Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
45
lifetime
Volume
$569
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$219
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 07-22 17:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
34%
Crypto
8%
Tech
5%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -74 $-44 66¢ $-48 $-4 05-28 20:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -31 $-26 94¢ $-29 $-3 05-28 20:04
Trump out as President before 2027? No -30 $-26 92¢ $-28 $-1 05-28 20:04
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -30 $-26 89¢ $-27 $-1 05-28 20:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +282 $30 10¢ $27 $-3 07-19 14:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +67 $10 30¢ $20 +$10 06-30 21:25
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +32 $10 36¢ $12 +$2 06-30 21:29
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $10 12¢ $10 $-0 06-30 21:34
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +148 $10 $10 $-0 06-30 21:38
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +56 $5 11¢ $6 +$1 06-30 21:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +132 $5 $4 $-1 07-15 11:44