Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
36
lifetime
Volume
$398
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$93
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-20 13:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
96%
Tech
3%
Other
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +64 $45 78¢ $50 +$5 06-25 10:55
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 07-15 06:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +21 $2 30¢ $6 +$4 07-20 13:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-20 06:15
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-20 06:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-20 06:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 07-09 14:42
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +4 $3 83¢ $3 +$0 07-09 07:00
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +7 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 07-10 05:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 07-15 04:09
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 07-10 05:49