Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
48.3%
Resolved
828
Trades
5,470
lifetime
Volume
$24.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$132
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 07-20 16:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 49% $-30
Other
29% 48% +$9
Sports
10% 44% +$58
Politics
9% 40% $-17
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 873 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +58 $31 30¢ $18 $-14 07-05 00:20
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -18 $-17 94¢ $-17 +$0 06-29 01:08
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -16 $-15 94¢ $-15 $-0 07-01 06:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $12 74¢ $10 $-2 06-15 16:05
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes -20 $-5 48¢ $-9 $-4 07-02 01:27
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -16 $-8 50¢ $-8 $-0 06-18 13:33
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +14 $8 56¢ $8 +$0 07-09 11:45
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +50 $6 13¢ $6 +$0 07-16 08:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -48 $-6 12¢ $-6 +$0 07-03 19:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -53 $-5 11¢ $-6 $-0 07-13 19:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$0 06-03 21:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-19 21:01
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +4 $1 88¢ $4 +$3 06-11 17:01
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 40¢ $3 +$2 06-05 21:44
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes -6 $-3 50¢ $-3 $-0 06-18 13:34
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No +4 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 07-08 11:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 55¢ $2 +$1 06-11 06:26
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes +4 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 05-27 21:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 83¢ $2 +$0 06-16 22:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 $-0 07-13 07:50
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 05-30 00:42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-08 11:37