Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$317

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

2,583

Trades

6,384

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

9 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 10-27 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

81% 43% -$238

Politics

11% 25% -$18

Tech

7% 14% -$54

Sports

0% 33% -$5

Crypto

0% 64% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 784 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	+5	$2	70¢	$3	+$1	10-24 06:25
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+8	$1	18¢	$2	+$0	10-24 18:58
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	No	+1	$0	78¢	$1	+$0	10-25 15:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+7	$3	7¢	$1	-$2	10-24 18:58
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	+10	$3	4¢	$0	-$2	10-25 02:51
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+8	$3	4¢	$0	-$3	10-25 01:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	+5	$1	6¢	$0	$0	10-24 04:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+0	$0	40¢	$0	+$0	10-23 08:11
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	+0	$3	50¢	$0	-$3	10-26 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	20	$291	317	317	+0	open	—	10-26 15:18
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	11	$284	250	250	+0	open	—	10-25 07:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	15	$220	157	157	+0	open	—	10-26 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	14	$214	247	247	+0	open	—	10-25 20:26
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	9	$213	187	187	+0	open	—	10-26 09:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	11	$185	198	198	+0	open	—	10-26 15:29
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	8	$181	155	155	+0	open	—	10-24 14:02
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	8	$176	119	119	+0	open	—	10-25 22:36
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	6	$172	150	150	+0	open	—	10-24 00:15
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	11	$165	150	150	+0	open	—	10-26 20:28
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	5	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	10-24 21:39
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	8	$159	162	162	+0	open	—	10-26 10:11
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	7	$153	150	150	+0	open	—	10-26 14:34
Will "Ray Gunn" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$153	120	120	+0	open	—	10-20 10:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	4	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	10-24 19:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	13	$151	162	162	+0	open	—	10-25 08:30
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	4	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 20:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	7	$138	150	150	+0	open	—	10-25 03:26
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	6	$137	150	150	+0	open	—	10-26 14:29
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	7	$136	150	150	+0	open	—	10-25 23:06
Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$136	127	127	+0	open	—	10-24 04:06
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	7	$134	155	150	+5	open	—	10-26 20:28
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	11	$134	177	177	+0	open	—	10-26 15:39
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	10	$129	120	120	+0	open	—	10-26 07:36
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	6	$127	120	120	+0	open	—	10-26 19:11
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	9	$124	121	121	+0	open	—	10-25 23:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	8	$123	170	170	+0	open	—	10-26 01:03
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	6	$123	150	150	+0	open	—	10-24 06:02
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	11	$121	171	171	+0	open	—	10-26 18:36
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	6	$121	120	120	+0	open	—	10-26 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:15:56	Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x333ec8…
10-27 13:05:51	JK Narva Trans vs. FC Nomme United: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xc2c7b9…
10-27 13:05:50	JK Narva Trans vs. FC Nomme United: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe5ef26…
10-27 12:42:48	Ratchaburi FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x64e86d…
10-27 11:19:23	Simal vs. Araz Nakhchivan PFK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x9324fc…
10-27 11:19:21	Simal vs. Araz Nakhchivan PFK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x2bb9c4…
10-27 10:55:44	Ratchaburi FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x2a5fbb…
10-27 10:55:42	Ratchaburi FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc7fd76…
10-27 10:29:00	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x7a4d1c…
10-27 10:11:59	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x162d51…
10-27 09:28:29	Kyoto Sanga FC vs. Newcastle United Jets: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x96d3fd…
10-27 09:17:29	acle rat rey 2026 10 27 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xbca7e1…
10-27 09:17:27	acle rat rey 2026 10 27 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6f693e…
10-27 09:16:47	Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd835ae…
10-27 09:04:24	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xbd2f00…
10-27 09:04:23	Shanghai Port FC vs. Cong An Ha Noi FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x686e05…
10-27 09:00:47	Will Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x6410ce…
10-27 08:09:24	Kyoto Sanga FC vs. Newcastle United Jets: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xd71331…
10-27 08:09:24	Kyoto Sanga FC vs. Newcastle United Jets: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1d993f…
10-27 07:52:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x7ba6d9…
10-27 07:51:26	Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x859f4a…
10-27 07:50:42	Simal vs. Araz Nakhchivan PFK: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x9cfcac…
10-27 07:10:36	Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x531712…
10-27 07:07:29	azec sim pfk 2026 10 27 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb84c59…
10-27 07:07:23	azec sim pfk 2026 10 27 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4d0bfa…
10-27 02:29:47	Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xce0774…
10-27 01:54:50	Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xda3195…
10-27 01:37:27	Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x2f9122…
10-27 00:09:54	EC Juventude vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xcbba15…
10-27 00:09:51	EC Juventude vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xe3bca9…
10-26 23:57:32	América FC vs. Cuiabá EC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xf4b744…
10-26 23:28:00	Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x3a2531…
10-26 22:59:00	Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4341f5…
10-26 22:29:53	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9c14b3…
10-26 22:13:03	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xea4c5d…
10-26 21:58:21	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdcbeab…
10-26 21:50:17	CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa5a427…
10-26 21:42:39	CA Nacional Potosí vs. Club Guabirá: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x87d88c…
10-26 21:42:38	CA Nacional Potosí vs. Club Guabirá: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe33d4f…
10-26 21:28:59	Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xad66e4…
10-26 21:28:57	Coritiba FBC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x551b8b…
10-26 21:26:38	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xe24fa8…
10-26 21:19:29	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x43814f…
10-26 21:10:41	CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Mushuc Runa SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xc63227…
10-26 21:10:38	CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Mushuc Runa SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3ba6d6…
10-26 21:03:48	EC Juventude vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcd5efa…
10-26 20:30:06	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0xa062bd…
10-26 20:30:06	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0x69f92f…
10-26 20:29:12	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x112188…
10-26 20:29:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfe597c…
10-26 20:29:03	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xd66be2…
10-26 20:29:03	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc40ac6…
10-26 20:29:03	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x9d11e5…
10-26 20:29:02	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xfe6e52…
10-26 20:29:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xdd1889…
10-26 20:29:02	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xccadd5…
10-26 20:29:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xabd0c1…
10-26 20:29:02	Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x984f9f…
10-26 20:29:02	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x3453fe…
10-26 20:29:02	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x1199fd…
10-26 20:29:02	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x106e61…
10-26 20:29:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0x0c11f1…
10-26 20:29:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0xf2da75…
10-26 20:29:00	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe8b355…
10-26 20:29:00	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xe5f05e…
10-26 20:29:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xce4a8a…
10-26 20:29:00	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xa31581…
10-26 20:29:00	Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0x34c869…
10-26 20:29:00	US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x29c53b…
10-26 20:29:00	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x20d44c…
10-26 20:28:59	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xcb73c3…
10-26 20:28:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x6fc42a…
10-26 20:28:59	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x6baa31…
10-26 20:28:59	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x52f30e…
10-26 20:28:59	Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x4c4ed8…
10-26 20:28:59	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x123322…
10-26 20:28:57	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xe4aad7…
10-26 20:28:57	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe0c84b…
10-26 20:28:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc95688…
10-26 20:28:57	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xc8e7d2…
10-26 20:28:57	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	43¢	$11	0xb4c2ba…
10-26 20:28:57	Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0xac461a…
10-26 20:28:57	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x9af338…
10-26 20:28:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x97185a…
10-26 20:28:57	Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x7d5b7e…
10-26 20:28:57	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	44	31¢	$14	0x3c6f94…
10-26 20:28:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	57¢	$26	0x12911d…
10-26 20:28:56	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xafcc09…
10-26 20:28:56	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x90f824…
10-26 20:28:56	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x8f84cb…
10-26 20:28:56	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x7ece82…
10-26 20:28:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x517425…
10-26 20:28:56	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	41	68¢	$28	0x37484a…
10-26 20:28:56	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x274b3b…
10-26 20:28:54	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	54	71¢	$38	0x8b1d42…
10-26 20:28:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x846533…
10-26 20:27:18	US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x31ee30…
10-26 20:15:44	US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2b5b9c…
10-26 20:02:50	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x23ec7a…
10-26 19:54:36	FC Crotone vs. S.S.D. Casarano Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x23fb07…