Realized P&L
+$5.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
659
Trades
9,668
lifetime
Volume
$92.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$4.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-26
last 10-26 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
68% 60% +$5,233
Politics
22% 55% -$87
Sports
5% 86% +$7
Tech
3% 47% $0
Crypto
2% 33% -$4
Pop-Culture
1% 40% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 651 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -4,224 -$3,338 81¢ $-3415 -$77 09-27 23:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,224 -$883 19¢ $-809 +$74 09-27 23:39
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +60 $36 100¢ $60 +$23 10-08 15:02
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +57 $19 74¢ $42 +$23 10-26 12:12
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $41 78¢ $39 -$2 10-01 15:39
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $33 52¢ $36 +$3 10-12 23:50
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $19 68¢ $34 +$15 10-01 07:15
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $24 98¢ $29 +$6 09-30 12:35
will wti reach 115 in october 2026 No +29 $27 97¢ $28 +$1 10-01 00:15
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +30 $25 86¢ $26 +$1 10-01 02:11
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +30 $20 84¢ $25 +$5 09-30 14:06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +40 $14 63¢ $25 +$11 09-27 14:33
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? Mbappé +19 $10 100¢ $19 +$9 10-24 15:55
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +19 $16 90¢ $17 +$2 09-28 16:33
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 09-30 20:46
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $32 32¢ $16 -$16 10-01 05:36
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $20 22¢ $15 -$5 10-26 15:14
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +20 $14 66¢ $13 $0 09-30 13:20
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +50 $10 22¢ $11 +$2 10-01 15:40
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +29 $10 38¢ $11 +$0 10-26 12:57
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +30 $10 34¢ $10 +$0 10-19 09:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +17 $7 42¢ $7 +$0 09-27 05:32
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $10 16¢ $5 -$5 09-30 14:06
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +8 $5 59¢ $5 +$0 10-26 06:55
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +30 $6 14¢ $4 -$2 10-01 02:11
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes +12 $6 34¢ $4 -$2 10-26 20:10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +16 $3 20¢ $3 $0 10-26 05:09
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 $0 09-30 20:46
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +6 $1 38¢ $2 +$1 09-28 07:29
will wti reach 115 in october 2026 Yes +30 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-01 00:15