Authentic-Divide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

21.1%

Resolved

Trades

623

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$298

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-22 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 0% $-4

Other

34% — —

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-260	$-246	92¢	$-238	+$8	07-22 10:51
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	+40	$38	97¢	$39	+$1	07-13 18:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	+17	$15	97¢	$16	+$2	07-22 02:08
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	+4	$3	95¢	$4	+$0	07-17 21:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	07-06 04:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	21	$1.9K	1,500	400	+1,100	open	—	06-25 01:00
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	40	$1.9K	637	1,245	-608	open	—	02-19 23:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	31	$948	540	438	+102	open	—	07-22 02:08
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	46	$938	338	621	-283	No	$-3	04-07 22:59
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$844	340	530	-190	open	—	03-14 17:38
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	26	$828	365	475	-110	open	—	02-13 21:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	9	$609	220	450	-230	open	—	07-22 10:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	6	$558	340	220	+120	open	—	05-27 21:18
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	4	$522	525	0	+525	open	—	07-20 02:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	22	$414	275	150	+125	open	—	06-25 21:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	7	$357	150	210	-60	open	—	06-21 14:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	16	$318	160	170	-10	open	—	04-25 00:05
will gold gc settle over 6500 on the final trading day of february 2026	4	$310	310	0	+310	open	—	02-27 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-16 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	04-30 18:50
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	8	$247	125	132	-8	open	—	03-08 07:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$236	143	118	+26	open	—	02-28 12:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	4	$230	230	0	+230	open	—	05-28 00:42
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	7	$225	225	0	+225	open	—	01-31 15:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$216	110	110	+0	open	—	06-18 13:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$201	145	60	+85	open	—	05-27 15:06
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 15:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	9	$193	195	0	+195	open	—	03-29 13:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	9	$193	180	15	+165	open	—	05-29 15:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 12:05
will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	8	$178	70	110	-40	open	—	03-14 13:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	20	$171	62	110	-48	open	—	05-18 02:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	06-14 10:39
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	3	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-08 08:24
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	3	$139	140	0	+140	open	—	02-19 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 10:51:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x24bcc3…
07-22 02:08:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xaa1217…
07-21 18:01:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xfe41fb…
07-21 15:14:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1078a6…
07-21 07:27:07	will ng reach 4 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd7272b…
07-21 07:27:07	will ng reach 4 40 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3d8129…
07-21 06:28:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x437793…
07-20 22:49:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x285956…
07-20 22:49:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x6b6683…
07-20 18:05:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x463050…
07-20 02:24:43	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x528607…
07-20 02:23:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa47c6b…
07-19 16:03:33	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x531c6e…
07-19 15:47:37	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2c748d…
07-19 12:58:13	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd3b018…
07-19 11:25:30	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x0d5859…
07-19 10:56:45	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa7ee0a…
07-19 10:39:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44eaa2…
07-17 21:13:49	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf0c60e…
07-15 07:06:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xca20e4…
07-15 04:43:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0b6f1…
07-15 00:36:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x0ba426…
07-13 18:16:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x89f8f7…
07-12 22:36:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x34d65a…
07-12 07:34:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x008fd9…
07-11 14:03:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6d9026…
07-11 07:28:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xcd3de6…
07-11 07:27:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xc6032b…
07-07 18:23:35	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfa2d83…
07-06 05:40:23	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x439363…
07-06 04:35:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8fc6ed…
07-05 17:41:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x53f931…
07-05 17:40:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x60c10c…
07-05 16:24:31	will wti dip to 30 in july 2026 321	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c72f9…
07-05 12:24:37	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5ad06c…
07-04 21:21:17	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x934877…
07-04 20:45:10	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8c7cb8…
07-04 19:03:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x4a3b81…
07-03 02:42:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x01bc0e…
07-03 02:42:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0c708c…
07-03 02:41:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21fa76…
07-03 02:41:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd3e70…
07-03 02:41:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3af1c5…
07-03 02:41:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcb038c…
07-03 02:41:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b8326…
07-03 02:41:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd37dce…
07-03 02:41:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae098b…
07-02 21:39:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xbf4391…
07-02 21:38:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xe7e6eb…
06-30 14:53:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x572b00…
06-29 12:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe0fa03…
06-26 11:59:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xf5c452…
06-26 11:59:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe4c3fd…
06-25 21:38:41	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x900720…
06-25 20:28:56	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9aa307…
06-25 19:36:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37d44a…
06-25 19:23:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x264094…
06-25 19:21:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xed504f…
06-25 18:46:17	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xddde50…
06-25 18:24:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf9a89…
06-25 18:22:29	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3127ec…
06-25 18:22:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac5648…
06-25 13:02:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc829bd…
06-25 01:00:05	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe2cb7c…
06-24 17:35:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x328459…
06-24 00:15:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x376b90…
06-23 23:32:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf445f2…
06-23 23:07:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6530e2…
06-23 20:02:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xed1831…
06-23 20:02:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xafe4ec…
06-23 19:58:56	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5b2c2…
06-23 19:38:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x0a3a63…
06-23 19:05:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x2c0c19…
06-23 15:10:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x22b93a…
06-22 11:32:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7dfd22…
06-21 14:07:59	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0xb43a53…
06-21 13:24:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaca3d3…
06-21 11:42:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x81b5f3…
06-21 06:28:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ca6ff…
06-21 05:53:29	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x115476…
06-21 00:54:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6bd5f8…
06-21 00:12:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x205caf…
06-20 01:15:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x9852d1…
06-18 16:22:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x480b55…
06-18 13:12:41	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xb557dc…
06-17 08:53:59	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xebb5d3…
06-16 21:56:53	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xede062…
06-16 14:59:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x72aceb…
06-16 14:46:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1c4fa4…
06-16 12:03:13	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x04e7a6…
06-14 10:39:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x9b07ab…
06-13 19:45:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xf3d22d…
06-13 19:45:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3651c6…
06-13 19:45:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0a9faf…
06-13 19:45:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x183886…
06-13 14:41:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x37ba32…
06-12 21:14:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1d8b5a…
06-12 19:27:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x79d505…
06-12 05:54:37	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xf6bd10…
06-12 05:26:21	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3dc63b…