Realized P&L
+$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$869
Hit rate
82.5%
Resolved
24
Trades
237
lifetime
Volume
$70.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$296
Open exposure
$31.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 09-23 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
39% 67% +$794
Crypto
34% 86% +$265
Politics
27% 50% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,111 $2,870 94¢ $2.9K +$70 09-17 20:18
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31 No +2,688 $2,500 96¢ $2.6K +$74 07-17 21:47
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,498 -$2,438 99¢ $-2464 -$26 09-17 20:17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2,038 $1,885 94¢ $1.9K +$30 09-17 20:33
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -1,630 -$1,557 98¢ $-1590 -$33 09-14 22:27
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1,405 $1,285 93¢ $1.3K +$20 09-17 20:34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1,320 $1,270 96¢ $1.3K -$1 09-17 19:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,198 $1,126 97¢ $1.2K +$34 09-15 21:22
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1,200 $936 91¢ $1.1K +$156 09-17 20:28
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +1,137 $1,092 96¢ $1.1K -$1 09-17 21:14
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -1,097 -$1,068 98¢ $-1079 -$10 09-16 20:56
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No -1,086 -$1,047 99¢ $-1072 -$26 09-17 20:18
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -1,046 -$950 99¢ $-1032 -$82 09-15 08:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,075 $965 94¢ $1.0K +$51 09-15 21:17
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,041 $857 93¢ $968 +$111 09-17 20:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +821 $750 98¢ $805 +$55 07-18 16:08
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +818 $750 97¢ $797 +$47 07-18 16:09
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +762 $690 96¢ $735 +$45 09-17 21:15
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,780 -$871 18¢ $-688 +$183 09-15 09:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +759 $610 86¢ $650 +$40 09-17 21:13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -780 -$599 82¢ $-638 -$39 09-15 09:04
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +632 $550 84¢ $531 -$19 07-17 22:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +605 $434 84¢ $506 +$72 09-15 13:29
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +500 $465 97¢ $487 +$21 09-17 20:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $470 97¢ $484 +$14 09-17 20:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +500 $470 94¢ $468 -$2 09-17 20:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +500 $445 92¢ $462 +$18 09-17 20:41
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026 No +490 $421 92¢ $453 +$33 09-15 09:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $442 91¢ $453 +$10 09-15 09:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +450 $396 94¢ $421 +$25 09-17 20:53