Dismal-Raid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$264

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved

1,896

Trades

3,279

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 11-05 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% -$160

Crypto

20% 84% -$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	5	$241	289	289	+0	Up	-$4	05-20 03:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	10	$224	215	215	+0	Up	-$4	05-28 13:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	7	$213	224	224	+0	Up	$0	05-28 08:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	19	$204	200	200	+0	Up	-$12	05-21 06:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	11	$193	220	220	+0	Up	-$9	05-27 14:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	2	$155	500	500	+0	Up	-$55	05-22 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 16?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-16 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on October 27?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-27 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-19 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on October 9?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-09 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on October 11?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-11 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on November 1?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	11-01 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 9?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-07 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 1?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	11-01 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on October 9?	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-09 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 20?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-20 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 10?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-10 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 24°C or higher on October 10?	5	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-10 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 11?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-11 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on October 23?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-22 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 10?	6	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-10 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 30?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-30 19:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-13 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on October 20?	10	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-20 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 24?	2	$97	48	48	+0	No	+$0	10-23 23:19
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	8	$91	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 09:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	2	$79	100	100	+0	Yes	-$7	06-02 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:30 UTC	23	$78	95	44	+51	Down	+$10	03-07 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20?	3	$78	50	50	+0	Yes	-$22	10-20 14:11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	2	$74	50	50	+0	No	-$3	05-27 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 1°C on November 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x30624d…
11-05 17:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1fd6c7…
11-05 17:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2be62d…
11-05 17:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 38°C or higher on November 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1efe1d…
11-05 17:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on November 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x820e42…
11-05 17:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 6°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdfe80…
11-05 17:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e1d48…
11-05 17:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 5°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x89e0fe…
11-05 17:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa102de…
11-05 16:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x67de55…
11-05 10:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on November 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xccc47f…
11-05 09:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbbe938…
11-05 07:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9517c1…
11-05 07:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 58°F or higher on November 6?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7a8a82…
11-05 03:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 1°C on November 6?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x341868…
11-05 03:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf7e28…
11-05 03:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8674fd…
11-05 00:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 0°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x30a1a9…
11-05 00:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5da9a1…
11-05 00:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 3°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x014e84…
11-05 00:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x8cfa60…
11-04 23:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x949aea…
11-04 23:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x142275…
11-04 23:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on November 6?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd28197…
11-04 23:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on November 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x344976…
11-04 23:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x458733…
11-04 23:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6a5c11…
11-04 23:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x58c477…
11-04 22:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x833d70…
11-04 22:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf57264…
11-04 16:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc02c27…
11-04 16:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3b48c6…
11-04 16:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf1d57c…
11-04 16:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2b27e4…
11-04 16:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x829130…
11-04 16:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6580ae…
11-04 16:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x169022…
11-04 16:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3d65c…
11-04 16:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbab0a2…
11-04 11:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x486efd…
11-04 07:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2c3b7d…
11-04 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeaaad9…
11-04 05:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x05eb95…
11-04 05:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 36°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x906d3f…
11-04 05:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1788cd…
11-04 00:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e1fe9…
11-04 00:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x00b5f1…
11-04 00:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1887b8…
11-04 00:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x620272…
11-04 00:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C or higher on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f81e5…
11-04 00:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8aaee2…
11-03 23:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34fa52…
11-03 21:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x46ba3e…
11-03 19:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdf640b…
11-03 19:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb289a7…
11-03 19:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9cfc9a…
11-03 16:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x04fadb…
11-03 16:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xba6a26…
11-03 16:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbc1536…
11-03 16:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1a9675…
11-03 16:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x07074c…
11-03 16:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C or higher on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe7ba3c…
11-03 15:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5438dc…
11-03 15:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc549b4…
11-03 15:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or higher on November 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x09559a…
11-03 07:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xca8c4a…
11-03 00:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x1db021…
11-03 00:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8dd6d8…
11-03 00:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 7°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x519155…
11-03 00:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 5°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb07fe6…
11-03 00:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1cf5dc…
11-03 00:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1d61e4…
11-02 23:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8d26d8…
11-02 23:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or higher on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1d87b…
11-02 22:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x607884…
11-02 22:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x168066…
11-02 22:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xda4e9f…
11-02 22:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x04302e…
11-02 22:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeab8a7…
11-02 22:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x812f42…
11-02 18:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9b84b4…
11-02 17:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8cee03…
11-02 17:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c06ee…
11-02 17:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5943b2…
11-02 17:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01a795…
11-02 17:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 2°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x01fcef…
11-02 17:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2358ca…
11-02 16:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3b7ed…
11-02 16:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf78167…
11-02 08:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x13c8ab…
11-02 04:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x83acff…
11-02 04:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x621a20…
11-02 04:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf5ee55…
11-02 04:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1662c1…
11-02 04:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6f7b7c…
11-02 01:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb0a32a…
11-02 01:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2ca9af…
11-02 00:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x62efce…
11-02 00:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa40179…
11-02 00:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 6°C or below on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x975ff9…