Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13
lifetime
Volume
$90
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$53
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-02 09:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
33%
Crypto
17%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +24 $15 86¢ $21 +$6 06-02 09:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +70 $20 21¢ $15 $-5 06-02 09:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 55¢ $5 +$0 06-02 09:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 06-02 09:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +16 $5 30¢ $5 $-0 06-02 09:30
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +50 $5 $3 $-2 06-02 09:35