Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
423
lifetime
Volume
$3.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$122
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-01 19:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% $-15
Other
42% 40% +$3
Crypto
8% 56% +$23
Sports
4% 50% $-2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -18 $-16 100¢ $-18 $-2 06-23 16:44
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? No -12 $-11 99¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 16:11
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 06-15 00:53
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-14 22:41
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 06-05 23:54
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-22 14:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +12 $9 82¢ $10 +$1 06-06 06:26
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +13 $9 70¢ $9 +$0 07-01 19:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $8 44¢ $7 $-1 06-04 03:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +18 $7 34¢ $6 $-1 06-01 14:21
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +14 $8 42¢ $6 $-2 06-01 14:20
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +185 $5 $5 $-0 06-24 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +15 $8 30¢ $4 $-4 06-20 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +26 $6 16¢ $4 $-2 05-31 22:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +20 $8 $0 $-8 06-27 14:39