Authentic-Divide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

21.1%

Resolved

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$142

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-30 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 0% $-4

Other

31% — —

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		-160	$-154	88¢	$-142	+$12	06-30 14:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	21	$1.9K	1,500	400	+1,100	open	—	06-25 01:00
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	40	$1.9K	637	1,245	-608	open	—	02-19 23:23
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	46	$938	338	621	-283	No	$-3	04-07 22:59
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$844	340	530	-190	open	—	03-14 17:38
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	26	$828	365	475	-110	open	—	02-13 21:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	6	$558	340	220	+120	open	—	05-27 21:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	8	$517	220	350	-130	open	—	06-30 14:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	22	$414	275	150	+125	open	—	06-25 21:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	7	$357	150	210	-60	open	—	06-21 14:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	16	$318	160	170	-10	open	—	04-25 00:05
will gold gc settle over 6500 on the final trading day of february 2026	4	$310	310	0	+310	open	—	02-27 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-16 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	04-30 18:50
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	8	$247	125	132	-8	open	—	03-08 07:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$236	143	118	+26	open	—	02-28 12:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	4	$230	230	0	+230	open	—	05-28 00:42
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	7	$225	225	0	+225	open	—	01-31 15:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$216	110	110	+0	open	—	06-18 13:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$201	145	60	+85	open	—	05-27 15:06
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 15:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	9	$193	195	0	+195	open	—	03-29 13:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	9	$193	180	15	+165	open	—	05-29 15:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 12:05
will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	8	$178	70	110	-40	open	—	03-14 13:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	20	$171	62	110	-48	open	—	05-18 02:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	06-14 10:39
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	3	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-08 08:24
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	3	$139	140	0	+140	open	—	02-19 23:13
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	3	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-30 17:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$129	130	0	+130	open	—	05-31 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 14:53:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x572b00…
06-29 12:35:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe0fa03…
06-26 11:59:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xf5c452…
06-26 11:59:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe4c3fd…
06-25 21:38:41	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x900720…
06-25 20:28:56	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9aa307…
06-25 19:36:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37d44a…
06-25 19:23:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x264094…
06-25 19:21:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xed504f…
06-25 18:46:17	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xddde50…
06-25 18:24:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf9a89…
06-25 18:22:29	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3127ec…
06-25 18:22:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac5648…
06-25 13:02:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc829bd…
06-25 01:00:05	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe2cb7c…
06-24 17:35:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x328459…
06-24 00:15:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x376b90…
06-23 23:32:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf445f2…
06-23 23:07:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6530e2…
06-23 20:02:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xed1831…
06-23 20:02:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xafe4ec…
06-23 19:58:56	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5b2c2…
06-23 19:38:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x0a3a63…
06-23 19:05:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x2c0c19…
06-23 15:10:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x22b93a…
06-22 11:32:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7dfd22…
06-21 14:07:59	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0xb43a53…
06-21 13:24:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaca3d3…
06-21 11:42:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x81b5f3…
06-21 06:28:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ca6ff…
06-21 05:53:29	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x115476…
06-21 00:54:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x6bd5f8…
06-21 00:12:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x205caf…
06-20 01:15:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x9852d1…
06-18 16:22:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x480b55…
06-18 13:12:41	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xb557dc…
06-17 08:53:59	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xebb5d3…
06-16 21:56:53	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xede062…
06-16 14:59:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x72aceb…
06-16 14:46:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1c4fa4…
06-16 12:03:13	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x04e7a6…
06-14 10:39:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x9b07ab…
06-13 19:45:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xf3d22d…
06-13 19:45:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3651c6…
06-13 19:45:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0a9faf…
06-13 19:45:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x183886…
06-13 14:41:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x37ba32…
06-12 21:14:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1d8b5a…
06-12 19:27:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x79d505…
06-12 05:54:37	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xf6bd10…
06-12 05:26:21	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3dc63b…
06-11 20:39:37	will xauusd reach 4900 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xecf117…
06-10 15:50:39	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0f436…
06-10 14:49:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa06283…
06-10 13:31:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb9de0b…
06-10 12:05:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9e49de…
06-10 10:52:22	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec526d…
06-10 10:29:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7d57c1…
06-10 09:49:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7610ed…
06-10 09:27:25	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0748ad…
06-10 08:38:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x11bdd9…
06-10 06:18:03	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x123388…
06-09 17:48:07	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd566a9…
06-09 14:44:01	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x3a4795…
06-09 14:24:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x280fc3…
06-08 20:21:58	bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3404f3…
06-08 12:46:57	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x32468a…
06-08 12:15:34	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x942292…
06-08 10:49:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf46f6b…
06-07 21:15:25	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0f2ce3…
06-07 17:48:09	bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe08519…
06-07 13:19:12	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd6cbc5…
06-07 09:10:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb46ed2…
06-06 13:40:30	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xf81244…
06-06 13:37:27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$118	0x49739f…
06-06 09:45:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xebd8fc…
06-04 11:40:22	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9aa2cb…
06-04 03:24:12	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x95add6…
06-03 16:58:36	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$395	0xcc677f…
06-03 08:36:54	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7ac2b9…
05-31 22:28:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x5bb6c9…
05-31 22:26:48	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xa5dea9…
05-31 19:57:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x323cb0…
05-31 01:31:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1cb314…
05-30 23:16:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9779f7…
05-30 14:36:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe095f9…
05-30 14:36:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x998d39…
05-30 14:36:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7bcee1…
05-30 12:05:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x9f9bb8…
05-30 12:04:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x63ffaa…
05-30 11:39:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7412c3…
05-30 10:51:20	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbe3edc…
05-30 04:51:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb26143…
05-29 20:57:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8117b9…
05-29 18:01:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x544ccd…
05-29 16:36:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95172a…
05-29 16:25:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x67a47d…
05-29 16:20:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x89c4cc…
05-29 15:32:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb8c862…
05-29 15:15:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x606583…