(anonymous) 0xd7e641…ff4f99
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$29.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$288
Open exposure
$12.7K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-18 20:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52% — —
Crypto
30% — —
Politics
18% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,550 $1,500 96¢ $1.5K $-7 07-17 22:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,111 $1,000 90¢ $1.0K +$6 07-18 16:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1,053 $1,000 94¢ $995 $-5 07-17 22:01
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +1,040 $1,000 96¢ $993 $-7 07-17 21:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +821 $750 92¢ $751 +$1 07-18 16:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +798 $750 94¢ $746 $-4 07-18 16:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +806 $750 92¢ $746 $-4 07-17 22:01
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +800 $750 92¢ $740 $-10 07-18 16:26
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +751 $600 84¢ $631 +$31 07-17 21:52
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +632 $550 82¢ $522 $-28 07-17 22:29
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +538 $500 92¢ $497 $-3 07-17 22:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +562 $500 88¢ $497 $-3 07-17 22:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +575 $500 86¢ $497 $-3 07-18 16:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +554 $500 88¢ $490 $-10 07-17 22:01
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +549 $450 74¢ $409 $-41 07-17 22:11
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +372 $350 97¢ $362 +$12 07-17 21:52
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +275 $250 93¢ $255 +$5 07-17 22:06
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +281 $250 90¢ $253 +$3 07-17 22:05
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +277 $250 90¢ $251 +$1 07-17 21:57
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +342 $250 73¢ $250 +$0 07-17 22:05
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +261 $250 95¢ $247 $-3 07-17 22:05
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +128 $100 73¢ $94 $-6 07-17 22:11