Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C or below on November 2?
No won
Total volume
$574
Trades
52
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-02
First seen
2026-10-31
last 11-02 00:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $129
vs crowd: 0% YES on $536)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $1 | $403 | $402 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $42 | $42 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $0 | $90 | $90 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $1 | $128 | $127 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $235 | $235 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $78 | $78 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | +1,008 | $1 | $1 | 10 | 11-01 23:02 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +235 | $235 | $235 | 1 | 10-31 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +68 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 11-02 00:16 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-31 09:04 |
| Dismal-Raid 0xc73f…ff79 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-01 23:02 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-01 14:11 |
| Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-01 11:24 |
| Keen-Steamroller 0x3069…0cf2 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 11-01 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +26 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-02 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 11:24 |
| Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-01 23:00 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-02 00:16 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-31 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-31 09:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xebf7…aa53 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-01 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-01 14:11 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-02 00:07 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-31 09:04 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | +2 | $2 | $38 | 3 | 11-02 00:16 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +1 | $1 | $39 | 4 | 11-02 00:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:16:49 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xe890ed… |
| 11-02 00:16:49 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9d8b13… |
| 11-02 00:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d8b13… |
| 11-02 00:16:49 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xe890ed… |
| 11-02 00:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x9d8b13… |
| 11-02 00:07:15 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xaabb32… |
| 11-02 00:07:15 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xaabb32… |
| 11-01 23:59:27 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa4b490… |
| 11-01 23:59:27 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa4b490… |
| 11-01 23:59:27 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x28c1b3… |
| 11-01 23:59:27 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x28c1b3… |
| 11-01 23:02:27 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7a118b… |
| 11-01 23:02:27 | Dismal-Raid 0xc73f…ff79 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x7a118b… |
| 11-01 23:00:22 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3877ab… |
| 11-01 23:00:22 | Keen-Steamroller 0x3069…0cf2 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x3877ab… |
| 11-01 23:00:19 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b8b61… |
| 11-01 23:00:19 | Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x6b8b61… |
| 11-01 14:11:18 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x702c87… |
| 11-01 14:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x702c87… |
| 11-01 14:11:18 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00cefd… |
| 11-01 14:11:18 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x00cefd… |
| 11-01 14:11:18 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36f8fe… |
| 11-01 14:11:18 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x36f8fe… |
| 11-01 11:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7724d3… |
| 11-01 11:51:52 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7724d3… |
| 11-01 11:50:30 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16464e… |
| 11-01 11:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x3252…e247 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16464e… |
| 11-01 11:37:52 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x272072… |
| 11-01 11:37:52 | Dry-Embassy 0x7eec…c8ed | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x272072… |
| 11-01 11:24:12 | Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb3a935… |
| 11-01 11:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3a935… |
| 11-01 11:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3a935… |
| 11-01 11:23:04 | (anonymous) 0xebf7…aa53 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9a5cab… |
| 11-01 11:23:04 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a5cab… |
| 11-01 11:22:33 | (anonymous) 0x3252…e247 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a992f… |
| 11-01 11:22:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a992f… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | Strange-Mandolin 0x16ce…eba1 | Yes | BUY | 805 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | Yes | SELL | 84 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 11-01 11:22:13 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 371 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2be7… |
| 10-31 09:04:55 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b8d40… |
| 10-31 09:04:55 | (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b8d40… |
| 10-31 09:04:55 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b8d40… |
| 10-31 09:04:55 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 235 | 100¢ | $235 | 0x6b8d40… |
| 10-31 09:04:55 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b8d40… |
| 10-31 09:04:55 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b8d40… |
| 10-31 09:04:55 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b8d40… |