Violent-Grub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

180

Trades

1,406

lifetime

Volume

$6.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$176

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

37% 49% +$55

Sports

28% 43% +$51

Politics

21% 41% -$86

Crypto

14% 57% -$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$134	68¢	$137	+$3	10-27 06:03
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+50	$34	70¢	$35	+$1	10-28 06:43
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+30	$4	12¢	$4	$0	10-27 20:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	16	$408	362	362	+0	Yes	+$90	10-26 01:50
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$357	346	346	+0	No	+$16	07-19 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:45 UTC	2	$321	162	162	+0	Down	+$0	02-06 02:57
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	39	$280	499	383	+116	open	—	10-27 19:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$257	200	200	+0	open	—	10-27 06:00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$229	620	620	+0	No	-$1	07-07 18:15
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	42	$207	444	444	+0	Yes	-$3	06-04 05:13
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	118	$170	1,645	1,645	+0	No	-$2	06-12 04:48
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	32	$168	285	325	-39	open	—	10-07 15:07
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$153	130	130	+0	open	—	09-06 07:16
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	52	$141	914	951	-37	open	—	08-02 02:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$134	200	0	+200	open	—	10-27 06:03
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$130	278	254	+24	No	+$33	07-04 20:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	26	$129	830	830	+0	open	—	09-09 06:07
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	39	$121	458	841	-383	open	—	10-14 17:21
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$108	1,286	4,427	-3,142	No	+$50	06-30 03:57
la velada del ano 6 samy rivers vs roro 20260708192315676	9	$97	160	160	+0	RoRo	-$39	07-25 23:33
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	6	$91	70	70	+0	Yes	+$10	04-30 03:31
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$91	2,250	725	+1,525	No	-$45	07-07 20:22
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	21	$86	2,800	2,249	+551	No	-$7	06-29 17:52
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$85	2,310	2,310	+0	No	+$6	07-07 00:16
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	7	$77	167	56	+111	Yes	-$2	06-24 23:32
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	42	$76	932	911	+22	No	+$5	06-20 09:12
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$73	24,685	23,050	+1,635	No	-$1	06-29 23:31
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$72	20	140	-120	Yes	-$58	05-24 02:46
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$71	70	70	+0	Yes	-$10	05-30 17:06
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$64	1,000	500	+500	No	-$24	06-28 03:01
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	15	$63	66	66	+0	open	—	07-08 10:44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$61	210	439	-229	No	+$21	06-18 02:37
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	2	$58	200	200	+0	Yes	-$14	02-06 13:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:43:29	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6d13bd…
10-27 20:23:45	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xe5e02d…
10-27 19:31:29	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x209bec…
10-27 06:03:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x76fd09…
10-27 06:02:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x2511ad…
10-27 06:01:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x02227c…
10-27 06:00:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xb46beb…
10-26 13:57:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	588	0¢	$1	0xe140c3…
10-26 13:55:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x6aedb5…
10-26 13:51:06	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	155	0¢	$0	0x3677b9…
10-26 08:25:32	Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	235	2¢	$5	0x789df1…
10-26 03:00:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0xe27c27…
10-26 02:42:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x52687d…
10-26 01:59:21	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x8e42bd…
10-26 01:59:21	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x5500e4…
10-26 01:50:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	405	1¢	$4	0x675a20…
10-26 01:50:32	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	110	71¢	$78	0x7ace49…
10-25 23:24:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xec57d9…
10-25 23:23:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x2ff875…
10-25 23:23:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	85	7¢	$6	0xc659e3…
10-25 23:22:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x4698f9…
10-25 23:00:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$6	0x0cb3c6…
10-25 22:55:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xada63c…
10-25 22:54:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd24cc8…
10-25 22:45:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x947c89…
10-25 22:35:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x129dee…
10-25 03:45:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xba4da1…
10-24 20:30:59	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xdb27f7…
10-24 10:58:05	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x3dd353…
10-23 19:38:15	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x8b2bd8…
10-23 03:20:24	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xa79ef8…
10-23 01:56:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0x83980b…
10-22 20:05:41	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x0654ba…
10-22 20:04:35	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x4aad9e…
10-22 20:04:35	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x3e72bc…
10-22 18:10:53	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x16fa09…
10-22 08:41:51	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xb1f037…
10-22 08:40:39	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xea71f9…
10-21 23:26:56	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7c27b2…
10-21 19:03:51	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x67ae3c…
10-21 16:41:08	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7cebdc…
10-21 13:54:47	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x5d5136…
10-21 11:33:23	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x816e70…
10-21 06:40:24	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x500bde…
10-21 06:36:30	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x7c8d15…
10-20 10:44:08	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xbebb4f…
10-19 19:43:53	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x20d51a…
10-19 01:53:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x9b7f1f…
10-18 01:54:24	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xaf19ff…
10-18 01:45:12	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x0f9d19…
10-17 19:26:00	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x4154ab…
10-16 21:54:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	487	0¢	$0	0x7214f9…
10-16 20:29:23	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe86447…
10-16 20:16:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x9dbf03…
10-16 20:16:03	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$0	0x59af67…
10-16 20:15:48	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x4fc540…
10-16 20:15:48	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	323	0¢	$0	0x0c54b5…
10-15 16:14:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x2c6981…
10-15 04:41:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x1696a2…
10-14 17:21:30	Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	222	1¢	$1	0x9e569f…
10-13 22:55:07	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0xdb3249…
10-13 22:54:00	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x21926e…
10-13 01:29:14	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	222	67¢	$149	0x6d0374…
10-12 22:43:18	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x1930ad…
10-12 04:54:06	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0x5ceabc…
10-11 20:23:49	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x4c38c0…
10-11 18:38:18	Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x08fb73…
10-11 18:37:15	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xd5a129…
10-09 11:07:03	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb9ea89…
10-08 08:23:56	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x3cea5e…
10-08 01:03:25	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x5f61ed…
10-07 15:07:29	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xe24639…
10-07 15:07:28	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x6914f4…
10-07 15:07:28	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x2d5c09…
10-07 15:05:23	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	70	60¢	$42	0xbe29f9…
10-07 15:05:23	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$13	0x3219c0…
10-06 15:34:05	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd1a4ee…
10-06 06:25:07	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x214d48…
10-02 01:13:05	Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xefcc9b…
09-29 20:46:50	Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x3fd7ab…
09-29 09:27:35	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd35d4d…
09-28 03:37:00	Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa3600d…
09-23 06:19:40	Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x0da747…
09-23 06:19:31	Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa70dca…
09-21 19:45:36	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x78c183…
09-21 19:45:36	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x226598…
09-21 17:59:33	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	51	54¢	$27	0xd8a60c…
09-21 01:03:28	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x14115a…
09-20 23:41:04	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4a7fd7…
09-20 19:19:11	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x3b19e8…
09-20 18:26:57	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x9ef11f…
09-20 13:34:33	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	73¢	$16	0x70aebf…
09-20 00:49:40	Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera?	Yes	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x2c496e…
09-18 18:52:54	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9ff393…
09-18 15:26:36	Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x103c64…
09-16 02:04:04	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xc9a12b…
09-15 19:00:27	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5c1aba…
09-15 19:00:25	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xf3ca9a…
09-14 16:02:28	Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x414774…
09-14 15:56:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x0649ad…