Authentic-Divide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.1%

Resolved

Trades

706

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-10 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 0% $-4

Other

29% — —

Crypto

8% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	22	$1.9K	970	970	+0	open	—	08-01 12:56
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	21	$1.9K	1,500	400	+1,100	open	—	06-25 01:00
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	40	$1.9K	637	1,245	-608	open	—	02-19 23:23
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	14	$1.1K	1,020	120	+900	open	—	08-10 13:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	31	$948	540	438	+102	open	—	07-22 02:08
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	46	$938	338	621	-283	No	$-3	04-07 22:59
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$844	340	530	-190	open	—	03-14 17:38
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	26	$828	365	475	-110	open	—	02-13 21:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	11	$719	220	570	-350	open	—	08-01 13:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	6	$558	340	220	+120	open	—	05-27 21:18
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	4	$522	525	0	+525	open	—	07-20 02:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	22	$414	275	150	+125	open	—	06-25 21:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	7	$357	150	210	-60	open	—	06-21 14:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	16	$318	160	170	-10	open	—	04-25 00:05
will gold gc settle over 6500 on the final trading day of february 2026	4	$310	310	0	+310	open	—	02-27 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-16 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	04-30 18:50
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	8	$247	125	132	-8	open	—	03-08 07:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$236	143	118	+26	open	—	02-28 12:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	4	$230	230	0	+230	open	—	05-28 00:42
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	7	$225	225	0	+225	open	—	01-31 15:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$216	110	110	+0	open	—	06-18 13:12
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	7	$214	150	70	+80	open	—	08-05 17:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$201	145	60	+85	open	—	05-27 15:06
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 15:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	9	$193	195	0	+195	open	—	03-29 13:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	9	$193	180	15	+165	open	—	05-29 15:32
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	08-02 05:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 12:05
will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	8	$178	70	110	-40	open	—	03-14 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:48:06	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x63ccee…
08-10 13:13:54	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xd99a5a…
08-10 13:10:54	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x85f9b3…
08-10 13:10:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$3	0x269d33…
08-10 13:08:30	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x72197d…
08-10 09:12:04	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x384a59…
08-09 22:14:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x9c10ac…
08-09 21:58:01	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xbc72fd…
08-09 20:40:16	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xafc1e9…
08-09 19:34:30	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xff4599…
08-09 18:48:27	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xde0158…
08-09 16:04:36	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xcd8f41…
08-09 14:25:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x37154a…
08-09 13:06:00	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4ce759…
08-07 20:46:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x387709…
08-07 00:49:20	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x91dd66…
08-07 00:24:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd0ecce…
08-06 23:13:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc81ae2…
08-06 17:01:15	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd6a07e…
08-06 16:46:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd29a27…
08-05 21:14:41	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x6d8f38…
08-05 21:14:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc356cd…
08-05 17:22:39	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x8e56be…
08-05 12:15:36	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc6520b…
08-04 15:50:33	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ed433…
08-04 12:16:30	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x82ea57…
08-04 06:12:02	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1ac346…
08-03 22:11:14	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x66df21…
08-03 10:22:14	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x461b38…
08-03 10:15:51	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xad6ea8…
08-02 23:23:26	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x292c45…
08-02 16:15:48	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x745b94…
08-02 16:15:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xb891c3…
08-02 16:08:11	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x23a6ce…
08-02 05:23:47	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xcbff2e…
08-02 01:27:41	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xfd75ca…
08-01 23:43:50	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x41911c…
08-01 13:39:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xfbddb9…
08-01 12:56:26	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	211	99¢	$208	0xf8a4a8…
08-01 12:55:24	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xd9bef1…
08-01 11:08:21	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7abaa9…
08-01 08:32:39	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0xf45674…
08-01 08:22:03	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2b1b1a…
08-01 07:12:51	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x8b11f7…
07-31 05:43:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0x68b210…
07-30 20:31:42	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x5c53cc…
07-30 09:34:05	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xd95fb3…
07-30 00:45:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x7d89ab…
07-29 15:22:39	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x8bde0e…
07-29 12:50:48	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7229ee…
07-28 22:12:58	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf58b8d…
07-28 18:41:41	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x433647…
07-28 15:43:10	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd212e7…
07-28 14:32:05	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x081350…
07-28 11:31:59	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0x631183…
07-27 21:01:45	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0xf3f174…
07-26 14:54:58	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf7017f…
07-25 11:10:33	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x546cb1…
07-24 05:17:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfcd241…
07-24 00:50:34	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x4afa51…
07-23 14:06:21	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x3f4a59…
07-23 14:06:00	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x43c318…
07-23 01:11:04	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x71534f…
07-22 23:24:55	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9654fc…
07-22 19:40:39	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x41428f…
07-22 10:51:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x24bcc3…
07-22 02:08:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xaa1217…
07-21 18:01:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xfe41fb…
07-21 15:14:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1078a6…
07-21 07:27:07	will ng reach 4 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd7272b…
07-21 07:27:07	will ng reach 4 40 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3d8129…
07-21 06:28:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x437793…
07-20 22:49:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x285956…
07-20 22:49:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x6b6683…
07-20 18:05:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x463050…
07-20 02:24:43	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x528607…
07-20 02:23:07	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa47c6b…
07-19 16:03:33	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x531c6e…
07-19 15:47:37	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2c748d…
07-19 12:58:13	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd3b018…
07-19 11:25:30	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x0d5859…
07-19 10:56:45	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa7ee0a…
07-19 10:39:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44eaa2…
07-17 21:13:49	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf0c60e…
07-15 07:06:56	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xca20e4…
07-15 04:43:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0b6f1…
07-15 00:36:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x0ba426…
07-13 18:16:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x89f8f7…
07-12 22:36:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x34d65a…
07-12 07:34:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x008fd9…
07-11 14:03:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6d9026…
07-11 07:28:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xcd3de6…
07-11 07:27:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xc6032b…
07-07 18:23:35	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfa2d83…
07-06 05:40:23	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x439363…
07-06 04:35:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8fc6ed…
07-05 17:41:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x53f931…
07-05 17:40:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x60c10c…
07-05 16:24:31	will wti dip to 30 in july 2026 321	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c72f9…
07-05 12:24:37	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5ad06c…