Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
14.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
1,151
lifetime
Volume
$2.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-17 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
36% 25% $-0
Sports
30% 11% $-13
Crypto
24% 33% $-7
Politics
10% 0% $-0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +182 $11 $11 +$0 07-14 20:21
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +87 $10 11¢ $10 $-1 07-14 20:21
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -7 $-3 50¢ $-3 $-0 06-17 05:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-10 15:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 20¢ $2 $-2 06-24 07:34
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 $0 $-1 06-18 13:56
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +8 $1 $0 $-0 06-01 23:36