Realized P&L (30d)
+$18.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.17K
Hit rate
91.5%
Resolved (30d)
190
Trades (30d)
785
17,387 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$129.5K
$1.71M lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$33.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 05:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Other
43% 88% +$43,005
Politics
39% 80% +$15,069
Sports
18% 86% +$11,439
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$245
Tech
0% 100% +$97
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5,038 $2,769 84¢ $4.3K +$1,489 10-31 19:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,010 $3,264 86¢ $3.5K +$204 10-28 03:29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,442 $2,521 98¢ $3.4K +$860 10-30 19:54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,360 78¢ $2.4K -$5 11-02 05:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,721 $2,341 85¢ $2.3K -$23 10-21 16:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,229 $2,506 36¢ $1.9K -$642 09-11 04:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1,981 $895 86¢ $1.7K +$819 10-28 05:02
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +7,257 $3,753 22¢ $1.6K -$2,192 10-22 04:06
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,455 $1,292 92¢ $1.3K +$40 10-27 06:56
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1,421 $501 87¢ $1.2K +$735 09-24 20:21
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +1,700 $1,270 72¢ $1.2K -$38 09-10 16:01
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $730 70¢ $695 -$35 10-31 03:23
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +785 $557 86¢ $679 +$121 10-28 05:04
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +941 $630 68¢ $645 +$14 10-22 18:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +808 $542 80¢ $642 +$101 10-27 23:50
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +645 $621 97¢ $626 +$5 10-31 00:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,130 $271 14¢ $599 +$328 04-30 17:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +500 $457 94¢ $472 +$16 10-14 18:55
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +500 $375 90¢ $448 +$72 08-16 18:33
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -442 -$410 100¢ $-441 -$31 10-21 19:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -400 -$288 97¢ $-387 -$99 05-06 12:32
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +375 $95 95¢ $356 +$261 07-30 22:45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -350 -$328 97¢ $-340 -$12 10-21 03:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +350 $304 94¢ $331 +$26 09-26 19:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $286 98¢ $294 +$7 08-08 22:11
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $286 97¢ $291 +$5 09-29 00:37
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,363 $245 3¢ $281 +$36 11-02 02:49
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $279 94¢ $280 +$2 10-31 04:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,725 $117 10¢ $279 +$162 04-29 20:26
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +924 $305 28¢ $254 -$51 05-30 20:28