(anonymous) 0x390843…10d10e
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,764
lifetime
Volume
$2.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-26
last 07-14 06:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58% — —
Sports
25% — —
Politics
9% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 07-10 00:32
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 07-09 01:41
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 07-11 04:07
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 07-06 11:40
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 07-10 11:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 07-06 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 07-12 01:45
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 87¢ $2 $-0 07-09 03:33
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +3 $1 60¢ $2 +$1 07-09 20:02
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 07-10 12:59
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 07-09 03:26
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 07-13 02:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-07 22:31
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-07 12:13
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 07-08 08:49
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No +1 $0 50¢ $1 +$0 07-09 16:27
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 07-08 13:04
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 4¢ $0 $-2 07-07 10:20
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +0 $0 89¢ $0 $-0 06-28 10:29