Hilarious-Ambulance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

13,897

Trades

59,523

lifetime

Volume

$497.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 213 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 84% -$773

Other

3% 52% -$426

Sports

1% 49% +$11

Politics

0% 56% +$28

Pop-Culture

0% 33% $0

Tech

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 4816 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	-20	-$4	15¢	$-3	+$1	05-14 07:44
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-20	-$2	10¢	$-2	+$0	06-01 12:51
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	-1	-$1	72¢	$-1	+$0	05-28 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	684	$3.7K	7,731	0	+7,731	Up	+$3,969	10-09 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	417	$3.0K	4,970	0	+4,970	Down	-$636	10-11 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	357	$2.2K	2,625	0	+2,625	Up	+$428	10-09 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	241	$2.2K	4,515	0	+4,515	Down	-$1,765	10-10 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	335	$1.9K	2,534	0	+2,534	Up	+$22	10-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	247	$1.8K	2,703	0	+2,703	Up	-$292	10-10 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	255	$1.5K	1,806	0	+1,806	Up	+$259	10-09 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	202	$1.5K	1,680	0	+1,680	Down	-$646	10-10 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	174	$1.5K	2,162	0	+2,162	Up	+$686	10-09 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	221	$1.5K	1,707	0	+1,707	Down	+$245	10-10 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	178	$1.2K	1,433	0	+1,433	Up	-$392	10-09 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	148	$1.1K	2,171	0	+2,171	Up	-$168	10-11 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	16	$1.1K	676	574	+102	Up	-$43	08-13 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	114	$1.1K	1,968	0	+1,968	Down	-$229	10-10 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	198	$1.0K	2,399	0	+2,399	Up	-$974	10-08 22:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:00 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	06-30 13:14
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	06-30 13:04
XRP Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	06-30 13:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:00 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	06-30 13:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:00 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	06-30 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	06-30 13:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:45 UTC	1	$1000	1,017	0	+1,017	Down	+$17	06-29 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	240	$964	1,703	0	+1,703	Up	-$271	10-07 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	140	$936	1,162	0	+1,162	Down	-$81	10-11 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	66	$927	1,129	0	+1,129	Up	+$202	10-03 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	99	$902	1,460	0	+1,460	Down	-$472	10-09 09:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:10 UTC	1	$896	905	0	+905	Down	+$9	06-30 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:20 UTC	1	$854	855	0	+855	Down	+$1	06-29 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	106	$822	897	0	+897	Down	+$75	10-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	128	$813	1,478	0	+1,478	Down	-$167	10-09 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:38:01	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfa3f28…
10-28 18:37:59	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xab76b3…
10-28 18:37:59	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1f03e4…
10-28 18:37:58	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1f3f15…
10-28 18:37:56	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9987f8…
10-28 18:36:53	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x98f70c…
10-28 18:36:52	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x687d14…
10-28 18:36:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x364488…
10-28 18:36:49	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x98fc7e…
10-28 18:36:47	Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x738ab8…
10-28 18:36:47	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x4e726d…
10-28 18:36:46	Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x9443c0…
10-28 18:36:46	Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x473383…
10-28 18:36:44	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x1f5722…
10-28 18:36:43	Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xb3c5ed…
10-28 18:36:41	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xa908d8…
10-28 18:36:41	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	440	0¢	$2	0x6dc4fa…
10-28 18:36:40	Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x1a340b…
10-28 18:36:38	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xdff529…
10-28 18:36:37	Will PP win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0976f1…
10-28 18:36:35	Will Chris Minns be the next Premier of New South Wales?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x37fe09…
10-28 18:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xdc1fdc…
10-28 18:36:34	Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x366bc5…
10-28 18:36:31	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xf1d8ef…
10-28 18:36:29	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x7a227b…
10-28 18:36:28	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x2db553…
10-28 18:36:26	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xe0066e…
10-28 18:36:26	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x589560…
10-28 18:36:23	Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xe9f394…
10-28 18:36:23	Will BNG win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x8c4995…
10-28 18:36:22	Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1bf016…
10-28 18:36:20	Will Otzma Yehudit win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa41429…
10-28 18:36:20	Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x23bdb9…
10-28 18:36:19	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xde5c20…
10-28 18:36:16	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc272b4…
10-28 18:36:16	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x579029…
10-28 18:36:14	Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe84101…
10-28 18:36:13	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x728040…
10-28 18:36:13	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x65f6ba…
10-28 18:36:11	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xebbcb9…
10-28 18:36:10	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa17de7…
10-28 18:36:08	Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xedcf32…
10-28 18:36:08	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd1ba80…
10-28 18:36:07	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0aada7…
10-28 18:36:05	Will PSOE win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xba7eb2…
10-28 18:36:04	Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xe8aa91…
10-28 18:36:02	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc60faa…
10-28 18:36:02	Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x7e9185…
10-28 18:36:01	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x611585…
10-28 18:35:59	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xa666df…
10-28 18:35:58	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x6c93ec…
10-28 18:35:58	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x51ef84…
10-28 18:35:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xfd8fa9…
10-28 18:35:55	Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd2e8ec…
10-28 18:35:53	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef0a50…
10-28 18:35:53	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8e8891…
10-28 18:35:52	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x90d3ef…
10-28 18:35:50	Will Blue and White win 1.25-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1f7a55…
10-28 18:35:50	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x069145…
10-28 18:35:49	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x34c3f6…
10-28 18:35:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x583e79…
10-28 18:35:46	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0b3a95…
10-28 18:35:46	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x01bf7f…
10-28 18:35:44	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x2d23fb…
10-28 18:35:43	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xd675bd…
10-28 18:35:43	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x644056…
10-28 18:35:41	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa0673e…
10-28 16:21:46	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe429c3…
10-28 10:21:07	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xa540cd…
10-28 09:24:07	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbc31cf…
10-28 09:21:19	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xf9935e…
10-28 09:21:19	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x976725…
10-28 07:40:25	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x19798a…
10-28 07:39:40	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadf280…
10-28 07:38:56	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93b276…
10-28 07:38:28	Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15c423…
10-28 07:30:32	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x510609…
10-28 07:24:37	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x9d253e…
10-28 07:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf24b82…
10-28 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9e9924…
10-28 06:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe63d92…
10-28 06:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x732478…
10-28 06:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x6322bb…
10-28 06:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9e82fe…
10-28 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7b99b1…
10-28 06:29:13	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x965503…
10-28 06:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8b66ec…
10-28 05:38:05	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd46e22…
10-28 05:38:04	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5bb603…
10-28 05:28:04	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69cb55…
10-28 05:28:02	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xd4ee7c…
10-28 05:28:02	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x1e4e53…
10-28 05:28:01	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$1	0xd06a1a…
10-28 05:27:59	Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x53d668…
10-28 04:56:19	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x78c144…
10-28 04:42:52	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5dcb53…
10-28 04:26:35	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xbeecc7…
10-28 04:02:43	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Senators	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xef99bf…
10-28 02:52:36	Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8dc2cb…
10-28 02:46:35	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e10d9…