Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

506

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$160

13 positions

First seen

2026-09-17

last 10-28 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

93% 70% -$1

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	+25	$25	100¢	$25	+$0	09-22 07:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	+25	$25	99¢	$25	$0	09-22 07:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+20	$19	92¢	$19	$0	09-22 07:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+25	$18	74¢	$18	+$1	09-22 07:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+15	$15	100¢	$15	$0	09-22 07:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+15	$15	99¢	$15	+$0	09-22 13:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+15	$15	98¢	$15	$0	09-22 13:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+15	$11	82¢	$12	+$1	09-22 13:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+25	$9	34¢	$8	-$1	09-22 07:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+15	$5	22¢	$3	-$1	09-22 15:38
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	-5	-$1	46¢	$-2	-$1	09-17 22:48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	+5	-$8	44¢	$2	+$11	10-28 13:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	-5	$0	8¢	$-0	$0	09-22 04:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	9	$95	130	37	+92	open	—	10-28 18:56
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	13	$68	94	89	+5	open	—	10-28 13:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	12	$60	51	51	+0	open	—	10-28 18:38
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	10-16 18:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	10	$48	35	35	+0	open	—	10-25 22:00
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?	9	$45	45	39	+5	open	—	10-25 22:07
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	9	$45	31	24	+7	open	—	10-26 15:48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	10	$42	31	24	+7	open	—	10-27 19:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	8	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	10-28 12:37
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	9	$39	69	69	+0	open	—	10-28 18:36
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	6	$35	25	25	+0	open	—	10-27 21:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	7	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	09-20 14:58
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October?	6	$33	37	37	+0	Yes	+$3	10-21 22:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 19 2026?	6	$31	18	18	+0	No	+$1	10-20 16:16
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October?	6	$30	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	10-21 20:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	4	$30	45	5	+39	open	—	10-22 17:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	6	$30	28	27	+1	Yes	$0	10-22 16:09
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	7	$29	30	4	+25	No	+$4	09-22 08:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	7	$28	79	79	+0	open	—	10-28 18:36
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?	5	$27	48	31	+17	Yes	-$2	10-22 16:22
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	3	$26	27	7	+20	open	—	10-28 15:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	6	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	09-22 07:16
2026 Balance of Power: Other	5	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	09-22 07:16
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	5	$25	20	5	+15	No	$0	09-23 02:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	7	$25	30	5	+25	No	+$6	09-20 15:17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	4	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	10-25 22:00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	10-27 23:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	4	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	10-26 00:46
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	9	$20	152	152	+0	open	—	10-27 19:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	4	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	10-23 04:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:56:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xce5e42…
10-28 18:56:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x784632…
10-28 18:42:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 in October?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xc3762e…
10-28 18:38:11	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x867f16…
10-28 18:36:41	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xe01b2a…
10-28 18:36:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xe4163c…
10-28 18:34:16	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xd66cd9…
10-28 18:17:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0xbd2b30…
10-28 18:16:04	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xa1500a…
10-28 15:23:40	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0f2837…
10-28 13:53:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x74c946…
10-28 13:49:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in October?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x846455…
10-28 13:49:07	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0xd2e09a…
10-28 13:48:59	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x3442af…
10-28 13:48:58	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd2d8e7…
10-28 13:47:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xeaa3a4…
10-28 13:46:11	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaf932d…
10-28 13:33:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in October?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdf2c28…
10-28 13:30:13	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9a6ca6…
10-28 12:57:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x1c57c5…
10-28 12:37:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x10f59c…
10-28 12:22:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xc5cbe7…
10-28 12:20:14	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xc91dc4…
10-28 08:10:01	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd21f9d…
10-28 01:55:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x27cbab…
10-28 01:47:33	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xe792d4…
10-27 23:55:50	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xbf0af5…
10-27 21:01:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x33abe6…
10-27 19:35:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x535a73…
10-27 19:33:23	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x666ea7…
10-27 19:25:57	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xd6eebc…
10-27 19:18:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcf3191…
10-27 18:46:51	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x7a9c62…
10-27 15:15:35	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3b0323…
10-27 15:09:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd7018a…
10-27 14:47:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdc8799…
10-27 14:07:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe4b94a…
10-27 13:30:14	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf4fe8f…
10-27 13:30:14	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb6f78d…
10-27 06:15:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x351614…
10-27 06:15:39	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xad34d3…
10-27 03:12:35	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x88afce…
10-26 21:45:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xe0e431…
10-26 19:53:08	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x283097…
10-26 17:30:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x231d41…
10-26 17:08:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb186b7…
10-26 17:00:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc44725…
10-26 16:48:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xee350f…
10-26 15:48:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfa1fd5…
10-26 14:08:33	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x6b7a0b…
10-26 13:49:57	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $368 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0xb6495b…
10-26 13:43:05	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3e28f6…
10-26 13:37:51	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 in October?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6e5eb3…
10-26 02:06:47	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x4cc050…
10-26 01:54:12	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x20fe25…
10-26 01:05:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x4f99e0…
10-26 00:46:56	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x1dd128…
10-26 00:39:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x84de1a…
10-25 23:52:32	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe2dfb8…
10-25 23:15:56	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x255006…
10-25 22:34:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x43fd94…
10-25 22:07:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x689629…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xef5b4d…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x95858f…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x7f76d7…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$5	0x715211…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x48ee40…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x434123…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x3884d5…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2af39c…
10-25 22:00:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x1aa338…
10-23 20:26:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8474f7…
10-23 20:23:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd266cd…
10-23 20:18:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc9731f…
10-23 20:18:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9d7fa7…
10-23 20:18:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x176ae4…
10-23 20:18:06	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbb87d2…
10-23 20:18:05	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbb2f93…
10-23 20:18:05	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x51ce28…
10-23 20:18:05	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2914bb…
10-23 19:46:47	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9accbe…
10-23 19:46:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5150b8…
10-23 18:23:30	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x28f254…
10-23 18:16:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x3d4c57…
10-23 17:11:36	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x932214…
10-23 15:37:17	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x07a5e9…
10-23 14:32:29	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xcabfe0…
10-23 14:06:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9fb746…
10-23 14:05:42	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xfb89a1…
10-23 14:03:30	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x55d03e…
10-23 14:00:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3003fe…
10-23 13:30:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xede83d…
10-23 12:58:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0xda208d…
10-23 11:07:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x3f20c7…
10-23 09:01:02	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x6965a1…
10-23 04:42:47	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x2ed827…
10-23 03:21:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0xa4a01a…
10-23 03:21:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x204fc1…
10-23 02:05:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb787d3…
10-23 02:05:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x21ec35…