Accomplished-Mandolin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,579

lifetime

Volume

$145.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-09 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

78% 50% $-1

Sports

9% 100% +$95

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 14c	96	$4.5K	2,680	1,928	+752	open	—	03-17 13:24
highest temperature in hong kong on march 26 2026 28corhigher	20	$3.1K	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	03-26 15:00
highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 13corhigher	2	$1.8K	1,836	0	+1,836	open	—	03-05 14:40
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 27c	57	$1.8K	1,441	1,297	+145	open	—	04-09 06:58
highest temperature in miami on march 10 2026 76 77f	6	$1.5K	763	763	+0	open	—	03-10 13:52
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	23	$1.5K	756	854	-99	open	—	04-30 09:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	15	$1.3K	665	665	+0	open	—	05-16 14:45
highest temperature in hong kong on march 30 2026 25c	1	$1.3K	1,290	0	+1,290	open	—	03-30 06:08
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 20corhigher	13	$1.2K	567	672	-105	open	—	03-05 15:00
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 25c	2	$1.2K	1,198	0	+1,198	open	—	03-28 04:57
highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 4c	2	$1.2K	1,193	0	+1,193	open	—	03-03 03:56
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 7c	4	$1.1K	1,137	0	+1,137	open	—	03-10 14:07
nba nyk den 2026 03 06	2	$1.1K	1,086	0	+1,086	open	—	03-07 04:02
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 23c	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	03-25 02:49
highest temperature in hong kong on march 21 2026 22c	39	$1.0K	592	592	+0	open	—	03-22 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 5c	5	$1.0K	519	519	+0	open	—	03-11 05:31
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$1.0K	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	03-08 04:34
highest temperature in lucknow on march 14 2026 40c	7	$1.0K	1,008	0	+1,008	open	—	03-14 15:11
highest temperature in paris on march 7 2026 20c	3	$1.0K	1,004	0	+1,004	open	—	03-07 15:16
highest temperature in miami on march 10 2026 78 79f	35	$994	497	497	+0	open	—	03-10 14:55
highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 12corhigher	1	$984	985	0	+985	open	—	03-06 13:13
highest temperature in lucknow on march 24 2026 41corhigher	1	$971	972	0	+972	open	—	03-24 09:34
highest temperature in paris on march 4 2026 20c	1	$954	955	0	+955	open	—	03-04 15:24
highest temperature in hong kong on march 23 2026 27c	22	$939	957	10	+947	open	—	03-23 07:55
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game3 kill over 38pt5	3	$928	929	0	+929	open	—	03-20 15:50
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 26c	2	$925	926	0	+926	open	—	04-09 04:01
highest temperature in chicago on march 5 2026 50 51f	5	$914	916	212	+705	open	—	03-06 00:32
highest temperature in hong kong on march 25 2026 26c	1	$902	903	0	+903	open	—	03-25 07:14
highest temperature in hong kong on march 19 2026 24c	2	$900	902	0	+902	open	—	03-19 04:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$891	1,018	555	+463	open	—	06-01 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:40:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	92¢	$90	0x1af2d4…
06-09 14:38:31	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xfd5e80…
06-09 14:14:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xe0d944…
06-09 14:12:22	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x4a4151…
06-09 14:10:07	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	68	95¢	$64	0x689f88…
06-09 13:45:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xdf71fa…
06-09 13:41:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8c6a88…
06-09 03:03:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points og anunoby 14pt5	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x705bae…
06-09 03:02:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points og anunoby 14pt5	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf401dd…
06-09 02:52:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points og anunoby 14pt5	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x8eee24…
06-09 02:33:19	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points og anunoby 14pt5	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc7c550…
06-09 02:24:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points og anunoby 14pt5	Yes	BUY	73	92¢	$67	0x8c051b…
06-09 01:50:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points og anunoby 14pt5	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xd8ea2b…
06-09 01:50:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points stephon castle 15pt5	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3da59b…
06-09 01:50:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points og anunoby 14pt5	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x9a7aab…
06-08 08:35:48	ebola case in the us by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x54f6cf…
06-06 03:26:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xcbf0a3…
06-06 03:26:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x0dccd3…
06-05 15:26:49	btc updown 5m 1780673100	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7d4a5d…
06-05 15:22:10	btc updown 5m 1780672800	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x47b7ec…
06-04 03:11:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points devin vassell 2pt5	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x4698f6…
06-01 12:58:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x9b8cc8…
06-01 12:56:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xa57910…
06-01 12:56:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x604e67…
06-01 12:56:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xf9d0e6…
06-01 12:55:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x520bbc…
06-01 12:54:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0x5a9789…
06-01 12:44:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	79¢	$268	0x58cdd5…
06-01 12:23:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x94c456…
06-01 12:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x91cc20…
06-01 12:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$12	0x52f651…
06-01 12:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x39a941…
06-01 12:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2c1315…
06-01 12:08:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x042c35…
06-01 12:08:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x5d1ed4…
06-01 12:07:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa0642e…
06-01 12:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	215	31¢	$67	0x7503ab…
06-01 12:06:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x63d981…
06-01 10:00:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0xf71839…
06-01 09:57:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x5454c6…
06-01 08:08:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x9cc286…
06-01 07:35:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xd6232a…
06-01 07:27:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x47ae94…
05-29 02:48:45	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x43347d…
05-29 02:47:42	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc30b4d…
05-29 02:46:55	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1a950…
05-29 02:44:19	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb98356…
05-25 01:41:53	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xeeb12f…
05-25 01:38:24	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0xa250e7…
05-25 01:36:59	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0e75f9…
05-23 03:12:52	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34287e…
05-23 02:58:51	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x38211b…
05-23 02:58:37	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe4ea5e…
05-23 02:06:05	Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5eb368…
05-22 10:09:55	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xad7b60…
05-20 06:51:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0xfad198…
05-20 01:29:52	Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x80281d…
05-20 00:49:30	nba cle nyk 2026 05 19 points evan mobley 3pt5	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x35705a…
05-18 12:55:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0x041c9a…
05-18 02:14:10	Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa7eba8…
05-18 01:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x40257a…
05-16 14:45:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x3c6b34…
05-16 14:19:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xe6417e…
05-16 14:18:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6e9a1b…
05-16 14:09:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2a8ac0…
05-16 14:00:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad5bff…
05-16 13:59:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xdfdff9…
05-16 13:50:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$160	0xf82dd2…
05-16 04:39:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe8d21d…
05-16 01:23:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0xfe4740…
05-15 16:07:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	69	27¢	$18	0x507a75…
05-15 14:48:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0x2e482c…
05-15 14:48:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x3bc2f4…
05-15 14:48:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7e4e73…
05-15 14:48:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x084488…
05-15 05:05:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x8219b5…
05-15 00:44:10	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcc8499…
05-14 13:50:46	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7e5ebb…
05-14 11:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x533c31…
05-14 08:54:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x38b3f2…
05-14 07:17:28	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x004ecd…
05-14 03:50:28	Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x8a4376…
05-14 03:21:34	Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1fa9ec…
05-14 02:53:23	Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbffff7…
05-14 02:48:34	Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xdb91bf…
05-14 02:44:52	Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x17fbfb…
05-14 02:22:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe9cadb…
05-14 02:20:41	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9ddd18…
05-14 01:59:15	James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xcf59c5…
05-14 01:30:37	Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xafd035…
05-13 08:38:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87aaf2…
05-13 06:27:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1a9aec…
05-13 05:58:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa7edc4…
05-13 02:39:12	Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0xa8f335…
05-13 00:50:17	Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf598c5…
05-12 02:33:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfe2717…
05-12 02:06:52	Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x2e3a0f…
05-12 01:25:02	Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x878028…
05-12 00:34:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	80	67¢	$54	0x148de6…
05-11 11:26:03	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xa046fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	610	$595	2,572	06-09 18:07
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	490	$835	1,312	04-28 05:57
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	447	$54.9K	8,226	04-27 13:22
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	318	$231.2K	19,773	06-01 03:36
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	316	$313.9K	26,430	06-09 17:03
(anonymous) 0xfbb7…6f27	294	$1.21K	2,829	04-21 08:09
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	287	$10.1K	7,573	04-27 13:40
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	284	$146.9K	14,046	06-09 16:58