Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d05…2b6e2a Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$313
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
32.0%
Resolved
442
Trades
1,493
lifetime
Volume
$3.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 11-04 07:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
32% 19% -$122
Sports
25% 25% -$223
Politics
21% 50% +$62
Crypto
21% 27% -$25
Tech
1% 25% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -8 -$6 98¢ $-8 -$2 05-14 20:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21 -$1 26¢ $-5 -$4 05-23 18:32
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -58 -$3 4¢ $-3 +$1 05-14 20:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23 -$1 9¢ $-2 -$1 05-14 20:27
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +18 $3 11¢ $2 -$1 09-02 20:33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -46 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$0 05-22 19:32
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +127 $6 1¢ $1 -$4 11-04 07:23
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes +62 $6 2¢ $1 -$5 08-06 11:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -39 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-14 20:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -41 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-14 20:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 06-24 07:34
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $0 $0 08-06 11:37
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +26 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-28 10:59
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +8 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-01 23:36
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes +5 $1 5¢ $0 $0 07-25 16:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -14 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 07-12 14:01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +45 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 07-12 20:01
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 08-06 11:28
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 06-18 13:56
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -65 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-14 20:27