Authentic-Divide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

21.1%

Resolved

Trades

498

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$513

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-09 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-4

Other

36% — —

Crypto

13% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	+340	$333	99¢	$336	+$3	06-06 13:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+60	$58	96¢	$58	+$0	06-09 14:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	-40	$-40	100¢	$-40	$-0	05-30 12:05
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	+40	$40	99¢	$40	+$0	06-07 21:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	+30	$30	99¢	$30	+$0	06-07 09:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	05-30 23:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	40	$1.9K	637	1,245	-608	open	—	02-19 23:23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	8	$1.1K	740	400	+340	open	—	06-06 13:40
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	46	$938	338	621	-283	No	$-3	04-07 22:59
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	19	$844	340	530	-190	open	—	03-14 17:38
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	26	$828	365	475	-110	open	—	02-13 21:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	6	$558	340	220	+120	open	—	05-27 21:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	16	$318	160	170	-10	open	—	04-25 00:05
will gold gc settle over 6500 on the final trading day of february 2026	4	$310	310	0	+310	open	—	02-27 18:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	05-16 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	04-30 18:50
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	8	$247	125	132	-8	open	—	03-08 07:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$236	143	118	+26	open	—	02-28 12:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	4	$230	230	0	+230	open	—	05-28 00:42
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	7	$225	225	0	+225	open	—	01-31 15:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$201	145	60	+85	open	—	05-27 15:06
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 15:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	9	$193	195	0	+195	open	—	03-29 13:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	9	$193	180	15	+165	open	—	05-29 15:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 12:05
will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	8	$178	70	110	-40	open	—	03-14 13:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	20	$171	62	110	-48	open	—	05-18 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	3	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-08 08:24
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	3	$139	140	0	+140	open	—	02-19 23:13
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	3	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-30 17:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$129	130	0	+130	open	—	05-31 01:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	7	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	01-30 23:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	4	$125	43	83	-40	open	—	05-30 12:05
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	7	$108	60	50	+10	open	—	03-16 22:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 4-10?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-10 21:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:48:07	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd566a9…
06-09 14:44:01	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x3a4795…
06-09 14:24:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x280fc3…
06-08 20:21:58	bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3404f3…
06-08 12:46:57	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x32468a…
06-08 12:15:34	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x942292…
06-08 10:49:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf46f6b…
06-07 21:15:25	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0f2ce3…
06-07 17:48:09	bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe08519…
06-07 13:19:12	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd6cbc5…
06-07 09:10:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb46ed2…
06-06 13:40:30	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xf81244…
06-06 13:37:27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$118	0x49739f…
06-06 09:45:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xebd8fc…
06-04 11:40:22	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9aa2cb…
06-04 03:24:12	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x95add6…
06-03 16:58:36	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$395	0xcc677f…
06-03 08:36:54	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7ac2b9…
05-31 22:28:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x5bb6c9…
05-31 22:26:48	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xa5dea9…
05-31 19:57:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x323cb0…
05-31 01:31:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1cb314…
05-30 23:16:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9779f7…
05-30 14:36:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe095f9…
05-30 14:36:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x998d39…
05-30 14:36:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7bcee1…
05-30 12:05:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x9f9bb8…
05-30 12:04:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x63ffaa…
05-30 11:39:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7412c3…
05-30 10:51:20	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbe3edc…
05-30 04:51:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb26143…
05-29 20:57:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8117b9…
05-29 18:01:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x544ccd…
05-29 16:36:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95172a…
05-29 16:25:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x67a47d…
05-29 16:20:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x89c4cc…
05-29 15:32:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb8c862…
05-29 15:15:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x606583…
05-29 15:05:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31c6c1…
05-29 10:59:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x645ff9…
05-29 10:57:33	Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4a6a70…
05-29 03:03:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x55da43…
05-28 17:30:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa2f523…
05-28 16:15:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcd6884…
05-28 14:51:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2d3a0d…
05-28 11:31:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x329d12…
05-28 10:57:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0b8aca…
05-28 10:46:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x931929…
05-28 10:39:10	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x7e62dc…
05-28 10:36:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd83bc2…
05-28 00:42:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa1e7c0…
05-27 22:04:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x77535e…
05-27 21:18:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf9bf88…
05-27 15:06:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x52b59d…
05-26 23:04:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6886b8…
05-26 18:19:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14abd5…
05-26 18:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf0ad62…
05-26 17:30:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc18d5a…
05-26 16:50:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xf7c96d…
05-26 13:28:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc774fa…
05-26 04:01:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1eac0c…
05-25 08:30:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc669b1…
05-23 17:07:32	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa5bbb4…
05-22 22:24:25	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf19724…
05-22 18:32:57	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ab298…
05-22 06:37:15	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x974a76…
05-22 06:06:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x489cc8…
05-22 02:19:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c55d6…
05-21 18:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x99426d…
05-21 17:18:05	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xceb715…
05-21 17:18:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d5349…
05-21 16:58:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x485317…
05-21 04:51:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a9722…
05-21 02:31:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x425b04…
05-21 02:28:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0x15ad6a…
05-20 09:57:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x6d1510…
05-19 12:54:29	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb74cbe…
05-18 21:06:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x461532…
05-18 02:20:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xaad4f5…
05-18 02:10:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2fe695…
05-18 01:43:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb2ed32…
05-18 01:31:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0486e9…
05-18 01:20:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x27aaf4…
05-18 01:03:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x71d90c…
05-18 00:54:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfd27ed…
05-18 00:33:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdafb93…
05-18 00:22:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x07f5d4…
05-17 21:16:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb9eda5…
05-17 20:35:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe4cc66…
05-17 20:26:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x261883…
05-17 18:49:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2fd45e…
05-17 18:44:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x42c776…
05-17 18:27:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd7891c…
05-17 18:21:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcf4ff2…
05-17 18:03:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd763b2…
05-17 17:24:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe30a32…
05-17 15:44:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x33902f…
05-17 13:33:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x0661f4…
05-17 12:34:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x60b757…
05-17 11:53:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x124208…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	79	$718.9K	10,175	06-09 23:10
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	74	$179.6K	806	06-08 20:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	65	$10.2K	2,077	06-09 18:13
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	63	$6.76K	3,288	06-08 08:00
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	58	$14.1M	16,769	06-08 09:56
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	57	$32.0K	11,960	04-19 00:32
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	57	$4.01K	2,145	06-08 03:31
Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504	56	$219.9K	3,145	06-08 03:53