Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$402

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

161

803 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$5.16K

$9.85K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-11 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

67% 52% -$385

Politics

27% 60% +$73

Crypto

4% 48% +$9

Sports

2% 22% -$57

Tech

1% 50% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-23 19:07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+0	-$1	13¢	$0	+$1	08-30 12:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie	2	$1.4K	738	738	+0	Taylor Fritz	+$66	11-11 16:50
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?	4	$1.3K	715	715	+0	Up	+$88	11-11 16:42
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud	1	$730	891	0	+891	Alexander Shevchenko	-$730	11-11 16:57
atp musetti samuel 2026 11 10	1	$483	592	0	+592	Lorenzo Musetti	+$109	11-10 00:26
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin	1	$383	479	0	+479	Tomas Etcheverry	+$96	11-09 14:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$109	74	74	+0	No	+$31	05-29 13:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	7	$90	51	51	+0	No	$0	05-17 17:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	16	$75	128	128	+0	No	+$1	06-27 14:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	6	$71	80	80	+0	No	+$1	05-15 15:34
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	6	$67	159	159	+0	No	-$3	05-12 00:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$64	39	39	+0	Yes	+$14	05-18 19:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$58	109	109	+0	No	+$0	05-27 16:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$54	47	47	+0	No	+$6	05-23 00:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$51	51	51	+0	No	+$3	05-25 14:31
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 13:24
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-15 01:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-24 22:23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$47	29	29	+0	G2	+$11	05-12 14:39
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	5	$45	83	22	+61	No	-$5	05-19 16:20
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	11	$45	337	326	+12	Yes	+$7	05-15 23:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	6	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	06-06 09:43
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	2	$42	36	36	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-08 02:23
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$42	38	38	+0	open	—	11-04 11:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-27 16:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$41	34	34	+0	Yes	+$15	06-14 22:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	11-09 13:47
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$40	126	75	+51	No	+$30	06-15 11:50
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$40	67	16	+51	Yes	+$28	05-13 13:18
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	4	$39	76	76	+0	Yes	-$3	05-14 02:08
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$19	05-20 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 16:57:10	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	891	82¢	$730	0x550e24…
11-11 16:50:01	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie	Taylor Fritz	SELL	738	100¢	$737	0x5f10ba…
11-11 16:42:42	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie	Taylor Fritz	BUY	738	91¢	$671	0xa36f85…
11-11 16:42:12	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?	Up	SELL	715	95¢	$677	0x8ee954…
11-11 00:33:27	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?	Up	BUY	91	84¢	$76	0x832a8a…
11-11 00:33:06	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?	Up	BUY	604	83¢	$500	0x9a3bec…
11-11 00:32:06	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x24ee62…
11-10 00:26:40	atp musetti samuel 2026 11 10	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	592	82¢	$483	0x6db698…
11-10 00:23:10	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x806670…
11-09 14:06:09	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	479	80¢	$383	0xed17da…
11-09 13:48:40	Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xe3a1ea…
11-09 13:48:40	Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x9eb232…
11-09 13:48:13	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x4cadc1…
11-09 13:48:12	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc0f6db…
11-09 13:48:12	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x92593b…
11-09 13:48:12	Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	116	0¢	$0	0x45dbfe…
11-09 13:48:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xe5c3d1…
11-09 13:48:10	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x2defb8…
11-09 13:48:09	Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	227	0¢	$0	0x6916dd…
11-09 13:48:09	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	455	0¢	$0	0x626f99…
11-09 13:48:09	Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	Yes	SELL	260	0¢	$0	0x317b58…
11-09 13:48:07	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	522	0¢	$1	0x257983…
11-09 13:48:06	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xc2e0db…
11-09 13:48:06	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0x4dc611…
11-09 13:48:04	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$1	0xe29400…
11-09 13:48:04	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$1	0x746518…
11-09 13:48:04	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	556	0¢	$1	0x08360e…
11-09 13:48:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x273665…
11-09 13:48:01	Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0xa53894…
11-09 13:48:01	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0xa0f06e…
11-09 13:48:01	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x99fa65…
11-09 13:48:00	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x1889b4…
11-09 13:47:58	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$2	0xe50d79…
11-09 13:47:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xbff41a…
11-09 13:47:58	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	714	0¢	$2	0x93ae0b…
11-09 13:47:57	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	455	0¢	$2	0x5d9522…
11-09 13:47:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x4810ea…
11-09 13:47:55	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x7ad2c4…
11-09 13:47:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x537de2…
11-09 13:47:54	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$2	0xfc28a0…
11-09 13:47:52	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xbebb0c…
11-09 13:47:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xafb198…
11-09 13:47:52	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x708f48…
11-09 13:47:51	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$3	0x41cde3…
11-09 13:47:51	Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0x09348a…
11-09 13:47:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xe48a96…
11-09 13:47:49	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xcdc988…
11-09 13:47:49	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	133	2¢	$3	0x536bee…
11-09 13:47:48	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x2b127f…
11-09 13:47:48	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$3	0x26416a…
11-09 13:47:46	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x569564…
11-09 13:47:45	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xd2d43a…
11-09 13:47:45	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	109	3¢	$3	0xbdddc8…
11-09 13:47:45	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$3	0x512e09…
11-09 13:47:43	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	63	6¢	$3	0x406df2…
11-09 13:47:42	Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	89	4¢	$4	0xff973a…
11-09 13:47:40	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	714	0¢	$4	0x88db1b…
11-09 13:47:40	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	172	2¢	$4	0x65912f…
11-09 13:47:39	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$4	0xc51836…
11-09 13:47:39	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x630848…
11-09 13:47:37	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$5	0xf437d7…
11-09 13:47:37	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	357	2¢	$6	0xeaae5d…
11-09 13:47:37	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$6	0x637ddf…
11-09 13:47:36	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$6	0x8d20b9…
11-09 13:47:34	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	No	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0xdc406b…
11-09 13:47:34	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$8	0x6a93a4…
11-09 13:47:33	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xd52320…
11-09 13:47:33	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	217	4¢	$9	0x37674f…
11-09 13:47:31	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xb64003…
11-09 13:47:30	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x07ad67…
11-09 13:47:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x8235e9…
11-09 13:47:28	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x475632…
11-09 13:47:27	Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x7e342d…
11-09 13:47:25	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x8fa69a…
11-09 13:47:25	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x387f21…
11-09 13:47:24	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xef1439…
11-09 13:47:24	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xb8737b…
11-09 13:47:22	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xf4631f…
11-09 13:47:22	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xa62eaa…
11-09 13:47:22	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x0ac06e…
11-09 13:47:21	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	16¢	$14	0x380152…
11-09 13:47:19	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	357	5¢	$19	0x5b49e2…
11-09 13:47:18	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	625	3¢	$22	0xfcd6ab…
11-09 13:47:18	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	147	19¢	$28	0xfcc42c…
11-09 13:17:54	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x2f9023…
11-09 13:17:51	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x498eb1…
11-05 13:13:07	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x810abc…
11-05 12:41:42	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xea00a6…
11-05 10:31:34	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0xb0995e…
11-05 08:41:24	Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x58d675…
11-05 04:49:57	Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb88eee…
11-05 02:58:55	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb73786…
11-04 21:08:42	Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x001547…
11-04 19:34:46	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x3eb736…
11-04 17:19:57	Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x9de32e…
11-04 15:49:30	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x34e42c…
11-04 15:37:33	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0x25d88c…
11-04 15:37:22	Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0xeb2679…
11-04 15:36:52	Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x78a45c…
11-04 15:35:18	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x19976d…