Authentic-Divide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

156

Trades

1,511

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$1.23K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-26 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Politics

68% 84% +$18

Other

28% 97% +$43

Crypto

4% 100% +$6

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-850	-$816	98¢	$-832	-$16	10-17 01:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	+223	$217	98¢	$220	+$3	10-26 23:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+50	$46	92¢	$46	$0	10-21 15:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	+47	$45	99¢	$46	+$1	10-18 08:05
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	+40	$35	94¢	$38	+$3	10-18 19:12
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	+14	$12	97¢	$14	+$2	08-24 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	+10	$8	99¢	$10	+$2	10-12 12:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	10-23 22:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+10	$8	94¢	$9	+$1	05-09 10:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+10	$9	56¢	$6	-$4	06-10 19:32
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	+4	$3	94¢	$4	+$0	07-17 21:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	+0	-$2	99¢	$0	+$2	10-20 20:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	54	$7.2K	3,350	4,200	-850	open	—	10-17 01:48
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	78	$3.5K	1,756	1,856	-100	No	+$12	08-20 19:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	98	$3.0K	1,505	1,505	+0	open	—	10-26 23:22
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	129	$2.3K	1,166	1,166	+0	No	+$5	08-18 09:30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	29	$2.1K	1,695	412	+1,282	No	+$15	06-25 01:00
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	22	$1.9K	970	970	+0	No	+$8	08-01 12:56
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	40	$1.9K	637	1,245	-608	No	+$2	02-19 23:23
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	51	$1.2K	448	821	-373	No	-$3	05-06 23:58
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	14	$1.1K	1,020	120	+900	No	+$11	08-10 13:08
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	41	$1.0K	359	709	-350	Yes	-$14	07-11 09:04
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	53	$1.0K	512	512	+0	No	+$4	08-21 00:15
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$844	340	530	-190	No	-$1	03-14 17:38
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	26	$828	365	475	-110	No	+$1	02-13 21:43
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	30	$662	334	334	+0	No	+$2	06-19 03:03
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	10	$609	340	340	+0	open	—	10-25 22:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	15	$593	306	296	+10	open	—	10-12 12:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	17	$575	407	184	+223	open	—	10-26 23:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	6	$558	340	220	+120	No	+$1	05-27 21:18
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	4	$522	525	0	+525	No	+$3	07-20 02:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	18	$520	265	265	+0	No	+$3	06-21 14:07
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	11	$435	220	220	+0	No	+$1	06-01 17:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	22	$414	275	150	+125	No	+$5	06-25 21:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	16	$369	144	228	-84	No	$0	05-30 12:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	13	$352	180	180	+0	open	—	10-20 20:56
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	12	$351	180	180	+0	No	+$2	05-27 01:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	19	$341	198	152	+47	open	—	10-18 08:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	16	$318	160	170	-10	No	+$4	04-25 00:05
will gold gc settle over 6500 on the final trading day of february 2026	4	$310	310	0	+310	No	+$0	02-27 18:04
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	19	$303	285	42	+243	open	—	10-23 19:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-16 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:22:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0xc7b06c…
10-26 23:19:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x7fffa3…
10-26 18:04:50	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xfec34a…
10-26 18:04:50	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x53f975…
10-26 10:11:35	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x817aa4…
10-26 10:11:33	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x835c93…
10-26 04:04:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc0a658…
10-25 22:29:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xf052dd…
10-23 22:53:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x68e00d…
10-23 19:03:35	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x42b404…
10-23 15:40:36	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb44a47…
10-22 18:53:59	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xba304e…
10-22 12:44:51	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x545315…
10-22 10:58:08	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x6dab84…
10-22 10:52:39	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x2cdf73…
10-22 10:50:38	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xbc5daf…
10-22 08:27:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x6eea14…
10-22 07:48:45	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x506053…
10-22 06:48:12	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf5a98b…
10-21 15:13:32	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x5fca3e…
10-21 15:11:12	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x073031…
10-21 14:49:08	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb92c04…
10-21 14:46:38	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x829477…
10-21 14:46:29	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd5f881…
10-21 14:46:29	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc1cee0…
10-21 14:46:29	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4bd9ea…
10-21 14:46:29	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x089500…
10-21 13:55:59	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x76f5d5…
10-21 13:54:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4ff602…
10-21 11:32:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf19bb4…
10-21 08:55:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x23d2b9…
10-21 02:15:05	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xbffd2c…
10-20 20:56:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x1dab60…
10-20 18:22:17	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x2a81ac…
10-20 18:19:17	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6e777e…
10-20 18:15:14	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x1aa259…
10-20 15:42:08	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xbd4369…
10-20 14:30:32	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb2cd8…
10-20 14:27:50	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1ca4d2…
10-20 14:26:54	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5cb707…
10-20 14:23:44	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x53ea42…
10-20 13:40:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x6c686e…
10-20 12:54:36	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xd35b9a…
10-20 11:15:06	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0aaf81…
10-20 11:09:08	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x4eb231…
10-20 07:16:05	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5a7c75…
10-20 05:45:59	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x60f1d4…
10-19 19:22:45	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x4d6b1a…
10-19 17:30:14	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x0e80d6…
10-19 12:01:14	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3a8551…
10-19 11:47:32	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd9681c…
10-19 09:36:09	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xd20a31…
10-18 19:12:27	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5df1cb…
10-18 08:05:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6cbca8…
10-17 14:58:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xefd560…
10-17 14:08:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xbd4b19…
10-17 10:19:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x28211e…
10-17 01:48:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	420	98¢	$410	0x4a368a…
10-16 15:03:22	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x72fe04…
10-16 09:41:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	76	90¢	$68	0xb5d7ec…
10-16 06:32:30	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x55ba1d…
10-15 21:32:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7ba6b9…
10-15 21:32:51	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x915ace…
10-15 20:40:54	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x7e5b00…
10-15 19:07:53	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0xca247c…
10-15 16:18:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x73cb4e…
10-14 03:53:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in October?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x54270e…
10-13 20:52:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc2784e…
10-13 20:49:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb1e078…
10-13 18:59:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x65cd2e…
10-13 14:17:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0x7c9442…
10-13 13:28:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x246b0c…
10-13 12:12:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x60e5c5…
10-13 09:51:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x82b400…
10-13 05:30:00	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xb30283…
10-13 05:30:00	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x2ca82a…
10-12 13:32:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x727f53…
10-12 13:26:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x64d1d8…
10-12 12:50:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7289bf…
10-12 12:03:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xfde63b…
10-12 11:25:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x54fb1c…
10-11 23:53:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xfeb9c4…
10-11 22:28:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x46f736…
10-11 12:06:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xbda8a9…
10-11 06:54:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd9b18f…
10-11 00:20:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd690cc…
10-10 15:15:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe69abd…
10-10 12:43:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xf71458…
10-10 11:26:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xbff82f…
10-10 11:14:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x3034c7…
10-10 11:07:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x5320ad…
10-10 10:47:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x449909…
10-10 10:10:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x46c173…
10-10 05:02:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x865802…
10-10 00:08:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x943fc8…
10-09 21:33:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	98¢	$586	0xb8b640…
10-09 21:33:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	230	97¢	$224	0x935b9a…
10-09 19:20:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x39cb23…
10-09 16:24:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x838487…
10-09 16:18:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb7b76c…