(anonymous) 0x42b316…3dc57e
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Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
437
lifetime
Volume
$3.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$91
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-19 14:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% $-15
Other
43% 40% +$3
Crypto
8% 56% +$23
Sports
4% 50% $-2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $8 70¢ $11 +$3 06-04 03:35
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-15 00:53
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 07-02 19:29
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-22 14:27
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-14 22:41
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +185 $5 4¢ $7 +$2 06-24 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +12 $9 56¢ $7 $-2 06-06 06:26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +18 $7 34¢ $6 $-1 06-01 14:21
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +13 $9 44¢ $6 $-3 07-01 19:14
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +14 $8 35¢ $5 $-3 06-01 14:20
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 22¢ $4 $-2 07-16 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +26 $6 15¢ $4 $-2 05-31 22:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +15 $8 1¢ $0 $-8 06-20 05:38
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +0 $-0 86¢ $0 +$0 07-23 19:07