Formal-Deadline 0x0a069d…21921a
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
149
Trades
27,946
lifetime
Volume
$109.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$25
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 05:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Crypto
94% 46% $-37
Other
3% 33% $-7
Sports
2% 50% +$1
Politics
0% 0% $-1
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 07-14 21:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $2 26¢ $2 $-0 07-20 04:34
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 07-14 22:30
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 67¢ $1 +$0 07-16 15:40
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-14 21:49
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-14 21:52
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 07-19 04:32
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-14 21:49
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 07-07 03:47
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-14 21:49
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-14 21:49
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 71¢ $1 $-0 07-11 17:18
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 07-11 17:19
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 $-0 07-03 22:06
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-04 02:39
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 07-10 17:33
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +1 $1 55¢ $1 $-0 07-15 17:02
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 33¢ $0 $-1 07-16 03:30
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? No +1 $1 40¢ $0 $-1 06-30 02:54