Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$806

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

140

Trades

1,337

lifetime

Volume

$67.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-09-27

last 10-27 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

78% 50% -$953

Other

22% 18% +$147

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes		+364	-$56	8¢	$27	+$84	10-27 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	51	$10.3K	8,900	7,016	+1,884	No	-$2,964	10-04 20:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$8.0K	6,013	6,013	+0	No	+$3,160	10-26 01:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	50	$4.3K	4,925	4,925	+0	Yes	+$2,823	10-26 04:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	23	$3.1K	2,526	1,348	+1,178	Yes	+$190	10-04 21:49
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	18	$3.0K	2,961	2,961	+0	No	+$2,585	10-03 03:12
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	10	$2.9K	2,787	1,742	+1,045	Yes	-$1,084	10-04 20:39
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$2.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$598	10-04 21:08
Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	27	$2.4K	3,708	0	+3,708	Yes	-$1,587	10-04 21:47
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$2.1K	1,520	1,520	+0	Yes	+$773	10-04 21:47
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	7	$1.8K	911	911	+0	Yes	+$7	10-05 02:52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$1,209	10-26 01:01
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$1.3K	739	709	+30	Yes	+$118	10-06 02:45
Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?	10	$1.1K	1,249	1,249	+0	No	-$1,111	10-03 03:10
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	28	$1.1K	8,888	8,789	+98	No	+$136	10-04 21:15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$750	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$750	09-27 22:16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	4	$730	1,195	0	+1,195	Yes	+$465	10-25 22:33
Will Alexandre Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	8	$639	332	332	+0	Yes	+$18	10-05 11:44
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	20	$632	880	0	+880	No	-$632	10-04 21:29
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	6	$618	329	329	+0	No	+$39	10-05 18:52
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	34	$615	2,934	2,934	+0	No	-$601	10-04 22:01
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	16	$596	2,085	1,721	+364	open	—	10-27 18:04
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre?	3	$557	300	300	+0	Yes	+$29	10-18 09:48
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	4	$529	626	0	+626	No	+$97	10-05 18:04
lula x flavio bolsonaro debate before second round	22	$500	2,400	644	+1,756	Yes	-$79	10-14 14:51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	14	$461	800	0	+800	No	-$461	09-30 18:42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	1	$440	500	0	+500	open	—	10-09 17:32
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	6	$418	220	220	+0	No	+$18	10-22 10:31
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	2	$379	200	200	+0	Yes	+$15	10-21 08:21
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?	5	$376	199	199	-0	Yes	+$15	10-06 00:44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$373	4,110	0	+4,110	Yes	-$373	10-04 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:04:05	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x3c83cd…
10-27 15:43:35	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	244	7¢	$17	0x28b39f…
10-27 15:08:03	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	SELL	687	17¢	$114	0x47d069…
10-27 15:04:42	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x302b0e…
10-27 14:37:32	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x51c3d5…
10-27 14:31:29	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	SELL	101	17¢	$17	0x19c7ef…
10-27 14:27:26	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd947c8…
10-27 14:08:57	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	SELL	41	17¢	$7	0x5cbeb9…
10-27 14:06:17	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xff9f9a…
10-27 13:33:59	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xf6bb73…
10-27 13:33:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xc95a7b…
10-27 13:33:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x45c890…
10-27 13:33:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xc4996f…
10-27 11:57:42	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x19e4c5…
10-27 09:05:45	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x6c7e3e…
10-27 06:55:50	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas not air?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x94a88d…
10-27 06:50:24	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	167	5¢	$8	0x66694d…
10-27 05:52:50	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xfb47e0…
10-27 05:42:24	Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x63d08d…
10-27 05:06:00	will trumps midterm rally in lubbock texas not air october 27 lubbock tx	Yes	BUY	171	5¢	$9	0x70f0d7…
10-27 05:02:53	will trumps midterm rally in lubbock texas not air october 27 lubbock tx	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x4d0238…
10-27 03:47:24	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x6c8a2a…
10-27 03:47:12	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfbb77f…
10-27 03:47:12	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	85	26¢	$22	0x347600…
10-27 03:47:11	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x687aae…
10-27 03:47:11	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x37e059…
10-27 03:47:11	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x226209…
10-27 03:47:11	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x0d7d72…
10-27 03:08:15	Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xde9400…
10-27 02:58:27	Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	76	23¢	$17	0x6027aa…
10-27 02:54:45	Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x4bbbbe…
10-27 02:47:38	Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xf97736…
10-27 02:47:12	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x855c5e…
10-27 02:38:08	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0x7dbeb8…
10-27 01:07:03	Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xab63a8…
10-27 01:01:26	will trump say bitcoin during his midterm rally in lubbock texas october 27 lubbock tx	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x952d09…
10-27 00:56:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xdad603…
10-27 00:56:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0x3533f6…
10-27 00:55:51	will trump say bitcoin during his midterm rally in lubbock texas october 27 lubbock tx	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x8a7991…
10-27 00:41:11	will trump say ai during his midterm rally in lubbock texas october 27 lubbock tx	Yes	BUY	99	13¢	$13	0xbf06c5…
10-27 00:39:27	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xfaa83a…
10-27 00:39:06	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf9f834…
10-27 00:39:06	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x8973fc…
10-27 00:39:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xe902b5…
10-27 00:39:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x59e9ce…
10-27 00:29:06	Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x21cef7…
10-27 00:23:54	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x7dece4…
10-27 00:23:53	Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x300671…
10-27 00:23:29	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x5bfe88…
10-27 00:20:15	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x4e50a1…
10-26 05:49:14	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	136	10¢	$13	0x486594…
10-26 04:29:33	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	243	10¢	$24	0x89fa85…
10-26 04:18:17	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	221	10¢	$22	0x6ac0e5…
10-26 04:04:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	1,272	100¢	$1,267	0xeb5032…
10-26 03:23:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	1,984	100¢	$1,976	0xb729fe…
10-26 01:01:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4,510	100¢	$4,506	0xc06b7b…
10-26 01:01:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x6c9d9a…
10-25 22:33:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	1,055	61¢	$643	0xe81506…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	315	25¢	$79	0xf81fee…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0xe8547d…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xe776cf…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc36f25…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0xa1dfe4…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x770868…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7375b6…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x6f5f8d…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	550	25¢	$138	0x6a9afe…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x640793…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x60d823…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x2ddb9c…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	BUY	85	62¢	$53	0x214233…
10-25 22:33:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x165ca9…
10-25 22:24:08	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf3e8e1…
10-25 22:23:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	388	30¢	$116	0xfb38f1…
10-25 22:23:27	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	BUY	470	2¢	$10	0x0a87ad…
10-25 22:21:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	656	70¢	$460	0x8ab256…
10-25 22:20:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	847	70¢	$593	0x21b751…
10-25 21:09:54	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8de596…
10-25 16:50:51	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x81c153…
10-22 18:43:54	Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xa5e72f…
10-22 18:43:54	Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x905f22…
10-22 14:51:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xdb1e2e…
10-22 13:53:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x43eea9…
10-22 12:59:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x5a4204…
10-22 11:25:02	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x537b1b…
10-22 10:31:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x60c4e7…
10-22 10:30:42	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xe9083a…
10-22 10:30:36	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x61a4fc…
10-22 10:26:02	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x00b886…
10-22 10:00:23	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x303061…
10-21 08:21:27	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x50090a…
10-20 22:53:27	Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x7ca6a8…
10-20 15:07:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xfa128f…
10-20 15:07:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x0bcca4…
10-20 14:56:57	Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0xd628d6…
10-20 14:13:06	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5f03bc…
10-20 13:33:59	Will "A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	28	45¢	$12	0xe76fe8…
10-20 01:07:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x3ba6fa…
10-20 01:07:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0x05e48b…
10-20 00:54:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	103	20¢	$21	0x8c48f8…