Realized P&L
-$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
1.6%
Resolved
1,031
Trades
9,607
lifetime
Volume
$71.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$225
19 positions
First seen
2026-09-15
last 11-02 03:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
53% 2% -$807
Politics
37% 4% -$114
Sports
7% 0% -$50
Tech
2% 0% -$92
Crypto
2% 0% -$23
Pop-Culture
1% 20% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 365 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +35 $26 81¢ $28 +$2 10-28 18:41
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +48 $23 54¢ $25 +$3 10-20 15:46
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +48 $26 46¢ $22 -$4 10-20 15:46
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +29 $25 70¢ $21 -$4 10-28 03:56
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +19 $8 94¢ $18 +$10 10-21 05:48
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +21 $19 82¢ $17 -$1 10-21 13:56
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +19 $13 88¢ $17 +$4 10-21 09:35
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +19 $11 64¢ $12 +$1 10-21 16:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +20 $9 58¢ $11 +$3 10-22 22:01
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +14 $10 68¢ $10 $0 10-22 04:38
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +29 $6 30¢ $9 +$2 10-28 03:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +20 $11 42¢ $8 -$3 10-22 22:01
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? No +19 $9 36¢ $7 -$2 10-19 17:16
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +35 $12 19¢ $7 -$5 10-28 18:41
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes +14 $5 32¢ $5 -$1 10-22 04:38
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +21 $4 18¢ $4 $0 10-21 13:29
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +19 $8 12¢ $2 -$6 10-21 09:35
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +19 $13 6¢ $1 -$12 10-22 06:57
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +0 $0 89¢ $0 +$1 10-03 20:20