Deficient-Ectoderm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$93

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

103

Trades

1,373

lifetime

Volume

$207.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$1.09K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-06 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Sports

56% 79% +$19,926

Other

41% 97% +$15,820

Politics

2% 57% -$586

Tech

1% 100% +$154

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$126

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-5,028	-$402	12¢	$-578	-$176	09-20 06:10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+2,177	$374	19¢	$414	+$40	10-06 10:25
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-4,802	-$144	2¢	$-101	+$43	08-19 02:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	176	$39.6K	107,575	104,275	+3,300	No	-$6,545	07-14 20:55
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	44	$20.0K	14,980	13,906	+1,074	Yes	+$7,251	08-12 22:31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$16.1K	8,613	30,925	-22,313	No	+$1,967	07-07 02:59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	88	$13.0K	58,263	80,576	-22,313	No	+$712	07-06 03:53
Will Arnold Allen fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	1	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$22	08-16 02:38
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	190	$10.9K	103,360	88,319	+15,042	No	+$2,603	07-05 21:47
will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	5	$8.0K	6,581	6,581	+0	No	+$4,854	08-12 22:04
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	22	$7.4K	12,665	12,592	+73	Yes	+$858	08-12 22:24
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	67	$7.3K	5,024	4,543	+481	Yes	+$1,224	08-12 22:24
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	156	$6.3K	142,597	145,897	-3,300	No	+$1,723	07-09 19:58
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	10	$5.8K	3,811	3,811	+0	Yes	+$277	08-12 21:58
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	83	$5.4K	46,090	68,403	-22,313	No	+$1,684	06-27 10:22
will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	11	$5.4K	2,959	2,959	+0	No	+$234	08-14 18:21
Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next?	2	$5.1K	5,143	0	+5,143	No	+$12	08-16 02:37
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$4.3K	24,702	37,015	-12,313	No	+$835	06-28 11:55
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?	8	$3.1K	3,176	0	+3,176	Yes	+$76	08-16 03:06
ufc jer4 myk 2026 08 15	49	$2.9K	9,627	9,595	+31	Jeremiah Wells	+$13	08-15 21:47
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	5	$2.7K	3,410	113	+3,297	Yes	+$781	08-12 21:56
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Song Yadong next?	1	$2.7K	2,661	0	+2,661	No	+$3	08-16 02:41
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$2.6K	30,000	45,300	-15,300	No	+$1,403	07-11 11:21
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	54	$2.6K	18,901	0	+18,901	Yes	+$16,339	06-30 04:39
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	1	$2.4K	2,424	0	+2,424	Yes	+$2	04-24 09:32
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$2.2K	1,096,135	0	+1,096,135	open	—	08-08 08:27
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$2.2K	31,153	0	+31,153	No	-$2,181	07-11 11:31
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	7	$1.9K	2,484	0	+2,484	open	—	08-26 00:20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$1.7K	5,000	22,313	-17,313	No	+$1,163	06-25 13:51
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.4K	22,480	22,480	+0	No	-$270	06-25 17:12
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	1	$1.4K	1,539	0	+1,539	Yes	+$154	08-12 12:01
will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	2	$1.3K	714	714	+0	No	+$126	08-14 13:45
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?	3	$1.1K	1,141	0	+1,141	Yes	+$30	08-16 02:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 10:25:45	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	1,363	17¢	$232	0x8fcae6…
10-06 04:41:15	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0x51ce6e…
10-06 02:59:48	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x433c15…
10-05 21:58:40	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x28ffed…
10-05 20:20:02	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0xc70d41…
10-05 17:37:16	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	91	17¢	$15	0xd5b7d1…
10-05 17:23:17	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xde249b…
10-05 17:09:29	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x122f09…
10-05 17:09:28	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x1fd59c…
10-02 09:33:33	UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Bruce Whitehead	BUY	1,222	12¢	$147	0xbe84c3…
10-02 09:27:06	UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Bruce Whitehead	BUY	790	12¢	$95	0x704173…
10-02 08:01:20	UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Bruce Whitehead	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x222412…
10-02 05:53:06	UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Bruce Whitehead	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0xba4353…
09-30 12:42:51	Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x46abd7…
09-30 12:38:12	Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4ca873…
09-30 12:38:11	Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x0516c7…
09-30 12:26:30	Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x59a976…
09-30 12:26:29	Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xeca075…
09-20 06:10:21	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,024	8¢	$82	0x179e9c…
09-20 03:14:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	195	8¢	$16	0x1c5696…
09-20 02:03:46	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x2bd44d…
09-19 22:43:48	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xf464f4…
09-19 22:43:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	432	8¢	$35	0x4f3549…
09-17 22:54:52	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x11ebd2…
09-17 16:57:48	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,250	8¢	$100	0xbbccdb…
09-17 15:17:12	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x14605f…
09-17 15:01:31	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	625	8¢	$50	0x5f6fd1…
09-17 11:17:58	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,412	8¢	$113	0x5af0dd…
09-16 01:34:10	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	372	19¢	$71	0xf4a405…
08-27 01:33:37	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?	Yes	SELL	409	0¢	$0	0xa5a53e…
08-26 00:20:07	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x260a28…
08-26 00:19:34	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	676	80¢	$539	0x5a0436…
08-25 09:15:21	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	324	79¢	$258	0x4555f2…
08-23 04:48:31	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xad8010…
08-23 04:20:21	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xfb0c7b…
08-22 07:22:33	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Cory Sandhagen next?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7aa113…
08-22 07:22:30	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Alexandre Pantoja next?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x80a41e…
08-22 07:22:28	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa8f631…
08-22 07:22:27	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Aiemann Zahabi next?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x766ea5…
08-22 07:22:25	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3c7ba3…
08-22 01:56:04	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x9599ac…
08-21 19:17:51	Will Klay Thompson's next team be Los Angeles Lakers?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8674a3…
08-21 10:25:03	ufc ant gre3 2026 08 22	Gregory Rodrigues	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0xf8de3a…
08-21 08:22:15	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xa31bf8…
08-21 08:22:12	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	56¢	$44	0xad88f5…
08-20 15:57:31	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	385	18¢	$69	0xd59448…
08-20 14:16:00	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x1a8a22…
08-19 22:06:18	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x331ca8…
08-19 19:47:25	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2e1259…
08-19 02:24:27	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,755	3¢	$83	0xe071e1…
08-17 18:51:07	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x5bf5b2…
08-17 18:30:00	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x0513b9…
08-17 17:25:43	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x20e321…
08-17 14:40:39	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xdb13f3…
08-17 14:39:04	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x2cb9a4…
08-17 14:27:43	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Alexandre Pantoja next?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x89944e…
08-17 14:20:12	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x301a60…
08-17 12:04:34	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xf1ab42…
08-17 11:44:18	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x910056…
08-17 11:29:39	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x1a52d5…
08-17 11:29:27	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x05e0a3…
08-17 11:29:24	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x742032…
08-17 11:16:55	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x988d0b…
08-17 11:10:27	Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Payton Talbott next?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5338ee…
08-17 11:01:39	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x144420…
08-17 10:59:18	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xdbd950…
08-17 10:43:09	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xf64290…
08-17 10:42:07	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xc37721…
08-17 10:37:57	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x2d3853…
08-17 10:05:37	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xfca940…
08-17 09:52:01	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xd9609e…
08-17 06:26:31	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x3a7c55…
08-17 06:02:36	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xfb83ed…
08-17 05:32:12	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xf1f4e2…
08-17 05:31:04	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xb26cf3…
08-17 04:57:25	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,264	75¢	$953	0xa3e4ee…
08-17 04:24:01	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xd50902…
08-17 03:56:15	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x327c83…
08-17 03:53:15	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x1cdb82…
08-17 03:53:10	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xa436e0…
08-17 03:52:37	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x06b7c4…
08-17 03:50:39	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x42fbc4…
08-17 03:36:04	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x7c54fd…
08-17 03:35:58	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x40c907…
08-17 03:35:54	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x57bf70…
08-17 02:04:46	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$7	0x117f88…
08-17 01:59:07	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x93301e…
08-17 01:57:49	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xa1490b…
08-17 00:44:06	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x4456a0…
08-17 00:30:03	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x2dc64a…
08-17 00:29:58	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xa04ad1…
08-17 00:13:30	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x4d14ac…
08-16 23:57:03	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xbf05b9…
08-16 23:33:34	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xd65026…
08-16 22:05:54	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	293	3¢	$9	0x0a174a…
08-16 21:51:03	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xfd8f65…
08-16 21:47:03	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x272f20…
08-16 21:35:18	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xb6568a…
08-16 21:34:57	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x6f6549…
08-16 20:53:43	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x8cd078…