(anonymous) 0x42b316…3dc57e Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
25.1%
Resolved (7d)
8
Trades (7d)
0
684 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$4.91K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$261
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-08 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
47% 60% +$72
Other
41% 51% -$12
Crypto
7% 48% +$9
Sports
4% 22% -$57
Tech
1% 50% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +625 $5 3¢ $20 +$15 06-03 13:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +147 $5 11¢ $17 +$12 05-24 12:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +16 $8 82¢ $13 +$5 05-20 00:40
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +556 $5 2¢ $13 +$8 07-02 19:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $7 78¢ $12 +$5 06-01 14:25
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +12 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 07-02 19:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +15 $7 76¢ $11 +$4 06-01 14:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +15 $7 78¢ $11 +$4 06-01 14:21
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 06-15 00:53
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +11 $10 93¢ $11 +$1 06-14 22:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $9 94¢ $10 +$1 06-18 16:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +11 $9 94¢ $10 +$1 06-01 14:25
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 05-15 14:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 -$1 10-05 15:20
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $9 70¢ $9 +$0 06-30 13:18
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +217 $5 4¢ $8 +$3 07-07 15:46
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +357 $5 2¢ $7 +$3 06-14 22:36
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227 $5 3¢ $7 +$2 06-06 11:44
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +14 $8 48¢ $7 -$1 10-05 15:22
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $8 48¢ $7 -$1 10-05 17:20
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +556 $5 1¢ $6 +$1 06-24 12:45
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +94 $5 5¢ $5 $0 05-26 21:47
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +172 $5 3¢ $5 $0 06-24 12:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +24 $6 19¢ $4 -$2 05-14 03:28
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +625 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 06-14 22:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +109 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 06-22 13:57
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +556 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 07-02 19:34
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +556 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 07-08 12:54
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +83 $5 5¢ $4 -$1 09-03 13:30
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +18 $7 24¢ $4 -$3 06-01 14:21