Violent-Grub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

31.9%

Resolved

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

72% — —

Other

19% — —

Sports

9% 50% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?	Yes		+5	$2	34¢	$2	+$0	07-04 02:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+32	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	06-20 13:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770345900	2	$321	162	162	+0	open	—	02-06 02:57
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	5	$66	70	40	+30	open	—	04-21 20:26
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	2	$58	200	200	+0	open	—	02-06 13:07
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	6	$48	100	100	+0	Over	$-8	05-09 02:42
btc updown 15m 1770347700	7	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	02-06 03:17
btc updown 15m 1770350400	2	$47	50	49	+1	open	—	02-06 04:09
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	3	$45	100	100	+0	open	—	01-03 08:35
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	14	$44	140	229	-89	open	—	05-18 23:52
btc updown 15m 1770448500	5	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	02-07 07:19
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	7	$38	48	13	+35	open	—	05-20 02:40
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	10	$32	230	230	+0	open	—	02-06 01:38
btc updown 15m 1770346800	2	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	02-06 03:04
btc updown 15m 1770449400	5	$29	40	40	+0	open	—	02-07 07:38
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	1	$25	0	25	-25	open	—	01-03 06:47
btc updown 15m 1770522300	4	$24	55	0	+55	open	—	02-08 03:55
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$24	109	0	+109	open	—	02-06 02:49
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	5	$22	15	15	+0	No	+$7	05-10 02:46
btc updown 15m 1770445800	3	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	02-07 06:33
bitcoin up or down february 1 11pm et	7	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	02-02 04:43
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	5	$18	100	100	+0	open	—	04-14 03:13
btc updown 15m 1770444000	4	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	02-07 06:09
btc updown 15m 1771986600	4	$16	21	20	+0	open	—	02-25 02:35
bitcoin up or down february 7 11pm et	3	$15	31	31	+0	open	—	02-08 04:36
btc updown 15m 1767622500	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-05 14:25
btc updown 15m 1770526800	6	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 05:13
btc updown 15m 1770523200	4	$14	30	10	+20	open	—	02-08 04:15
btc updown 15m 1774932300	3	$14	21	20	+1	open	—	03-31 04:54
btc updown 15m 1770002100	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	02-02 03:26
btc updown 15m 1770442200	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	02-07 05:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$10	70	38	+32	open	—	06-20 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 10:30:01	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xa83a04…
07-04 02:39:37	Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x18bfb4…
07-02 16:16:52	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x8ffa7e…
06-25 01:37:08	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x1844fe…
06-24 23:32:52	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x731d83…
06-22 10:54:40	Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x79a90f…
06-20 13:25:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x086530…
06-20 03:14:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x9553e3…
06-19 20:26:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x29bc44…
06-19 09:52:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x675e17…
06-18 02:24:16	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc2b605…
06-16 06:57:27	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xdb9a8c…
06-16 02:44:22	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x63e897…
06-08 09:29:01	eth updown 15m 1780910100	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x322b86…
06-03 22:23:42	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x664e1c…
05-29 17:10:01	World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x0bad8a…
05-22 02:12:46	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xebf32f…
05-22 02:10:47	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5067e8…
05-20 04:05:40	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x11ba4f…
05-20 02:40:29	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x2d719f…
05-20 02:40:22	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x793b36…
05-20 02:39:40	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x734c6e…
05-20 02:18:40	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6f67bb…
05-20 02:14:26	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Under	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x35a033…
05-20 02:14:10	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Under	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe98762…
05-20 02:10:45	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe727d5…
05-20 02:06:12	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x59228f…
05-20 02:05:08	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xa51b0e…
05-18 23:52:40	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf78f69…
05-16 08:04:20	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x18ca0c…
05-16 05:24:39	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x4972b1…
05-16 02:58:12	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	176	12¢	$20	0x652c41…
05-11 17:42:04	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5f1db1…
05-10 02:46:52	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x466d3d…
05-10 02:40:57	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x998652…
05-10 02:02:20	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x82e77c…
05-10 01:10:43	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa28f5a…
05-09 14:38:45	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	52	15¢	$8	0x4699b8…
05-09 05:18:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6c8d92…
05-09 04:40:36	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa00f42…
05-09 02:42:22	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x74dd26…
05-09 02:42:20	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xd1fbf1…
05-09 02:42:11	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xfb3f38…
05-09 02:42:08	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x61d72b…
05-09 02:42:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	52	20¢	$10	0x1c24b9…
05-09 02:34:07	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x9ce9b6…
05-08 22:47:03	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x192e15…
05-08 22:24:16	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x6b463e…
05-08 05:16:11	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x80143c…
05-08 04:56:49	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x07779d…
05-08 00:57:46	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xacb332…
05-07 17:21:19	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x30ac1a…
05-07 06:43:49	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x8dc882…
04-21 20:26:06	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x94ce93…
04-19 23:46:04	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x781177…
04-14 03:13:01	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x0be702…
04-13 19:48:43	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x094dbe…
04-02 01:18:47	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9a549b…
04-02 01:17:57	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc55543…
03-31 04:54:13	btc updown 15m 1774932300	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x26f08e…
03-31 04:53:49	btc updown 15m 1774932300	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x6b6e8e…
03-31 04:46:29	btc updown 15m 1774932300	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7b105b…
03-31 03:54:53	btc updown 15m 1774928700	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xeba452…
03-31 03:53:59	btc updown 15m 1774928700	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x1bbff9…
03-28 06:47:49	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x8b13ef…
03-04 01:00:39	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0xb28bbc…
02-25 17:04:32	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xfae4e4…
02-25 14:28:06	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x0b8c0b…
02-25 11:02:12	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xb3478c…
02-25 02:43:50	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0ca202…
02-25 02:35:42	btc updown 15m 1771986600	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x1c52c6…
02-25 02:33:44	btc updown 15m 1771986600	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x046394…
02-25 02:32:40	btc updown 15m 1771986600	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x65cc6b…
02-25 02:32:06	btc updown 15m 1771986600	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfc4553…
02-25 02:29:16	btc updown 15m 1771985700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbd7026…
02-25 02:24:04	btc updown 15m 1771985700	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe16f80…
02-25 02:24:04	btc updown 15m 1771985700	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x75a00f…
02-25 02:24:02	btc updown 15m 1771985700	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x2ab670…
02-25 02:22:36	btc updown 15m 1771985700	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x169476…
02-25 02:12:48	btc updown 15m 1771984800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa3391a…
02-25 02:10:14	btc updown 15m 1771984800	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf59ebd…
02-25 01:15:50	btc updown 15m 1771982100	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6e6814…
02-25 00:07:42	btc updown 15m 1771977600	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x7bcc49…
02-25 00:07:18	btc updown 15m 1771977600	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x33efe3…
02-23 04:18:50	btc updown 15m 1771820100	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc18610…
02-23 04:16:58	btc updown 15m 1771820100	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xa9ce5e…
02-23 04:16:58	btc updown 15m 1771820100	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x9d8e8e…
02-23 04:16:58	btc updown 15m 1771820100	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x87b14b…
02-23 04:16:58	btc updown 15m 1771820100	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x83e6cf…
02-23 03:58:54	btc updown 15m 1771818300	Up	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x6352a4…
02-23 03:51:54	btc updown 15m 1771818300	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x5b31f1…
02-23 03:51:26	btc updown 15m 1771818300	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1fef46…
02-23 03:22:36	btc updown 15m 1771816500	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa284fa…
02-23 03:17:56	btc updown 15m 1771816500	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4d81c7…
02-08 06:45:39	bitcoin up or down february 8 1am et	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xfd2111…
02-08 06:43:57	bitcoin up or down february 8 1am et	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0b7064…
02-08 05:51:17	btc updown 15m 1770529500	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x4b283e…
02-08 05:51:15	btc updown 15m 1770529500	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x68e2d5…
02-08 05:45:57	bitcoin up or down february 8 12am et	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x675c5f…
02-08 05:37:05	btc updown 15m 1770528600	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x650ae1…