(anonymous) 0x8d5803…834205 Create alert
9L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$481
Unrealized P&L
+$1.16K
Hit rate
2.2%
Resolved
101
Trades
1,138
lifetime
Volume
$48.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$10.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-25
last 11-07 13:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
74% 15% -$285
Politics
19% 4% -$82
Tech
3% 0% -$108
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$6
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +998 $705 88¢ $878 +$173 10-13 18:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +650 $490 94¢ $609 +$119 10-10 12:01
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +700 $475 72¢ $500 +$26 10-11 17:13
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +500 $429 95¢ $475 +$45 10-07 11:58
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +600 $470 77¢ $461 -$9 10-14 11:28
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $385 92¢ $460 +$75 10-07 06:43
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? No +424 $371 92¢ $391 +$21 10-06 18:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +520 $384 74¢ $385 +$1 11-06 07:52
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026? No +381 $343 95¢ $362 +$19 10-07 14:10
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +409 $285 88¢ $360 +$75 10-30 15:41
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +500 $222 68¢ $342 +$120 10-06 20:21
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? Yes +500 $313 68¢ $340 +$27 11-02 08:56
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +400 $270 85¢ $340 +$70 10-13 19:57
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +400 $324 80¢ $318 -$6 10-14 03:16
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%? No +400 $292 78¢ $311 +$19 09-25 22:27
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? No +400 $264 76¢ $302 +$38 10-30 15:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +300 $98 96¢ $290 +$192 10-14 07:59
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +300 $237 94¢ $284 +$46 10-13 16:18
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $68 55¢ $276 +$208 09-27 21:35
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +400 $291 68¢ $274 -$17 11-02 09:43
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? No +274 $218 87¢ $240 +$22 11-02 08:56
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +300 $241 78¢ $232 -$8 10-13 19:26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +500 $436 45¢ $224 -$213 09-27 21:35
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +400 $208 55¢ $218 +$10 09-25 21:52
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +295 $199 73¢ $217 +$18 10-07 00:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +249 $191 86¢ $213 +$22 11-02 08:55
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +239 $188 87¢ $208 +$20 10-09 12:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +700 $236 29¢ $200 -$36 10-11 17:13
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +200 $162 100¢ $199 +$37 10-14 02:29
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +200 $152 100¢ $199 +$47 10-14 08:44