Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

5.2%

Resolved

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$8.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$50

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 11-04 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% -$94

Politics

15% 25% -$2

Tech

11% 0% -$89

Sports

4% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	+49	$24	55¢	$27	+$2	10-31 16:59
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	+43	$24	46¢	$19	-$5	11-04 00:54
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	+4	$7	60¢	$2	-$5	10-23 20:50
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	+4	$3	40¢	$2	-$1	10-23 15:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	15¢	$0	+$0	09-07 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	45	$847	837	837	+0	No	-$4	10-20 17:26
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	45	$844	808	808	+0	open	—	11-02 21:22
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	16	$752	793	793	+0	Yes	-$88	09-25 00:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$591	780	780	-0	open	—	07-25 14:12
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 btts	2	$437	540	540	+0	No	-$5	07-01 00:06
Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	17	$338	301	301	+0	open	—	10-30 10:57
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$324	360	260	+100	No	-$9	10-17 15:48
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	19	$321	335	327	+8	open	—	10-23 20:50
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	22	$319	366	297	+70	open	—	11-03 13:17
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	20	$299	384	292	+92	open	—	11-04 00:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	9	$293	303	303	+0	Yes	$0	09-12 18:13
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	12	$222	202	202	+0	open	—	10-29 08:55
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	8	$189	191	189	+2	No	-$20	09-14 09:40
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	9	$183	193	193	+0	open	—	10-25 08:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	10	$182	160	160	+0	open	—	10-20 17:29
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	11	$148	170	170	+0	open	—	10-31 23:52
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	11	$147	166	166	+0	open	—	10-20 13:35
Senegal leading at halftime?	4	$146	540	540	+0	No	-$5	06-16 10:04
Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	9	$144	155	155	+0	open	—	10-28 19:29
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	11	$132	122	122	+0	No	-$1	09-16 07:45
Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	11	$131	144	144	+0	open	—	10-20 17:28
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$119	112	112	+0	Yes	-$1	06-23 19:58
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	7	$116	126	124	+2	open	—	10-28 19:07
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$114	200	200	+0	No	-$6	07-14 17:57
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	2	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	08-24 16:58
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	6	$107	110	110	+0	open	—	10-24 07:48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	5	$107	104	96	+8	open	—	10-26 06:26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$107	230	230	+0	No	+$1	06-29 14:58
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	5	$104	110	110	+0	open	—	10-20 18:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	7	$101	132	53	+80	Yes	+$8	09-19 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:54:42	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x58f9ee…
11-03 13:34:07	Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	41¢	$33	0xd62ec7…
11-03 13:17:55	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	39	39¢	$15	0x209def…
11-03 03:22:19	Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0xce0b36…
11-02 23:13:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x16db79…
11-02 21:22:15	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x28b2e1…
11-02 19:42:39	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x28f2a3…
11-02 18:12:04	Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0x5831e3…
11-02 17:01:57	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0xd708e1…
11-02 15:24:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x66d9e7…
11-02 13:31:54	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb7f892…
11-02 13:26:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xcfc409…
11-02 12:00:30	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x758e3a…
11-02 00:58:25	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd1f73c…
11-02 00:58:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xaaed65…
11-01 22:09:00	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	55	65¢	$36	0xe079a8…
11-01 22:09:00	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xbf7b78…
11-01 18:14:00	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x9007f0…
11-01 15:04:03	Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	37¢	$29	0xd9a66d…
11-01 11:30:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	52¢	$29	0x5b6f78…
10-31 23:52:52	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x75729d…
10-31 23:50:43	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x5a417f…
10-31 23:00:22	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x4a8f28…
10-31 19:18:13	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0x7abfab…
10-31 18:42:16	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xcc017b…
10-31 18:17:58	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xad8a93…
10-31 18:17:58	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x278cf7…
10-31 16:59:16	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x8c9531…
10-31 16:44:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x8fd601…
10-31 16:35:52	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x57af16…
10-31 16:35:43	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x8b969e…
10-31 16:35:40	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xb91cfd…
10-31 14:44:19	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xfd9bfa…
10-31 10:57:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0x304646…
10-31 08:14:04	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xa4c1bc…
10-31 07:55:00	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xecbb9c…
10-31 07:55:00	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1f7f37…
10-31 07:31:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xbfbeac…
10-31 07:30:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x7b1e53…
10-31 07:30:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x43a988…
10-31 01:59:52	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	39	70¢	$27	0x145168…
10-31 01:59:39	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x02dde7…
10-31 01:38:10	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xbab73d…
10-30 23:00:22	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9eb33a…
10-30 23:00:22	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x806d79…
10-30 19:45:58	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xbf3722…
10-30 19:45:58	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	SELL	40	73¢	$29	0x2d6b82…
10-30 19:09:54	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0xba56d0…
10-30 10:57:24	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	55	51¢	$28	0x3de46a…
10-29 08:55:29	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x1df7be…
10-29 04:43:14	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x6f6ff9…
10-28 19:29:14	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x5cce40…
10-28 19:28:08	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xd28b2f…
10-28 19:07:58	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xac294b…
10-28 18:21:55	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0xc64e54…
10-28 17:03:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x41f5a6…
10-26 18:57:02	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x29b1ce…
10-26 17:59:57	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0xaa739c…
10-26 17:43:35	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0xf6c73b…
10-26 17:43:35	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0xe32477…
10-26 16:12:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x3fdb23…
10-26 16:11:53	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	36	38¢	$14	0x22defa…
10-26 15:50:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	38¢	$21	0x705a05…
10-26 15:02:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	41¢	$19	0x5e8c21…
10-26 14:58:44	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$8	0x04f2c9…
10-26 14:56:17	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x0bbd0a…
10-26 14:55:42	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	55	63¢	$35	0x775322…
10-26 13:35:14	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xd326d4…
10-26 11:29:27	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x32dd4d…
10-26 11:28:06	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	55	50¢	$27	0xae299f…
10-26 11:16:35	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xc0f9ea…
10-26 11:15:29	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xc5e5e1…
10-26 11:14:09	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xb1f72e…
10-26 11:13:09	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xdbc076…
10-26 11:08:24	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x8e422f…
10-26 11:07:20	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0x38a742…
10-26 11:05:59	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x150dfb…
10-26 09:50:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x36bccb…
10-26 09:45:53	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xa3bab4…
10-26 07:53:35	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	55	50¢	$28	0x8f2f7c…
10-26 07:53:35	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0x8f2f7c…
10-26 06:56:36	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xedc6a8…
10-26 06:26:54	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0x56a2ae…
10-26 05:53:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x805e9c…
10-26 05:26:02	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0x87eea6…
10-26 05:24:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xd259db…
10-26 05:24:56	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0x56b011…
10-26 04:06:42	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xf463d7…
10-26 04:02:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	SELL	51	50¢	$26	0x25f584…
10-26 01:03:20	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0x091da7…
10-26 01:03:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x83d88e…
10-26 00:51:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x737679…
10-26 00:51:41	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x363986…
10-26 00:22:41	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x3a2336…
10-26 00:22:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	38	66¢	$25	0x663f00…
10-25 21:37:59	Will Team Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x6a5dac…
10-25 18:41:21	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0xca10a1…
10-25 18:41:18	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xe18105…
10-25 17:26:42	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0xcf21e6…
10-25 11:20:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xaa6630…