Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$173

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

1,496

Trades

4,216

lifetime

Volume

$4.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-26

last 07-28 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

62% 49% -$245

Sports

19% 53% +$19

Politics

12% 48% -$17

Tech

4% 51% +$14

Crypto

4% 49% +$55

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ledger IPO before 2027?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	06-28 10:29
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	Yes	+2	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	07-08 14:35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+6	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	07-07 11:53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	$0	06-30 00:02
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	07-01 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$28	25	25	+0	Yes	+$22	06-28 04:17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$21	53	53	+0	open	—	07-24 05:25
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	6	$18	23	23	+0	Yes	+$14	07-03 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:35 UTC	18	$18	57	0	+57	Down	+$39	06-26 16:35
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	4	$17	39	39	+0	Yes	+$11	07-24 05:26
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	10	$16	46	46	+0	open	—	07-03 08:45
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	5	$15	33	33	+0	Yes	+$7	07-24 05:25
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	8	$13	17	17	+0	No	+$3	07-03 09:02
atp doubles krawpue bergblo 2026 07 01	13	$13	25	0	+25	cancelled	$0	06-30 19:42
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	7	$13	23	23	+0	No	+$5	07-03 08:52
will the announcers say fan 5 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901495	5	$12	9	9	+0	No	+$5	07-11 00:24
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	6	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	07-24 05:26
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	6	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	07-03 08:45
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	6	$12	14	14	+0	No	+$6	07-24 05:26
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	6	$12	17	17	+0	No	+$2	07-03 08:45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$11	15	15	+0	No	+$9	07-28 01:48
will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439806 536	6	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-03 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:40 UTC	11	$11	46	0	+46	Up	+$35	06-26 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:25 UTC	11	$11	34	0	+34	Up	-$11	06-26 17:27
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	7	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	07-03 09:00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	11	$11	20	1	+19	Yes	+$9	06-27 22:37
will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	6	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	07-03 08:45
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	6	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:27
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?	4	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	07-28 01:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	6	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 08:45
gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	6	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 08:45
will trump meet with joseph aoun in july 2026 20260626153701915	6	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 08:45
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	6	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:27
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	6	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	07-03 08:45
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	6	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 02:30:21	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xa92b54…
07-28 02:30:10	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x423811…
07-28 02:29:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x651118…
07-28 02:29:46	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x06c0de…
07-28 02:29:39	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xdd48cd…
07-28 02:29:31	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x997d48…
07-28 02:29:24	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x6a4640…
07-28 02:29:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0xb0da3b…
07-28 02:29:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x8819e2…
07-28 02:29:00	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x5061b4…
07-28 02:28:52	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x8f46b6…
07-28 02:28:43	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x63a756…
07-28 02:28:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xc910f6…
07-28 02:28:24	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x1fa2e0…
07-28 02:28:18	will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the us in 2026	No	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x28c282…
07-28 02:28:10	Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x90d169…
07-28 02:27:40	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x175b4f…
07-28 02:27:33	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x974aab…
07-28 02:27:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xd42830…
07-28 02:27:18	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xcdb92b…
07-28 02:27:10	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x87f630…
07-28 02:26:13	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xb760cc…
07-28 02:26:06	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8612aa…
07-28 02:25:58	Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xac0787…
07-28 02:25:48	will the ornn h200 index hit 4pt00 low by december 31 2026 20260709171105509	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf42bc0…
07-28 02:25:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x03a831…
07-28 02:25:22	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xe3884f…
07-28 02:25:15	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xeb1c65…
07-28 02:25:04	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xbcbdf1…
07-28 02:24:01	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x319edc…
07-28 02:23:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x592f3a…
07-28 02:23:45	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x450fbd…
07-28 02:23:36	Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf760cb…
07-28 02:23:27	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xf9e2a6…
07-28 02:23:18	Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x8b1e2c…
07-28 02:20:43	Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xca365b…
07-28 02:20:36	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb324a3…
07-28 02:19:25	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3aea7f…
07-28 02:19:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc60b6f…
07-28 02:17:16	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa90a6f…
07-28 02:17:07	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x34fa28…
07-28 02:14:58	jay clayton confirmed as director of national intelligence by october 31 20260611210916708	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5e8777…
07-28 02:14:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c732d…
07-28 02:14:39	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd2148e…
07-28 02:14:30	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1375e3…
07-28 02:14:19	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x22babd…
07-28 02:12:42	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x1d4c46…
07-28 02:12:33	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x819782…
07-28 02:12:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1e31b5…
07-28 02:12:15	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xd76a2d…
07-28 02:12:00	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa8c17a…
07-28 02:11:52	graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x19f64a…
07-28 02:11:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd38ac4…
07-28 02:11:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1f28ca…
07-28 02:10:31	Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xf37e07…
07-28 02:10:22	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4e8e21…
07-28 02:10:10	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfb7d5c…
07-28 02:10:01	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb3f5ed…
07-28 02:09:52	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x3bc333…
07-28 02:09:43	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274 457	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x91f451…
07-28 02:09:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xdeca61…
07-28 02:08:57	Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x58d8e3…
07-28 02:08:48	gpu rental prices h100 up or down in july 20260709172730060	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x831ec4…
07-28 02:08:36	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x30ac62…
07-28 02:05:45	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x41f17b…
07-28 02:05:36	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x7be790…
07-28 02:05:24	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd8a520…
07-28 01:58:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x6b57c8…
07-28 01:57:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x987a3b…
07-28 01:57:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xcadf92…
07-28 01:57:30	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x0855a9…
07-28 01:57:19	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x8e638c…
07-28 01:57:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xfd5d40…
07-28 01:56:58	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x31a5d4…
07-28 01:55:21	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xd45304…
07-28 01:54:58	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xad9487…
07-28 01:54:49	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x68d0fb…
07-28 01:54:42	jay clayton confirmed as director of national intelligence by august 30 20260611210916707	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xd0d8e6…
07-28 01:53:37	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xe0202f…
07-28 01:53:28	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9a3451…
07-28 01:53:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x916451…
07-28 01:53:09	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x59ea3e…
07-28 01:52:12	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd8c17f…
07-28 01:52:03	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xa87f0a…
07-28 01:51:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xe2c356…
07-28 01:51:39	will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x76576d…
07-28 01:49:37	le pen ankle monitor before french presidential election 20260708202050689	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x54e7ab…
07-28 01:49:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x437193…
07-28 01:49:18	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x04c70c…
07-28 01:49:09	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x846d5b…
07-28 01:48:58	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0xc22d89…
07-28 01:48:39	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xeb2c10…
07-28 01:48:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0xcd4fb8…
07-24 05:30:18	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd3faca…
07-24 05:30:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x3e1660…
07-24 05:29:55	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x061ff9…
07-24 05:29:46	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x451564…
07-24 05:29:37	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943 522	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xed2e00…
07-24 05:29:19	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x9d38af…
07-24 05:29:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x01044d…