 82¢ $108 +$8 06-04 14:01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +118 $100 78¢ $93 $-7 06-04 14:04