Realized P&L (7d)
+$68
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (7d)
44
Trades (7d)
66
8,784 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.02K
$249.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.05K
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 11-11 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 260 days
Categories
Other
85% 90% -$2,128
Sports
6% 96% +$64
Crypto
5% 44% +$161
Politics
3% 76% +$265
Tech
1% 83% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +222 $176 96¢ $212 +$36 11-06 08:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +245 $142 76¢ $186 +$43 11-10 23:42
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +158 $105 96¢ $151 +$47 11-06 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 10? No +150 $150 100¢ $150 +$0 11-10 17:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +123 $120 94¢ $116 -$4 11-10 14:34
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +126 $110 84¢ $105 -$5 11-09 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 10? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 11-10 15:51
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? No +31 $21 88¢ $28 +$6 10-30 16:27
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +419 $61 6¢ $23 -$38 10-27 03:23
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$0 10-30 07:54
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 $0 10-08 11:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 10-09 02:03
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 10-27 03:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026? No +5 $1 95¢ $5 +$3 11-04 23:43
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? No +5 $1 45¢ $2 +$1 11-03 19:08
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? Yes +67 $6 3¢ $2 -$4 10-12 07:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 13¢ $1 -$2 09-22 17:07
will us gas price be less than 3pt96 on november 11 2026 No +25 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-10 15:16
Will gemini-4-carbon-high be the best AI model on November 16, 2026? No +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 11-11 00:05