Realized P&L
-$735
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
3,253
Trades
6,453
lifetime
Volume
$33.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$491
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 08-19 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Crypto
40% 55% -$1,213
Other
36% 39% -$362
Sports
12% 47% +$596
Politics
12% 49% +$235
Tech
0% 67% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +224 $92 40¢ $91 -$1 07-08 11:26
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +210 $83 41¢ $85 +$2 07-08 13:53
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +72 $50 82¢ $59 +$9 08-19 08:24
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +52 $28 70¢ $36 +$8 08-19 11:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +31 $10 90¢ $28 +$17 08-19 08:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +118 $51 23¢ $27 -$24 08-14 18:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $20 66¢ $19 -$2 07-22 16:43
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +17 $11 94¢ $16 +$5 08-18 07:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +16 $12 86¢ $14 +$2 07-19 02:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +19 $7 68¢ $13 +$6 06-29 13:45
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +22 $17 56¢ $12 -$4 06-28 16:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $12 82¢ $12 -$1 07-31 20:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +93 $10 9¢ $8 -$2 05-02 21:33
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +78 $12 11¢ $8 -$4 07-15 15:54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $16 22¢ $8 -$8 08-13 22:14
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 89¢ $7 +$6 06-05 21:44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +31 $6 19¢ $6 +$0 06-29 19:24
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +8 $4 70¢ $6 +$1 08-17 17:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +33 $3 16¢ $5 +$2 06-28 10:44
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264 No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 07-19 22:56
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$0 08-03 05:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 06-19 21:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +4 $3 96¢ $4 +$0 06-03 21:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 92¢ $4 +$3 06-11 06:26
will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +3 $1 96¢ $3 +$2 06-13 21:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14 $3 18¢ $3 $0 05-03 17:05
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +3 $1 76¢ $2 +$1 07-18 07:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$1 06-16 22:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 06-08 11:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 -$1 08-17 13:04