Realized P&L
-$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
77.3%
Resolved
14,333
Trades
61,489
lifetime
Volume
$502.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$170
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 11-07 16:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 223 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 84% -$679
Other
4% 53% -$412
Sports
1% 51% +$57
Politics
0% 55% +$31
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$4
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 4816 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? Yes +29 $10 37¢ $11 +$1 11-06 14:27
Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? Yes +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$1 11-05 19:12
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-01 15:19
Will James Li win the 2026 Scarborough North by-election? Yes +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 11-05 16:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 11-06 00:20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000? Yes +12 $1 71¢ $9 +$7 11-03 02:14
Will "FRESH - Lil Baby" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 21? Yes +9 $8 99¢ $8 +$1 11-06 22:03
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? No +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$1 11-06 09:11
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election? Yes +8 $7 70¢ $6 -$2 11-06 20:06
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$1 11-02 11:27
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 04:54
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-03 20:27
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 11-07 06:25
will katherine clark be the first house majority leader after the 2026 midterms Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 11-02 22:20
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 11-04 09:01
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? Yes +14 $3 34¢ $5 +$2 11-06 16:20
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$0 11-01 18:08
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.8B by November 30? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 11-04 12:41
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? Yes +29 $8 16¢ $5 -$3 11-05 07:09
Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset? No +11 $8 42¢ $4 -$3 11-01 15:10
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election? Yes +9 $4 48¢ $4 +$1 11-06 07:42
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? Yes +4 $0 99¢ $4 +$5 11-05 02:33
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 11-06 16:28
Fortuna Sittard vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5 Over +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 11-07 16:14
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +5 $4 78¢ $4 $0 11-04 08:58
Will there be no government shutdown by December 31, 2027? Yes +23 $4 17¢ $4 $0 11-05 17:52
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +22 $5 17¢ $4 -$1 11-06 09:14
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $4 57¢ $3 -$1 11-01 17:51
Spread: Texans (-4.5) Texans +5 $3 56¢ $3 +$0 11-03 09:52
Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election? Yes +7 $3 44¢ $3 +$0 11-05 17:59