Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$236
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
102
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$3.21K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-15 05:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
49%
Politics
30%
Crypto
19%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +706 $600 81¢ $572 $-28 07-15 04:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +448 $300 99¢ $443 +$143 06-04 04:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +390 $300 90¢ $349 +$49 06-02 05:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +385 $200 66¢ $256 +$56 05-28 03:23
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -233 $-209 90¢ $-210 $-1 07-08 09:31
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +218 $200 95¢ $207 +$7 06-02 05:34
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +234 $200 88¢ $205 +$5 06-04 04:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +217 $200 95¢ $205 +$5 06-02 05:43
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +221 $200 92¢ $203 +$3 06-04 04:48
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +241 $200 83¢ $200 +$0 06-02 05:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -175 $-147 86¢ $-152 $-4 07-08 09:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -108 $-105 97¢ $-104 +$1 07-08 09:34
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +118 $100 86¢ $101 +$1 06-04 14:04