Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-26 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% $0

Politics

28% 75% +$91

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$237	137	137	+0	No	+$37	05-01 12:11
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$107	0	110	-110	No	-$3	05-01 12:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$100	137	0	+137	No	+$37	04-17 12:26
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$99	133	0	+133	No	+$34	05-01 12:17
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	1	$80	93	0	+93	No	+$13	05-01 12:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$70	92	0	+92	No	+$22	05-01 12:14
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	9	$66	75	66	+9	open	—	10-24 21:01
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	1	$50	63	0	+63	No	-$50	05-01 12:28
Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?	4	$43	40	40	+0	open	—	10-21 01:48
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	3	$38	40	20	+20	open	—	10-26 14:08
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	4	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	10-25 20:49
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	8	$34	60	60	+0	open	—	10-26 16:46
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?	4	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	10-25 03:54
Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	3	$30	40	20	+20	open	—	10-25 23:50
Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	10-25 06:09
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?	5	$27	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 17:48
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 04:05
Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-26 10:14
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 05:24
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 18:38
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	3	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	10-26 13:10
Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?	6	$20	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 15:59
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 15:45
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 18:58
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 21:03
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	10-26 14:17
Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 12:19
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	3	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 04:08
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 10:15
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$7	20	1	+19	open	—	10-26 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:46:32	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x73c52d…
10-26 14:17:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x590c2f…
10-26 14:08:20	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4ea145…
10-26 13:10:32	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x68920f…
10-26 10:14:32	Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xefa258…
10-26 08:02:18	Next DeepSeek Flash released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe73ca8…
10-26 07:33:50	Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x248d15…
10-25 23:50:24	Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x0ec658…
10-25 20:49:20	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x795f6a…
10-25 19:39:20	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x265ece…
10-25 18:43:33	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x14c927…
10-25 16:36:44	Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x615bc4…
10-25 09:46:33	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6ec467…
10-25 08:02:18	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6f5d8a…
10-25 06:09:33	Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x61bf4c…
10-25 05:29:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x2cc972…
10-25 03:54:51	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x5c10eb…
10-25 00:48:00	Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x2b39df…
10-24 21:01:32	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x9c3ffb…
10-24 16:59:57	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1e1a5c…
10-24 16:45:50	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xd86b85…
10-24 13:10:11	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xac2dc4…
10-24 06:53:27	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb97fa6…
10-24 06:00:03	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$0	0xd24141…
10-24 06:00:03	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xc77cb1…
10-23 23:37:06	Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x269d7a…
10-23 20:48:48	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x7323e9…
10-23 10:15:14	Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd06a29…
10-23 09:15:06	Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xddc241…
10-23 06:09:39	Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa03a85…
10-23 06:08:44	Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x390662…
10-22 21:01:08	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0xfbac48…
10-22 15:41:51	Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x96cfbc…
10-22 14:03:32	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xda7d5f…
10-22 13:03:53	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x52ab21…
10-22 12:19:32	Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7e27cc…
10-22 10:59:59	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5d0411…
10-22 10:47:11	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x63ab98…
10-22 08:20:44	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x59d9cc…
10-22 04:13:50	Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xaa226a…
10-22 04:08:35	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x0d730c…
10-22 04:08:33	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x83d9b1…
10-22 04:05:32	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x4b1c0c…
10-21 22:14:17	Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x583dfa…
10-21 18:01:32	Will AlloX FDV be above $65M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe3993c…
10-21 05:24:57	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xd46f5e…
10-21 03:40:54	Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xac6458…
10-21 01:48:57	Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xf98434…
10-20 21:11:38	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x4c62e6…
10-20 17:48:41	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xebf5b0…
10-20 17:48:41	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x6079dd…
10-20 16:08:33	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xa12261…
10-20 15:59:57	Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xb61ef6…
10-20 14:02:18	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9a7fb3…
10-20 12:18:35	Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xfff7f1…
10-20 12:12:57	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x18767f…
10-20 05:02:03	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd344d6…
10-20 04:04:14	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x518151…
10-19 18:15:53	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x45cda2…
10-19 05:24:39	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x414a69…
10-19 01:48:27	Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb677e5…
10-19 00:53:26	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x7a892c…
10-19 00:10:57	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x4e651e…
10-18 18:58:32	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x3fcb86…
10-18 17:04:50	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x44aa2c…
10-18 16:32:29	Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xdd41d7…
10-18 16:23:30	Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0a1798…
10-18 15:59:03	Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1b2553…
10-18 15:45:57	Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x22964c…
10-18 15:01:11	Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe98ce2…
10-18 14:51:12	Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5eeda0…
10-18 09:43:06	Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5602a1…
10-18 04:17:23	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x4e05c5…
10-17 21:03:23	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x10b720…
10-17 19:47:23	Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x60b85a…
10-17 15:19:23	will crowdstrike q3 net new arr be above 440m	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x1ceaab…
10-17 03:57:24	will crowdstrike q3 net new arr be above 440m	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5ae739…
10-17 02:20:30	Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x808ccf…
10-17 02:20:30	Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4fab2c…
10-17 00:32:21	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x58cf68…
10-17 00:10:09	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd774b0…
10-16 17:33:59	Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xdb89d5…
10-16 13:57:09	Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xae069a…
10-16 04:16:24	Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb30e2e…
10-15 21:02:30	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc998ed…
10-15 19:46:04	Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa2c66e…
10-15 18:38:46	Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x0b3bcd…
10-15 04:00:41	Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xfdd678…
05-01 12:28:10	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xea21b4…
05-01 12:19:50	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	93	86¢	$80	0x430918…
05-01 12:17:14	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	133	74¢	$99	0x5b58f9…
05-01 12:14:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0x31f61f…
05-01 12:12:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$107	0x5246a7…
05-01 12:11:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0xd2305c…
04-17 12:26:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x6ad1a2…
04-17 12:22:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x199602…