Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
48.3%
Resolved
828
Trades
5,187
lifetime
Volume
$22.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$167
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 06-30 10:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 49% $-30
Other
24% 48% +$9
Sports
9% 44% +$58
Politics
9% 40% $-17
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 873 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +68 $60 86¢ $59 $-1 06-26 13:06
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -18 $-17 94¢ $-17 +$0 06-29 01:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $12 86¢ $12 $-0 06-15 16:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +17 $7 64¢ $11 +$4 06-28 11:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-29 01:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No -9 $-8 100¢ $-9 $-1 05-28 00:57
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -16 $-8 50¢ $-8 $-0 06-18 13:33
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-09 13:47
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-08 15:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-19 21:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +4 $3 92¢ $4 +$0 06-03 21:17
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +4 $1 89¢ $4 +$3 06-11 17:01
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes -6 $-3 50¢ $-3 +$0 06-18 13:34
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $1 27¢ $2 +$1 06-05 21:44
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes +4 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 05-27 21:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -2 $-3 100¢ $-2 +$1 06-29 01:08
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-01 02:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-12 16:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-01 02:06
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-01 01:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 06-16 22:08
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 06-29 12:40
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 05-30 00:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-11 06:26
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 19¢ $1 $-0 06-08 11:37
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +38 $3 $0 $-3 06-14 14:56
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-29 18:47
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 $0 $-2 06-15 00:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +8 $2 $0 $-2 06-01 23:23
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 15:46