Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$63.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$340

Open exposure

$3.07K

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-28 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$750

Other

49% 67% +$662

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No		+2,875	$2,786	98¢	$2.8K	+$17	10-19 00:09
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No		+277	$268	98¢	$271	+$3	10-28 12:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	1	$29.2K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$750	10-19 11:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	1	$5.7K	5,679	0	+5,679	open	—	10-26 01:30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in October?	1	$2.9K	2,914	0	+2,914	open	—	10-26 01:49
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	1	$2.8K	2,875	0	+2,875	open	—	10-19 00:09
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	2	$2.4K	2,620	0	+2,620	open	—	10-18 00:51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?	1	$2.4K	2,429	0	+2,429	open	—	10-26 01:31
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	15	$1.9K	2,029	2,029	+0	open	—	10-19 01:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	1	$1.8K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	10-26 01:30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	17	$1.7K	1,700	246	+1,454	No	+$225	10-13 14:44
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?	1	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	10-15 08:27
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	13	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	10-17 19:57
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	8	$1.3K	2,252	0	+2,252	open	—	10-15 01:39
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	4	$1.3K	1,024	782	+242	open	—	10-26 14:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	open	—	10-26 01:49
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	6	$908	1,017	0	+1,017	open	—	10-15 02:37
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	4	$906	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	10-08 20:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	30	$523	500	434	+66	No	+$29	10-17 13:23
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	8	$480	2,083	1,255	+827	open	—	10-14 18:38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	2	$468	520	0	+520	open	—	10-11 10:30
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	12	$454	427	120	+306	open	—	10-25 20:33
Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	8	$399	486	49	+437	open	—	10-26 04:22
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	1	$297	327	0	+327	Yes	+$30	10-09 00:35
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	1	$285	356	0	+356	No	+$71	10-15 05:49
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	1	$268	277	0	+277	open	—	10-28 12:07
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	2	$219	210	20	+190	No	+$10	09-20 08:37
will trumps approval rating hit 46 by june 30 2027	1	$182	196	0	+196	open	—	10-15 01:09
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	11	$166	1,401	744	+658	open	—	10-14 14:09
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	1	$165	300	0	+300	No	+$135	10-11 17:07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$145	150	0	+150	No	+$4	10-09 08:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?	2	$130	200	16	+184	Yes	+$74	09-20 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:07:08	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	277	97¢	$268	0x4fb9e4…
10-26 14:46:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	782	58¢	$454	0xef8e81…
10-26 04:22:39	Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x5ba48b…
10-26 01:49:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,077	0x64c9ce…
10-26 01:49:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in October?	No	BUY	2,914	100¢	$2,904	0x52f98c…
10-26 01:31:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October?	No	BUY	2,429	99¢	$2,417	0x33efff…
10-26 01:30:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	No	BUY	5,679	100¢	$5,656	0x7de732…
10-26 01:30:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	No	BUY	2,020	90¢	$1,818	0x9efc7f…
10-25 20:33:06	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x61cce8…
10-25 14:29:29	Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x7c5a5f…
10-25 08:37:23	Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x8bae83…
10-25 04:55:53	Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x0bdcfd…
10-22 12:55:05	Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0xd2af74…
10-22 06:18:28	Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xcdf3fc…
10-19 11:38:21	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	30,000	98¢	$29,250	0x10a1cc…
10-19 01:08:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	84¢	$251	0x28af56…
10-19 00:09:57	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	2,875	97¢	$2,786	0x7c736e…
10-18 04:00:36	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0x9fa802…
10-18 00:51:56	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	BUY	120	86¢	$103	0xdb219c…
10-17 19:57:17	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x7955cf…
10-17 19:57:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xfd6772…
10-17 19:57:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0xec2648…
10-17 19:57:11	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x794269…
10-17 19:57:08	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x1191c3…
10-17 19:57:06	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x9cf999…
10-17 19:55:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	194	92¢	$178	0x4b54cd…
10-17 19:55:47	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x88ad2f…
10-17 19:55:44	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x42dc7f…
10-17 19:55:42	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	215	92¢	$198	0x05ed1e…
10-17 19:55:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	131	92¢	$121	0x122c6e…
10-17 19:55:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xa30974…
10-17 19:55:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x71c34f…
10-17 18:31:12	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x06d364…
10-17 18:26:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x2a9959…
10-17 18:12:15	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$64	0xc3ddf0…
10-17 18:08:14	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1c3daa…
10-17 18:08:11	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x667360…
10-17 13:23:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0xc570d1…
10-17 12:36:53	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x5e4ab8…
10-17 10:31:50	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	36	84¢	$30	0x567049…
10-17 10:14:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xc21918…
10-17 10:11:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x4c6dc0…
10-17 09:14:56	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	118	84¢	$99	0xd4b6ce…
10-17 09:14:56	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	246	84¢	$208	0x38cc88…
10-17 09:04:03	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	83¢	$334	0x3bc19f…
10-17 08:45:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x30c9ca…
10-17 08:44:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xf1d274…
10-17 08:44:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xdb1f35…
10-17 08:44:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xcbeb63…
10-17 08:44:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x589f33…
10-17 08:44:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x05c96f…
10-17 08:44:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x67a560…
10-17 08:42:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x352c50…
10-17 08:42:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbb57e2…
10-17 08:42:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xa2963d…
10-17 08:42:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x9f4510…
10-17 08:41:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x3ba4f4…
10-17 08:41:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x30c364…
10-17 08:41:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xf0a339…
10-17 08:41:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xec6361…
10-17 08:41:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x3fae89…
10-17 08:41:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0b9cf5…
10-17 08:40:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x5b8178…
10-17 08:40:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x72c810…
10-17 08:40:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x5682f5…
10-17 08:38:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x7c5054…
10-17 08:37:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc41bb6…
10-17 08:37:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xb631d1…
10-17 08:37:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xb2e4d2…
10-17 08:14:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xb2e432…
10-17 08:14:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	238	56¢	$134	0x35c977…
10-17 05:49:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0xba0ed6…
10-17 00:27:57	Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0010f0…
10-15 08:30:34	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	BUY	2,500	93¢	$2,325	0xaaf236…
10-15 08:27:07	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	94¢	$1,410	0xb5f3cb…
10-15 05:49:16	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	BUY	356	80¢	$285	0x4c5448…
10-15 03:57:46	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	196	13¢	$25	0xc03f18…
10-15 03:55:29	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xedba6b…
10-15 03:55:23	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe5cb8f…
10-15 03:55:11	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x89b7b3…
10-15 03:55:11	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x27244a…
10-15 03:41:05	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x074dae…
10-15 03:05:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xbc72d3…
10-15 03:05:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x152832…
10-15 02:37:10	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x51a42d…
10-15 02:29:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	194	92¢	$178	0xbc701f…
10-15 02:29:28	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0xd7d53c…
10-15 02:29:23	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	681	92¢	$627	0x18cc56…
10-15 01:39:22	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xeb9417…
10-15 01:39:22	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xdaecf8…
10-15 01:39:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	85	67¢	$57	0xebfb3f…
10-15 01:39:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	65	67¢	$44	0xe4b6d8…
10-15 01:39:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xc3a8dd…
10-15 01:39:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7563c5…
10-15 01:39:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	800	32¢	$258	0x6c2189…
10-15 01:09:58	will trumps approval rating hit 46 by june 30 2027	No	BUY	196	93¢	$182	0xab3616…
10-14 22:17:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$16	0x5cda96…
10-14 22:17:01	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xb47c26…
10-14 18:38:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	827	17¢	$141	0x78f586…
10-14 16:07:49	will trumps approval rating hit 30 by june 30 2027	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xcbe373…